UFC 198 - Curitiba - Werdum vs Miocic

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My last leg of a parlay is cummins lil nog over 1.5 rounds, i would win about 6 units if it hits. Would you hedge this, or is it safe enough and worth a shot?
 
My last leg of a parlay is cummins lil nog over 1.5 rounds, i would win about 6 units if it hits. Would you hedge this, or is it safe enough and worth a shot?
If you got it at -185, I would definitely hedge a little with +240
 
you're at 500 for 2228.55, if you didn't know ... machida cancellation means 7 team parlay.

it depends on how big you're betting nowadays. is 500 5u? and thus quite a large bet? maybe a shot at belfort rd 1 is worthwhile if you don't wanna lose 5 bills

Yeah you are exactly right EZ ,,, 5 units is $500 now that I am betting $100 per unit. And yeah I know that it is only going to be $2228.55 with Machida out. Yea..I kinda guess that Vitor only has one round to get Jay ass out of there before he's on his back and getting choked out. Do you think Maia is basically a lock (As close as there is to such a thing ) or do you get Matt Brown a better chance than the oddsmakers? Is there anyway that I should go at that one or should I just wait and concern myself with Bellfort should Demien get the victory?


Thanks though buddy. How are you doing these days? Still crushing it? Check out my last couple months. The last 60 and 90 days I am crushing it! ...like straight up EZ figures

TheMMAOddsSlayer.cappertek.com


Hedge with Vitor/Vitor R1 if Maia wins. Otherwise, do nothing and good luck!


Thanks JG as I told him this is exactly how I was going to attack it. Thanks for the thoughts brother!
 
Yeah you are exactly right EZ ,,, 5 units is $500 now that I am betting $100 per unit. And yeah I know that it is only going to be $2228.55 with Machida out. Yea..I kinda guess that Vitor only has one round to get Jay ass out of there before he's on his back and getting choked out. Do you think Maia is basically a lock (As close as there is to such a thing ) or do you get Matt Brown a better chance than the oddsmakers? Is there anyway that I should go at that one or should I just wait and concern myself with Bellfort should Demien get the victory?


Thanks though buddy. How are you doing these days? Still crushing it? Check out my last couple months. The last 60 and 90 days I am crushing it! ...like straight up EZ figures

TheMMAOddsSlayer.cappertek.com





Thanks JG as I told him this is exactly how I was going to attack it. Thanks for the thoughts brother!
no problem, as for the Maia fight, MAYBE put a tiny bit on Brown R3?
 
Can anyone explain Corey Anderson's sky rocketing odd for me ? I liked him at -200 now it's -150?
 
Yeah you are exactly right EZ ,,, 5 units is $500 now that I am betting $100 per unit. And yeah I know that it is only going to be $2228.55 with Machida out. Yea..I kinda guess that Vitor only has one round to get Jay ass out of there before he's on his back and getting choked out. Do you think Maia is basically a lock (As close as there is to such a thing ) or do you get Matt Brown a better chance than the oddsmakers? Is there anyway that I should go at that one or should I just wait and concern myself with Bellfort should Demien get the victory?


Thanks though buddy. How are you doing these days? Still crushing it? Check out my last couple months. The last 60 and 90 days I am crushing it! ...like straight up EZ figures

TheMMAOddsSlayer.cappertek.com





Thanks JG as I told him this is exactly how I was going to attack it. Thanks for the thoughts brother!

pretty sweet, man ;) i'm doin my usual thing, hehe

and yea, i think maia is super safe. closing 4 parlays w/him, myself.
 
Do you consider cummins/nogueira and souza/Belfort itd to be good %to win bets? Thinking about adding a parlay bet on those. Also have Miocic to win and a parlay on cyborg/souza/c Anderson/rockhold to win
 

Love it!


Do you like the Cummins/Nog over 1.5 as much as I do as well?
 
no problem, as for the Maia fight, MAYBE put a tiny bit on Brown R3?

Yea, I just really struggle to see brown with this thus the reason I have him in a $500 parlay getting beat LOL I just think for all the potential opponents for Bown to face right now in the welterweight division Demian is perhaps the worst possible match up in the top 15 for sure.
 
Hey fellas, need some of your brilliant advice here...I just have been so busy that I haven't had time to post regularly although I am +104 units I am +102 units over the last 60 and 90 days respectively in MMA so I still am doing quite well as I see a lot of you guys are.

But I need help here: so I made a few parlays a few months back but it's $500 for $3500 on the big one..should I let this ride or make any alterations? Thanks in advance for the advice!

[Ticket #: 2556xxxxx] PARLAY (8 TEAMS)
04/16/2016 @ 09:05 PM MU Fight has been canceled after Machida failed a drug test
LYOTO MACHIDA -330
JOHN DODSON -530
JON JONES -495
DEMETRIOUS JOHNSON -400
ROBERT WHITTAKER -338
RONALDO SOUZA -300
DEMIAN MAIA -280
500.00 3460.88

What say you?

i would throw some light cash on vitor r1 and brown via KO, but i think you have a great chance of gwapping it.
 
If true, then resepk indeed ~ 10/10 trolling


Lol Barry is the biggest troll that this thread has ever seen. I remember he was going to quit betting and jump off of a bridge because he lost so much money. I'll try to find the old post. It was hilarious. Almost as hilarious as when I had been gone for a long time and then stop by here only to see that he was selling his picks. Talk about your dentures falling out LOL
 
Anyone know if Chagas was already training for a fight?
 
Only bets so far are werdum and Cummins. Will probably add more to them and I think I'm gonna end up betting lineker and Anderson. I like a lot of people tomorrow but the odds reflect my thoughts

Going hard on Cummins. Hope I don't regret it.. I think nog is done, all this talk about injuries and he's looked pretty worn out the past few years. He did look alright at weigh ins though
 
Am I the only one who thinks Nogueira looked like complete shit at the weigh in? Just looked stiff and slow up there imo
 
i would throw some light cash on vitor r1 and brown via KO, but i think you have a great chance of gwapping it.

Thanks bro!

BTW: it's spelled Guapping if all I am up on my 2016 hipster lingo
 
The lack of understanding of betting principles in this thread is disturbing (not aimed at TS, aside from betting on anyone at -1700)
Please post your bets in the official thread so we might learn from your excellency.
 
Please post your bets in the official thread so we might learn from your excellency.
I wouldn't hold my breath. Most of the people whose betting posts get merged over here from the main UFC section never stick around.
 
Post weigh in thoughts:

I really like Jacare Souza to finish Vitor Belfort.
I like werdum.
I like Maia.
 
Am I the only one who thinks Nogueira looked like complete shit at the weigh in? Just looked stiff and slow up there imo

nah nog looked like total trash. i wish i went heavier on cummins now.
 
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