UFN 94 - Johnson vs Poirier - Texas

[Rebel_LioN]

Hey, those are Mexicans you racist

A racist thing to say: same shit right?

Lol but everyone south of the border on this card is flakier than the millions of hot pockets consumed by Sherdogger's every year.

Blanco, Perez, Shoeface, Leleco, the Montano hoes, Benitez, Gomez, quinoa, fucking 3rd degree white belt Carneiro, I don't know who the F Morales is but F you too.

I could pull up lowlights of every guy listed above.

 

[Brick Top]

Watched a lot of tape on Brown, ABORT MISSION! Really didn't impress me at all, as bad as Montano is I point blank refuse to play Brown @ -400 against anyone in the UFC, even in a parlay. Just look how bad Marin is and he made it a close fight against Sage who's a much better prospect than Brown. No thanks.

 

[SalvadorAllende]

I think MJ has a pretty good chance of finishing DP via strikes. Dustin is pretty hittable and MJ has really good hands. I just dont think Diamonds reckless style does not suit good againist a guy like Johnson who has good hands and pretty good footwork.

I think Poirier is the overall better fighter but this is not a favorable matchup for him.

 

[Sham5916910]

Yeah that third round is what really made me decide i'd switch sides if I can get Brunson at -140 or better at some point. One thing to have a hard time dealing with pressure, Hall was straight up turning his back like a scared novice.

Just throwing this out there, but other factors that would make me want to lb Hall after round 1 or at least hedge: Brunson goes for the kill and doesn't get it (he slowed down pretty noticeably in the Yoel fight so can't trust him to recover from a big burst), Brunson struggles to get takedowns, and/or Hall lands hard body kicks which Brunson's upright stance is just asking him to do.

Yeah he ate body kicks from Larkin but Hall doesn't throw them. I think he gets take downs fine. The burst and not finishing is a concern tho.

 

[Sham5916910]

Watched a lot of tape on Brown, ABORT MISSION! Really didn't impress me at all, as bad as Montano is I point blank refuse to play Brown @ -400 against anyone in the UFC, even in a parlay. Just look how bad Marin is and he made it a close fight against Sage who's a much better prospect than Brown. No thanks.

Im 2 units deep so far now you got me second guessing. Might just let that ride and just lb this whole shower of shit card.

If we compare my confidence this week compared to next weeks card its not even comparable. Therefore i will let my 2 unit bet ride but im adding no more. Lb only in addition. This god damn cards given me a headache

 

[Brick Top]

Im 2 units deep so far now you got me second guessing. Might just let that ride and just lb this whole shower of shit card.

Just bet on Brunson straight if you're confident in him, I think that's what I'm going to do. I actually think Hall is going to get bet late though so I'm waiting for better odds

 

[Sham5916910]

Just bet on Brunson straight if you're confident in him, I think that's what I'm going to do. I actually think Hall is going to get bet late though so I'm waiting for better odds

I dont bet anything worse odds wise than -120 whether its straight or in a parlay. I want as close to an evens return as possible. Im fine with 2 units on the parlay @ +100 and im sure some lb gems will present themselves. The bookies never have a clue on lb when its a bunch of flakey unknown fighters. Normal status quo goes out the window.

 

[LEMONZEST]

i like 6 overs here.
(current prices)

brown-hall O2.5 -160 - hall gunshy all the time, brunson likely to try to wrestle his way to a 15 min win

glenn-dunham O2.5 -175 - dunham is gonna ride glenn in all likelihood, and while glenn is short notice up a weightclass, he wont' be outssized and is durable

robertson-carneiro O2.5 -140 - both grappling based fighters, carneiro more decorated but robertson never been subbed

makhachev-wade O2.5 -235 - ok, this one's steep.. way better when it was -180.. but c'mon, we all think this is going 3.

muhammad-a.montano O2.5 -170 - muhammad is a decision machine. just look at his record. even when he turns it up he doesn't know how to sit down on his strikes and put someone away. montano bros are tough.

brown-e.montano O1.5 -145 - how is this one O1.5? and how'd the price shift down to here? brown is still green (lol that sounds weird) -- yes, he had finishes against regional guys but he doesn't look like he knows how to seal the deal at the ufc level to me. again, montano bros are tough.

I hit the Brown and Belal overs. Don't trust the Robertson or Dunham fights to go over tho.

 

[EzFlyer]

I hit the Brown and Belal overs. Don't trust the Robertson or Dunham fights to go over tho.

what's scaring you off of those?

 

[Joseph Budden]

Got to listen to a little of vivisection on lunch. Nice to hear I'm not the only one who believes in Benitez

If all of these Mexicans fail me though, I'm voting for Trump

 

[EzFlyer]

definitely taking poirier SUB +456. MJ has been subbed what, 6x? never ko'd? i think DP will tap him if mj gasses, and i kinda think that happens at some point

 

[EzFlyer]

dunham SUB +470
dunham RD3 +1175
small bets

 

[EzFlyer]

took makhachev sub +835 small and moderate on mak NSC -105, even tho i think it's going to decision

 

[Sadistics]

Took Hall NSC -129 for a unit, thought it would be much higher

 

[Sadistics]

Blanco rd1 +1050 small. Was waiting for Skelly SUB but it opened at only +160...

 

[Joseph Budden]

http://fightland.vice.com/blog/wait...ecisions-and-the-occasional-spinning-knockout

 

[MidgardSerpent]

Huh, my betting limit is much lower for the Makha nsc prop than for the Hall nsc prop, even though they're almost the same odds...

 

[EzFlyer]

a.montano NSC +312
a.montano RD1 +1325
a.montano KO +975

like all, honestly

even tho i also like muhammad +103 decision (i wanted +100 or better, heh)

 

[EzFlyer]

shoeface KO +470 -- yes i'm aware bjj background and all finishes as pro are subs, but he ko'd couple guys on tuf, has power

 

[MidgardSerpent]

I made the exact same 2 plays, Ez. $65 on Montano nsc and $25 on Shoeface ko. Not gonna make any big plays relating Shoeface though, I learned my lesson when I got burned bad by the Kelly fight.