UFC 207 - Nunes vs Rousey - Vegas

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Man, why is money coming in on Price? He's fought 2 people with a positive record, he's on short notice, and he's slow as shit and no takedown threat. Am I missing something?
 
mkess101 said:
At these odds the only bet that makes sense is TJ. Not sure where all the Lineker $ came from. When odds were more tilted there was at least maybe a case for Lineker. Not now.

At this point if you think TJ just completely outclasses him probably TJ -3.5 at +155 is the bet, right?
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I like it.

I, mysef, don't like to get cute. Any big bet for me is the ML.
 
lawmills2006 said:
Man, why is money coming in on Price? He's fought 2 people with a positive record, he's on short notice, and he's slow as shit and no takedown threat. Am I missing something?
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NO clue. I'm putting a bit on thatch at -140
 
lawmills2006 said:
Man, why is money coming in on Price? He's fought 2 people with a positive record, he's on short notice, and he's slow as shit and no takedown threat. Am I missing something?
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idk. ppl fading thatch. I bit on thatch at -140, imo its a bit of a must bet, out of principle.
 
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I got 6U now on Magny. Contemplated going as high as 10U. I just don't see Johny beating Mags. Sure, he could KO/TKO him, but Magny took Lombard's best. And Magny's wrestling is serviceable enough, and Johny would gas anyway. Don't let us down Mags! #jabcity
 
lawmills2006 said:
Man, why is money coming in on Price? He's fought 2 people with a positive record, he's on short notice, and he's slow as shit and no takedown threat. Am I missing something?
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I think thats because he looked "awesome" at the weigh ins. Nothing else. Casuals love betting on good looking muscular guy.
 
Cant add more to means im 5 units deep already. Feeling nervous gotta say.
 
Brandon Thatch is currently 1.71 (-140) on BetDSI and Bookmaker and and Niko Price is 2.60 (+160) on Sportsbook

Bet $14,100 on Thatch (BetDSI or Bookmaker)
Bet $10,000 on Price (Sportsbook)

If Thatch wins you will break even and lose nothing
If Price wins you will cash in $1,900.. No risk
If it's a draw you simply get your money back.

Do it ASAP if you have money.
 
Officer_Brown said:
Brandon Thatch is currently 1.71 (-140) on BetDSI and Bookmaker and and Niko Price is 2.60 (+160) on Sportsbook

Bet $14,100 on Thatch (BetDSI or Bookmaker)
Bet $10,000 on Price (Sportsbook)

If Thatch wins you will break even and lose nothing
If Price wins you will cash in $1,900.. No risk
If it's a draw you simply get your money back.

Do it ASAP if you have money.
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Will the bookies accept those stakes on a fight like that? Not like I have the money though.
 
bet 1410 on thatch and 1000 on price. u will cash in 190 dollars if price wins. easy yoo
 
Officer_Brown said:
Brandon Thatch is currently 1.71 (-140) on BetDSI and Bookmaker and and Niko Price is 2.60 (+160) on Sportsbook

Bet $14,100 on Thatch (BetDSI or Bookmaker)
Bet $10,000 on Price (Sportsbook)

If Thatch wins you will break even and lose nothing
If Price wins you will cash in $1,900.. No risk
If it's a draw you simply get your money back.

Do it ASAP if you have money.
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I'd be very surprised if you could bet that much without moving the line. In fact, I'm sure you can't.
 
With this sudden change in line movement I have to play Thatch and Means ML. Odd how they dropped like that with nothing really looking off with them from the weigh ins.
 
F off bloody elbow 9 staff pick means just two on cowboy damn it. Sherdog on cowboy tho. No confidence increase or decrease on means in that case.
 
Putting more on borg ML, think he's cheating a bit with stopping the weight cut and smolka still looks not great post-cut. Smolka tends to make mistakes in the first round, and with him potentially fading in the third, it's enough for me to justify Borg as a close pick. Plus those comments on drinking for a month... However, I would probably be picking Smolka by SUB if it wasn't for the X-factors.

Also like Garcia KO R1 at 4.5 (although can easily see Pyle winning once it progresses out of that round).

Anyone got any leans on Saffedine/Kim? - Leaning Saffedine but I feel that's off the name value and Tristar more than any real analysis.
 
HumbleCoco said:
Putting more on borg ML, think he's cheating a bit with stopping the weight cut and smolka still looks not great post-cut. Smolka tends to make mistakes in the first round, and with him potentially fading in the third, it's enough for me to justify Borg as a close pick. Plus those comments on drinking for a month... However, I would probably be picking Smolka by SUB if it wasn't for the X-factors.

Also like Garcia KO R1 at 4.5 (although can easily see Pyle winning once it progresses out of that round).

Anyone got any leans on Saffedine/Kim? - Leaning Saffedine but I feel that's off the name value and Tristar more than any real analysis.
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I took kim dec for value @ +275.

Oh and i really like borg stylistic nightmare for smolka imo
 
Ps cariaso nearly sub'd smolka. Smolka has a long neck and shoots with his hips back and neck just hanging out there
 
HumbleCoco said:
Putting more on borg ML, think he's cheating a bit with stopping the weight cut and smolka still looks not great post-cut. Smolka tends to make mistakes in the first round, and with him potentially fading in the third, it's enough for me to justify Borg as a close pick. Plus those comments on drinking for a month... However, I would probably be picking Smolka by SUB if it wasn't for the X-factors.

Also like Garcia KO R1 at 4.5 (although can easily see Pyle winning once it progresses out of that round).

Anyone got any leans on Saffedine/Kim? - Leaning Saffedine but I feel that's off the name value and Tristar more than any real analysis.
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Originally on Kim, but tbh currently swaying towards Saff for value. I think Saffedeine being with Tristar will mean they gameplay really well, and its not like Kim can outstrike Saff if he can't pin him to fence.

Pretty much a 50/50 fight in my eyes, and wouldn't be surprised if either guy won
 
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