Gonna end up having over 2u on Danny this weekend. Think he's got some really nice value here, especially if he gets that hook to start landing downstairs where Thurman seems to be a bit vulnerable. Even if he doesn't he should have some good opportunities to land the counter hook upstairs and keep Keith honest.
I've been pretty critical of Garcia recently because of his shitty opposition for the most part as of late, but I do think the guy is ready to take on the upper echelon at 147 now. He also seems to really dislike Thurman, he sounds like he's really pissed and he rarely shows much emotion, that's his psycho father's job most of the time. I think this is a good thing, I don't think either is going to be able to outbox the other and the bad blood probably adds even more to assumption that these two are gonna have some harsh exchanges in the pocket. I actually think Danny could have an advantage trading b/c of that hook he always seems to land, plus Danny's chin has always been strong, Matthysse was at 140 but that man can punch and Danny took all of his best shots.
I think the fact that he hasn't really looked very good against subpar fighters is a good thing betting wise, that's why I think Danny's line is a bit out of hand, he's the type of guy to fight to the level of his comp and I think he steps up against Keith and gives it all he's got. One issue for me is his gastank, not sure how he'll hold up in a hard 12rder against a guy of Thurman's caliber, but I think he'll probably be okay. Either way, definitely a dog or pass type of fight for me.
This is a really fun fight between two young and skilled undefeated fighters. I think Danny's got solid value anywhere in the high +1xx's or better. 2.3u on Garcia at various prices, might up it closer to 3u if I'm feeling it, not sure yet.