UFN 110 - Lewis vs Hunt - New Zealand

[Antagonist88]

Got +125 on Steele -3.5. I'll still take it. Officially at the 5u mark effectively on Steele

 

[Antagonist88]

Tempted to make a play on Mokhtarian +3.5 at -155 also. Feel like there's value but think I'll pass due to the lack of available tape

 

[Card]

 

[TheOneTrueKing]

 

[Sham5916910]

Lol

 

[Card]

 

[AmericanBeauty]

Hunt/Lewis over 1.5 is -110
I think it will go to the 3rd round.
Both will respect eachother's power.
I think i will make a small parlay Hunt/Lewis over +Derek Brunson+Kim/Gouti over 1.5=+299
What do the Elite Gamblers here think about it?

 

[Ukram]

Weigh ins about to start

 

[King_Brown]

Hunt/Lewis over 1.5 is -110
I think it will go to the 3rd round.
Both will respect eachother's power.
I think i will make a small parlay Hunt/Lewis over +Derek Brunson+Kim/Gouti over 1.5=+299
What do the Elite Gamblers here think about it?

I approve this parlay.

If you can't pick a winner in Hunt vs Derrick just play O1,5. Hunt's recent u1,5 wins are against bad chins and derrick finished grabowski and old gonzaga.
I'm already playing Kim/Gouti o1,5. I think it has value @1.50 price. Kim wants to grapple and Goutis ground game should hold up.

 

[Antagonist88]

I approve this parlay.

If you can't pick a winner in Hunt vs Derrick just play O1,5. Hunt's recent u1,5 wins are against bad chins and derrick finished grabowski and old gonzaga.
I'm already playing Kim/Gouti o1,5. I think it has value @1.50 price. Kim wants to grapple and Goutis ground game should hold up.

I don't know if I agree with either of those statements about Maestro and Gouti. If there's anybody on the roster who can be lured into a firefight, it's Maestro Kim. He isn't super active in looking for submissions though so if he does grapple it's probably safe

 

[EzFlyer]

fight pass:

DHK#2-gouti
gouti looks very solid as usual.
maestro looks solid, too.
DHK the much bigger guy, he's like 4" taller, looks weight class bigger

aldrich-jeon
jeon looks alright? super young.. in at 118...
aldrich weighs in fully clothed as usual. she looked ok at morning weighins.
they're the same size

fs1 prelims:

ottow-kunimoto
ottow strong as usual. as expected.
kunimoto looks terrific after the layoff. pretty darn shredded...
they're the same size

mokhtarian-moraga
mokhtarian is freakin jacked for 125. looks great
moraga looks good, same as usual.
they're the same size

steele-jumeau
steele bulky / strong 170 as always
jumeau looks good.
steele is definitely the bigger dude. 1-2" taller and thicker.

pichel-brown
pichel looks very solid after the layoff.. big 155..
brown looks so-so, as usual.
pichel is only about 1" taller, but rangier

fs1 main:

hirota-volkanovski
hirota looks damn good at 36, as always.
volkanovski a stout 145, but looks good
hirota is 2-3" taller

elliot-nguyen
nguyen looks good, same as always.
elliot a lean 125, looks like it was a good cut this morning
elliot is actually only about 1" taller, interesting

da silva-cutelaba
frank wastin' looks a little better than his first couple fights? still looks soft, but better..
cutelaba is NOT GREEN, what the heck? but he's still the goddamned hulk. looks awesome.
da silva is 1" taller.. cutelaba wants no part of the handshake..

pearson-hooker
pearson looks pretty decent.. bit of a gut, but as expected..
hooker looks good.. not as shredded at 145, obviously
hooker is 4-5" taller

kelly-brunson
kelly looks very mediocre, hehe, but yea. nothing out of ordinary
brunson looks damned good as always
brunson might be 1" taller? pretty similarly sized

hunt-lewis
hunt looks like hunt. in at 265.
lewis looks like lewis. also 265.
lewis definitely the bigger dude. 3-4" taller.

 

[EzFlyer]

stabbed at kunimoto +300. he looked in great shape at the weigh-ins. i just can't wrap my head around this line, even tho i hate betting guys off of super long layoffs. not a big bet, but yea.

 

[AmericanBeauty]

I approve this parlay.

If you can't pick a winner in Hunt vs Derrick just play O1,5. Hunt's recent u1,5 wins are against bad chins and derrick finished grabowski and old gonzaga.
I'm already playing Kim/Gouti o1,5. I think it has value @1.50 price. Kim wants to grapple and Goutis ground game should hold up.

Thx Dude, your approve increases my confidence very much.

 

[King_Brown]

My elite bets for this event are done. Ready to cash in that $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$

Brunson + Cutelaba + Kunimoto/Ottow O1,5 + Steele + Kim/Gouti O1,5 $300 to win $1850

Lewis/Hunt O1,5 + Brunson/Kelly U2,5 + Pearson/Hooker O2,5 + Cutelaba $235 to win $1750

Lewis + Brown + Steele $235 to win $1200

Nguyen + Mokthtarian $135 to win $900

EASY MONEY!!!!!!!!!

 

[Jae Gibbz]

I thought that the odds were pretty damn out of whack and was already considering a play on him, but damn Hirota was not only taller, but he looked a little thicker, also... I'm in. I also like his spread +175

 

[King_Brown]

It was so tempting to bet Ross at 2.40 but I kept a promise to fade his fat face forever!!! He fucked me over badly when he lost to Ray and Dunham. He still ows me that money.

Fading Moraga. FADING! FADING! FADING!

Brunson will end that fairytale once and for all. Will blow out Kelly quickly. If he wins by dec or loses I hope Brunson gets cut.

Steele is GUARANTEED money.

Fading Elliott. You will see!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Tim and Hunt are doing everything in their power to lose their fights on Saturday night.

 

[NinjaCat456]

stabbed at kunimoto +300. he looked in great shape at the weigh-ins. i just can't wrap my head around this line, even tho i hate betting guys off of super long layoffs. not a big bet, but yea.

Yeah tempted to do that as well. Already 3u deep on the Ottow + Cutelaba double and as usual it's playing havoc with my bowels. Trusting a guy @ -350 whose best win is a split dec over Josh Burkman. Yeah.

 

[Thunderflash500]

Just bet around 20u on Hunt. I think he's on another level skill wise. And In heavyweight age isn't as much of a factor. Wouldn't be shocked if he gasses and loses. But I have faith.

 

[TimCoreCombat]

Great write up and analysis but did some research on JJ vs Jeon myself, too. I was very impressed how badly Aldrich performs but then I dug up that she had been a part time fighter the whole time until this fight. Versus Jeon who is Korean's child prodigy breed to fight. She's also the Amateur National Muay Thai Champion of Korea and trust me, muay thai in asian regions is pretty top level, competing with children who have been training since 5 years old. Jeon has solid ground game combined with KO power, four first round finishes.

I've seen betters above suggest going o2.5 on this fight. I would definitely not do that.

I'm going 2 units on Jeon + adding her to my Steele+Ottowa parlay.

Sorry but MT is shit in Korea. It is better in Europe than Korea. I sparred with a "Korean Champion" in Thailand and picked him apart and I'm not that good. Count me as unimpressed.

 

[TimCoreCombat]

Does anyone have a reason to back hooker? I'm big on Ross but im worried it might be because I'm his only fan.

Hooker has been training at Tiger mostly for a year, has improved his standup and his wrestling. He's young and hasn't taken much damage.

Saying that, this is a pass for me but there are reasons to bet him.