UFN 153 on ESPN+ 11 Gustafsson vs Smith

[ApplesVild]

Duda



I'm sure all her fights are on YouTube just under a different name, I found more previously

 

[And]

Can someone post the Duda fights ? Cant find shit

Here's a bad quality video of her 2nd fight against Alexandra de Cassia. Early stoppage. These girls make Cachoeira look like Mayweather. Even though Duda won by TKO it gives me more confidence in Bea Malecki. Fight starts at 1:45:00

 

[Red_2]

Ugly girls fight better. It’s science (actual science).

They have to compensate their looks and they’re more dedicated to fighting. While the pretty girls advertise some shitty green tea on Instagram, they are sparring dudes lmao.

Wtf Bro I like green tea.

 

[Jordan3399]

Here's a bad quality video of her 2nd fight against Alexandra de Cassia. Early stoppage. These girls make Cachoeira look like Mayweather. Even though Duda won by TKO it gives me more confidence in Bea Malecki. Fight starts at 1:45:00

And to think I was starting to doubt my Malecki bet

 

[Wiktoruspro]

Na that's way too far, neither of them are even close to hot

 

[PolarBearPaulVarelans]

Here's a bad quality video of her 2nd fight against Alexandra de Cassia. Early stoppage. These girls make Cachoeira look like Mayweather. Even though Duda won by TKO it gives me more confidence in Bea Malecki. Fight starts at 1:45:00

That's...actually a point in Duda's favor. Don't get me wrong. She sucked horribly in that fight and that version of her would get crushed by Malecki.

But here's the thing; Duda was much better in her 3rd fight, just 4 months later, than what we saw in that 2nd fight. Much better movement and anticipation of opponent strikes, faster and more technical punches thrown in series, and even SLIGHTLY less horrendous in sticking her chin straight up in the air.

How much better is Duda going to be for her 4th fight, a whole 18 months later? If the answer is "not at all or just a little", Malecki wins. If the answer is "she improved at least as much in 18 months as she previously had in 4", Santana wins.

 

[Naught2Sixty]

Well it's hot take Friday and I'm raring to go with one here. I'm struggling to find a way that Lionheart beats Gus. Thinking Gus is more likely to finish and has the output, defense and wrestling ability to win rounds and take a dec. Gus wouldn't appear to have the weaknesses Smith can exploit to me.

 

[mkess101]

Well it's hot take Friday and I'm raring to go with one here. I'm struggling to find a way that Lionheart beats Gus. Thinking Gus is more likely to finish and has the output, defense and wrestling ability to win rounds and take a dec. Gus wouldn't appear to have the weaknesses Smith can exploit to me.

Agree, but that's priced in now imo at Gus being -300 or whatever. At this point you'd have to cap Gus closer to -400 to see value. If you do (and it's not crazy to see it that way) then yeah I'd bet Gus. Or maybe there was movement and you guys got Gus at a better price? I haven't been paying much attention.

Personally I cap Gus right about where he is currently. Hard pass if it was me.

 

[Naught2Sixty]

Agree, but that's priced in now imo at Gus being -300 or whatever. At this point you'd have to cap Gus closer to -400 to see value. If you do (and it's not crazy to see it that way) then yeah I'd bet Gus. Or maybe there was movement and you guys got Gus at a better price? I haven't been paying much attention.

Personally I cap Gus right about where he is currently. Hard pass if it was me.

Personally I cap Gus a bit higher but not more than -400. Really only see Smith winning by cold meme Ko or club n' sub.

I think I've seen some get better than -3xx. Not really my style to bet favs like that though.

 

[Wiktoruspro]

Personally I cap Gus a bit higher but not more than -400. Really only see Smith winning by cold meme Ko or club n' sub.

I think I've seen some get better than -3xx. Not really my style to bet favs like that though.

I see Smith knocking Gus out. I want to bet Smith but Im aware that Gus will run The whole time and point fight from distance to a Decision. Damn

 

[Jordan3399]

12 months ago and Gus would be like -800 here. He probably gets TKO'd late on loses a very one sided decision the vast majority of the time. If he has any success on the feet Gus can take him down at will and then he's left trying to hit subs off his back. Good luck with that.

 

[Deleted member 560591]

Put a unit on Ilir at 2.62 just because of the line and Latifi having the abilities to win. Volkan‘s wrestling sucks and he isn’t a cardio machine.

I do this for a while now and think about the fight later in detail lol. Sometimes you know exactly that the line will go down, so you can cash out without any loss. Did this with Jandiroba when she was at + money and cashed out after watching her in detail.

Not sure yet if I will keep this play.

Rewatched Ilir‘s resume and... I’m actually disappointed. He was way better in my memory.

 

[Naught2Sixty]

 

[Jordan3399]

I sense a maxbet coming on... gonna be fading that kinda training.

 

[Dooze]

Fake and g.......

 

[LiquidNuke]

Trying to figure out this card has fucked my brain so hard I'm astral travelling like Brendan Schaub.

 

[MacPherson911]

watching tape on Darko Stosic doesn't answer many questions at all

I remember him being really hyped when he made his UFC debut but I can't for the life of me figure out why. Still maybe a square move but I like him at -150 here.

 

[ApplesVild]

The take on Darko shows good take down defence and and good power in his strikes, he also uses a good mixture of strikes too.

 

[Jordan3399]

I remember him being really hyped when he made his UFC debut but I can't for the life of me figure out why. Still maybe a square move but I like him at -150 here.

Apparently he's CroCops protégé which naturally makes him the next big thing at HW regardless of how good he actually is.

 

[ApplesVild]

Anyone picking Smith, why are you?