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UFC 244 Masvidal vs Diaz

Is there something I’m missing here but why is Walker only a -150 favorite against Anderson? I assumed he would be around the -300 range based on how good he’s looked recently against wrestlers and Anderson’s chin known to be weak.

He's looked good against fighters that happen to be wrestlers, there's a strong difference. He hasn't fought a guy who has actually been able to get their wrestling going.

Go see Walkers TDD if you disagree. I don't know how anybody is betting Walker with any confidence here.
 
I like Johnny walker

but I certainly won’t bet on him at over -170 against a proven guy like Anderson

walker rd 1 would probably be the only way I would play him unless his ko line is decent, which it probably won’t be
Yeah I'm in the same boat only really interested in his round 1 unless his ITD line is decent + odds. If he doesn't ko anderson I can only assume it's because he's on his back getting rekt, and as his energy saps he becomes less dangerous since he's explosive oriented with his striking. I just don't favor him down the stretch vs a strong wrestler, nothing in his previous fights indicate he can handle the takedowns and top control from him. Walker beat a wrestler in cirkunov yes, but we didn't actually get to see how he handles that wrestling so can't takeaway anything from that aspect in walker's favor.
 
Appreciate the feedback on Walker, I see him as one of the best fighters in that division and others don’t (unless people are high on Anderson). Unless there’s a bad cut, I’ll prolly throw $300 on Walker. There’s been limited action in his recent fights but I remember him being extremely quick and closing on him with those knees is risky.

Guess we’ll see if I’m correct.
 
Yeah I'm in the same boat only really interested in his round 1 unless his ITD line is decent + odds. If he doesn't ko anderson I can only assume it's because he's on his back getting rekt, and as his energy saps he becomes less dangerous since he's explosive oriented with his striking. I just don't favor him down the stretch vs a strong wrestler, nothing in his previous fights indicate he can handle the takedowns and top control from him. Walker beat a wrestler in cirkunov yes, but we didn't actually get to see how he handles that wrestling so can't takeaway anything from that aspect in walker's favor.
he said on his embedded that he wants to go three rounds so i'd be conscious of that

hardy said the same thing before going 3 rounds with sosoli iirc
 
He's looked good against fighters that happen to be wrestlers, there's a strong difference. He hasn't fought a guy who has actually been able to get their wrestling going.

Go see Walkers TDD if you disagree. I don't know how anybody is betting Walker with any confidence here.

Good points only thing is he’s had a couple years to work on that, haven’t trained in TDD but isn’t it something you can get good at pretty quick?

You know a guy with his kind of standup is working on that a lot.
 
Before everyone gets carried away with Walker RD1



Though obviously the chance of it lessens the later it goes
 
aging fighter coming off his first career knock out 7 months ago.

I like him to win but I wouldn’t go big. I put down 2.6 units on him. That’s enough for me

luque is an animal. Thompson should be able to play matador but I do have concerns about the chin
Thompson should have the speed and evasive movements to stay away from a KO punch. Also he's a kicker, so he's going to have reach advantage with keeping Luque away. Thompson by 3 round decision seems HIGHLY likely. Vincente isn't dumb enough to run in there and get caught in a blitz. Massive speed difference.
 
Corey acknowledging his over-training, chin issues and how he's improved his recovery after getting rocked:



Talks about it until ~4 min.

Also, the man talks without taking a breath for like 3 hours. Cardio to the extreme.
 
Corey acknowledging his over-training, chin issues and how he's improved his recovery after getting rocked:



Talks about it until ~4 min.

Also, the man talks without taking a breath for like 3 hours. Cardio to the extreme.

That last bit sounded like a little bit of reaching but I'll take any chance to watch Rogan.
Any thoughts on the over/under?
 
What's Makwan's ptv here? Burgos is huge and not easy to take down iirc. I know Makwan did some amateur boxing recently but it didn't show much in his last fight. Also, any thoughts on Arce/ Dawodu would be appreciated.
 
Massive speed difference.
Glad someone else agrees there I really think we could see another Gane v Mayes type style match up.
Luque fights in burst, WB has always been a sniper. If you give him range he will try to land bombs/or at least probe for points through all but the best guard.
Still think the best value could
WB dec/points with something like Luque inside the distance. The guy is strong and has solid boxing/grappling.
Perry impressed me more in their fight.
Barberena gave him a hard time not too long ago and he threw some lazy shots.... some of which landed clean.
Same Barberena that got light up and KOed by a body shot or something from Randy Brown?
 
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It couldn't be less debatable at this point. Shown more evidence for my bets and profit than anyone in this forum.
Lol! Youre legit delusional. My results are nothing special and I generally don’t like fucking w people bc it’s uncool and also bc I don’t want to discourage participation here. But you peacocking around like you’re some sharp is positively laughable, and you claiming you’re more profitable than anyone else here is downright offensive. I don’t have the energy to pull the data but your prebets are generally absolute dogshit but you (miraculously) always claim to book a profit from live betting. And spare me the speech about your livebet slips you posted that won. You can always post only the winning live bet slips. Weird how the prebets suck but your live bets are so sharp. If anyone ever pays you for your bets they need a neurological exam. This concludes this PSA.
 

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Lol! Youre legit delusional. My results are nothing special and I generally don’t like fucking w people bc it’s uncool and also bc I don’t want to discourage participation here. But you peacocking around like you’re some sharp is positively laughable, and you claiming you’re more profitable than anyone else here is downright offensive. I don’t have the energy to pull the data but your prebets are generally absolute dogshit but you (miraculously) always claim to book a profit from live betting. And spare me the speech about your livebet slips you posted that won. You can always post only the winning live bet slips. Weird how the prebets suck but your live bets are so sharp. If anyone ever pays you for your bets they need a neurological exam. This concludes this PSA.
People like you are just monumentally dumb. For a start I never claimed to be the most profitable guy here. And I literally have third party tracking showing solid results, you haven't got a clue what you're talking about and it's so stupid it's just kinda funny.

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I'm up 53u in 2 months tracked alone with a 19% ROI. I'd like to see even just one of you guys criticising my results come close to that.

What more do you people want? smh
 
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People like you are just monumentally dumb. For a start I never claimed to be the most profitable guy here. And I literally have third party tracking showing solid results, you haven't got a clue what you're talking about and it's so stupid it's just kinda funny.

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I'm up 53u in 2 months tracked alone with a 19% ROI. I'd like to see even just one of you guys criticising my results come close to that.

What more do you people want? smh
Tbf every new tout on tips has a record like that. Your sample size is too small to be claiming your roi is the bees knees.
 
Tbf every new tout on tips has a record like that. Your sample size is too small to be claiming your roi is the bees knees.
Agree with you to a degree, although the majority of touts on there create new accounts till they hit a massive parlay or two, have a big event or whatever then have clearly mediocre results after.

It's hard to say I've just been lucky over that many weeks doing mainly straight bets and some doubles. My sample size isn't huge on there yet but its decently consistent over a reasonable period. And not much different to what I've been doing for months prior if you look at my posted picks. I have posted a total of my posted picks over a 2 month window on here before which also showed solid profit but guys like to conveniently ignore all that.

At the end of the day you can poke holes in whatever evidence I present but it's still going to be a lot more than what anyone else is putting forward. Don't like to big myself up here just find it annoying how guys with marginal at best profits week after week try and act like I'm full of shit. It derails threads endlessly and is blatantly false if you bother to actually pay attention.
 
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