UFC on ESPN+ 24 Blaydes vs Dos Santos Official Bets

[Sono07]

Between 246 and work I feel like I've got the luck of the Irish so far. Slipped out the back after nearly a decade right as my whole division got bought out locking future transitions. Let's see if the crystal ball still has juice.

●Allen 4u for 1.5u I think his boxing and movement controls rounds.

●RDA 1u for .5u Hate the size difference but that's about it

Props and Parlays
●Dos Anjos/Blaydes starts r2 1.5 for .75u
●Jackson Ko/TKO 1.5u for 1.75u
●Allen+RDA 1u for 1u
(Little wild Bellator crossover here)
RDA+Perez+Allen+Landwehr+
Archuleta+Daniels 1u for 9.5u

 

[2bet]

2u Stosic 2,10
2u Landwehr 2,00
2u McMann 1,66
2u McMann/Lansberg U2.5 2,55
2u Blaydes (points => money back) 1,36
2u Pudilova + Jackson 1,80

I liked Kish initially but I changed my mind

 

[null]

Limited action on the top few bouts since I couldn't resist, and I'm only going to be catching this at the sportsbook tonight if at all.

UFC on ESPN+ 24 Risk $4,576.00

Curtis Blaydes (-275) vs Junior Dos Santos $550.00 for $200.00
Curtis Blaydes/Junior Dos Santos fight completes two full rounds (+100) $400.00 for $400.00

Rafael Dos Anjos (-210) vs Michael Chiesa $1,050.00 for $500.00

Alex Perez (-242) vs Jordan Espinosa $726.00 for $300.00

Angela Hill (-185) vs Hannah Cifers $925.00 for $500.00
Angela Hill (-185) vs Hannah Cifers $925.00 for $500.00

 

[Sadistics]

Blaydes -223 $1350
Blaydes/JDS O1 -200 $360
Blaydes/JDS O1.5 -168 $250
Blaydes/JDS O2.5 +132 $400

RDA -235 $560
RDA/Chiesa O2.5 -165 $400

Perez -213 $1600

A. Hill -170 $1200
A. Hill DEC -110 $300

J. Hill +113 $445

Lewis -274 $800
Lewis/Townsend O1.5 -153 $1000
Lewis/Townsend O2 -130 $400

Pudilova -120 $400

Jackson -425 $1060

McMann -115 $1600
McMann SUB +1100 $80

Burns +110 $250

Taking all the chalk this week, don't feel great about it. May reduce Perez a bit if Espinosa reaches +250, and looking to add to RDA around -180.

Added a few bets

McMann -135 $800 ($2400 -121 total)
Johns NSC -144 $430
Stosic NSC -140 $280
Burns DEC +800 $50

 

[Naught2Sixty]

N. Landwehr -120 ML 2u
N. Landwehr KO +250 .3u

B. Johns SUB +410 .5u

A. Hill -180 3u

 

[PolarBearPaulVarelans]

Bit of a frustrating week of capping. There are a number of fights on both the UFC and Bellator cards I watched, thinking the line looked juicy, and left realizing it was reasonably accurate, with no bets. Even one that I did bet, JDS-Blaydes, ended up a far more modest and less confident bet than I originally anticipated.

2u on JDS at +210
4u on Pudilova at -165

 

[hugdeeznuts]

Blaydes itd
McMann by dec
RDA
Johns
Burns
Pudilova by dec
Darko
Allen/Jackson
Bevon/Perez
Angela by dec

 

[Deleted member 316645]

1/25/204:26 PM
Placed - Single To Win $ 319.87

• Junior Dos Santos (+245) Curtis Blaydes vs Junior Dos Santos

 

[HeadsUpPoker]

Was out with family, so forgot to write my fights.

I got proof i got these down, so its fine pre-fight.

1u on Mcmann at 1.75
1u on Johns NSC at 1.787
4u on Dos Anjos at 1.43
Added right now:

1u on Kish at 2.50

I was considering Burns(Didnt expect the KO). Liked Gravely decision, but chose Johns NSC incase he gets the sub.

I kept it short like last time and only 3 fights this time. Gl everyone.

 

[Naught2Sixty]

N. Landwehr -120 ML 2u
N. Landwehr KO +250 .3u

B. Johns SUB +410 .5u

A. Hill -180 3u

+1.4u

 

[HeadsUpPoker]

Was out with family, so forgot to write my fights.

I got proof i got these down, so its fine pre-fight.

1u on Mcmann at 1.75
1u on Johns NSC at 1.787
4u on Dos Anjos at 1.43
Added right now:

1u on Kish at 2.50

I was considering Burns(Didnt expect the KO). Liked Gravely decision, but chose Johns NSC incase he gets the sub.

I kept it short like last time and only 3 fights this time. Gl everyone.

Almost had a clean sweep, but got burned on Dos Anjos. Went way toooo heavy. I just didnt see Chiesa on the caliber of those he had lost to previously. Fun night otherwise! I regret not going on Burns and Angela hill as i was heavily considering them. But tbf, i also had Stosic in mind hehe.

The streak of 2020 ends already lol. Loss/Profit: -0.96u

 

[PolarBearPaulVarelans]

Bit of a frustrating week of capping. There are a number of fights on both the UFC and Bellator cards I watched, thinking the line looked juicy, and left realizing it was reasonably accurate, with no bets. Even one that I did bet, JDS-Blaydes, ended up a far more modest and less confident bet than I originally anticipated.

2u on JDS at +210
4u on Pudilova at -165

Welp, it was even more frustrating than I thought!

Added 0.9u on Johns at -215 after round 2 (cash)
1u on Allen at -175 after round 1 (cash)
0.2u on Stosic at +900 after round 2 (miss)
1u on RDA at -190 (miss)

Late adds were -0.16u, and with both pre-bets losing, that -6.16u on the night. First losing night for me in a very, very long time. Weirdly, I don't mind a single play, either, based on the tape and even how it played out.

Oh well; can get some of it back on Bellator.

 

[grndzro]

Almost had a clean sweep, but got burned on Dos Anjos. Went way toooo heavy. I just didnt see Chiesa on the caliber of those he had lost to previously. Fun night otherwise! I regret not going on Burns and Angela hill as i was heavily considering them. But tbf, i also had Stosic in mind hehe.

The streak of 2020 ends already lol. Loss/Profit: -0.96u

Ow. We'll do better next week. If I'm shouting from the rooftops yall better take a close look.

 

[2020Tracked]

Money line -
Chiesa at 3.00 - 1 unit - Hits
Perez at 1.50 - 1 unit - Hits
Pidilova at 1.65 - 1 unit - Loss
Lansburg at 2.30 - 0.5 unit - Loss

Parleys -
Perez/Jackson at 1.77 - 0.75 unit - Hits
Perez/Jackson/Blaydes at 2.56 - 0.25 unit - Hits

Props -
Blaydes inside the distance at 1.57 - 1 unit - Hits
Darko inside the distance at 2.75 - 0.5 unit Loss
Blaybes/JDS over 1.5 rounds at 1.57 - 1 unit - Loss

Bets for fun -
Herbert burns inside the distance + Brett Johns inside the distance at 13.13 - 0.15 unit - Hits

Chiesa by KO/TKO at 18.00 - 0.05 unit - Loss

Nick Lentz by submission at 15.00 - 0.05 unit - Loss

Also have Blaydes/Black Beast at 1.98 - 1 unit over the next two cards - Lives on

8.25 unit spend

Considering playing Herbert Burns straight for a unit, I'll see how wide the line gets.

Hit a few live lines, got Kish at 2.35 for 1 unit and I got Jamal Hill at 1.66 for 1 unit, I threw 0.5 unit on JDS at 3.20

Have two parleys that will settle with Pettis, Cybord and Archuleta.

 

[Sadistics]

Blaydes -223 $1350
Blaydes/JDS O1 -200 $360
Blaydes/JDS O1.5 -168 $250
Blaydes/JDS O2.5 +132 $400

RDA -235 $560
RDA/Chiesa O2.5 -165 $400

Perez -213 $1600

A. Hill -170 $1200
A. Hill DEC -110 $300

J. Hill +113 $445

Lewis -274 $800
Lewis/Townsend O1.5 -153 $1000
Lewis/Townsend O2 -130 $400

Pudilova -120 $400

Jackson -425 $1060

McMann -115 $1600
McMann SUB +1100 $80

Burns +110 $250

Taking all the chalk this week, don't feel great about it. May reduce Perez a bit if Espinosa reaches +250, and looking to add to RDA around -180.

Added a few bets

McMann -135 $800 ($2400 -121 total)
Johns NSC -144 $430
Stosic NSC -140 $280
Burns DEC +800 $50

+$4852. Was sure I was gonna hit 6k a min into rd2 of the main event but I'll take that any day. Up $760 on belly plays too, hoping Borics, Archuleta, and Cyborg can bring that up another grand or so

 

[burge13]

Lost RDA and main event starts R3. Shocking

RDA is washed I think. Chiesa isnt good, RDA just doesnt have enough in the tank any more. Underestimated Blaydes or overestimated JDS, either way got the main wrong.

-4U

 

[BigSteve]

3.7u on Blaydes/Jackson at.1.84 for 3u
2.2u on Hill/Jackson at 1.91 for 2u
2u on RDA at 1.48 for 1u
1.3u on McMann at 1.74 for 1u
0.5u on Stosic at 2.08 for 0.5u

Lots of potential on this card in my opinion. Still searching.

+4.4u

Needed that after last week, chasing and barley getting into green.

I knew Townsend and Stosic were losing bets, but couldn't help betting on my countrymen, Hill has an iron chin too.

Even a disappointing RDA couldn't stop the profit train, onto the next.

 

[Bastaille]

Blaydes 1k to win 400$
Blaydes O1.5 800$ to win 456$

A.Hill 1k to win 570$
Hill dec 300$ to win 285$

RDA 1k to win 400$

Pudilova 1k to win 570$
Pudilova dec 300$ to win 330$

Risky card, good luck everybody

-2380$ shameful performance by pudilova. What the fuck was that gameplan.

 

[GigaOuts]

-2380$ shameful performance by pudilova. What the fuck was that gameplan.

Wow, lots of big time gambler. I would have heart attack if I lose over 1g now. fml.

 

[2bet]

2u Stosic 2,10
2u Landwehr 2,00
2u McMann 1,66
2u McMann/Lansberg U2.5 2,55
2u Blaydes (points => money back) 1,36
2u Pudilova + Jackson 1,80

I liked Kish initially but I changed my mind

in hindsight i should have not put any money on the kish fight at all
and put less on the U2.5 in the McMann fight.
I don't regret the Stosic and Landwehr bets in general.
To make things worse I chased on RDA even though I did not put anything on the fight pre-event as I gave Chiesa a good chance for an upset.

Whatever, it wasn't my night