Well that's kind of what everybody knows is the case, even though Islam has more than his share of haters who won't admit it. Arman probably has the best chance of not getting finished out of anybody at LW, but he also has less of a chance to get a finish himself. Gaethje or Poirier could at least land something big, Arman would likely keep it somewhat competitive everywhere, but not win anywhere.
If your plan is to push a fight back several months hoping to get noticeably better in that time, that's not really a good sign.