Look I love Andy but he made a career highlight reel on wrecking guys with subpar boxing and less reach. The best strikers he beat was Okami and Vitor. His best counter striking fest was against the likes of Leben and Forest.
Chael was tagging him, Nick was landing on him, Bisping outboxxed him after getting literally knocked out, Weidman was outboxing him.
He is fighting a young talented striker who can match his reach. Andy is older, his chin has been cracked. The 1st thing to go is speed and reflexes, both things he relies on with his style.
Either a boring match of two guys feinting for counters or Andy gets corpsed. I'm guessing it's gonna be a slight early stoppage TKO for stylebender.