Was trying something new when I asked it for which fight is the biggest chance for an upset. this is what it said:
To determine which matches are most likely for an upset, we will analyze the fighters' metrics, recent performances, and matchups. Upsets are often characterized by undervalued fighters with potential advantages or higher chances than the odds suggest.
Match Analysis
1. Islam Makhachev vs. Dustin Poirier
- Islam Makhachev
- Striking: 85
- Grappling: 95
- Physical Traits: 90
- Fight IQ: 92
- Cardio: 88
- Dustin Poirier
- Striking: 90
- Grappling: 85
- Physical Traits: 88
- Fight IQ: 90
- Cardio: 90
Analysis: Makhachev's grappling is a significant advantage, but Poirier has excellent striking and a well-rounded skill set. The odds reflect Makhachev's grappling dominance, yet Poirier's experience and striking could pose problems.
Upset Likelihood: Medium (Poirier's versatility could surprise if he manages to keep the fight standing or exploit moments in striking exchanges.)
2. Sean Strickland vs. Paulo Costa
- Sean Strickland
- Striking: 88
- Grappling: 80
- Physical Traits: 85
- Fight IQ: 87
- Cardio: 85
- Paulo Costa
- Striking: 90
- Grappling: 75
- Physical Traits: 90
- Fight IQ: 80
- Cardio: 82
Analysis: Strickland is more technical and has better cardio, but Costa's power and aggression can turn the fight around quickly. If Costa maintains pressure and lands significant strikes, an upset is possible.
Upset Likelihood: High (Costa's knockout power and aggressive style can disrupt Strickland's game plan.)
3. Randy Brown vs. Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
- Randy Brown
- Striking: 82
- Grappling: 78
- Physical Traits: 84
- Fight IQ: 80
- Cardio: 82
- Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
- Striking: 85
- Grappling: 80
- Physical Traits: 83
- Fight IQ: 82
- Cardio: 83
Analysis: Both fighters are fairly evenly matched with a slight edge to dos Santos in striking. Brown's reach and athleticism could be factors in his favor.
Upset Likelihood: Medium (Brown's reach and striking improvement can lead to a close fight, but dos Santos's slight edge makes it less likely for an upset.)
4. Cesar Almeida vs. Roman Kopylov
- Cesar Almeida
- Striking: 88
- Grappling: 75
- Physical Traits: 85
- Fight IQ: 80
- Cardio: 82
- Roman Kopylov
- Striking: 80
- Grappling: 78
- Physical Traits: 83
- Fight IQ: 78
- Cardio: 80
Analysis: Almeida has a clear advantage in striking. Kopylov needs to rely on grappling, but Almeida's striking is likely too strong.
Upset Likelihood: Low (Almeida's superior striking makes it difficult for Kopylov to execute an upset.)
5. Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van
- Tatsuro Taira
- Striking: 82
- Grappling: 85
- Physical Traits: 80
- Fight IQ: 82
- Cardio: 85
- Joshua Van
- Striking: 80
- Grappling: 78
- Physical Traits: 79
- Fight IQ: 77
- Cardio: 80
Analysis: Taira is more well-rounded and has better grappling. Van would need a perfect game plan to secure a win.
Upset Likelihood: Low (Taira's well-rounded skills give him a clear edge.)
Upset Candidates
1. Sean Strickland vs. Paulo Costa
- Reasoning: Costa's power and aggression can overwhelm Strickland, making this fight highly volatile and ripe for an upset.
2. Islam Makhachev vs. Dustin Poirier
- Reasoning: Poirier's striking and experience can potentially outmaneuver Makhachev's grappling dominance if he executes a precise game plan.
In conclusion, the matches most likely for an upset based on the analysis are:
- Sean Strickland vs. Paulo Costa
- Islam Makhachev vs. Dustin Poirier