ESPN+ 2 Assuncao vs Moraes II BETS

[Naught2Sixty]

What you got?

2.5u Frota +185
.2u Frota ITD +415

1u Ledet +175

 

[BaruchSpinoza]

1u Perez @ 2.87
1u Oliveira @ 2.25
3u Albini @ 2.00
0.5u Alves @ 2.75
1.5u Walker @ 1.53 (had money on Ledet @ 3.00, but when the line changed I saw my chance to jump fence for free...)
0.5u Ramos @ 1.80
0.75u Aldo @ 2.25
1u Aldo KO/TKO @ 10.00 (!)
2.5u Maia @ 1.61
1u Assuncao @ 2.75

In my bets, underdogs and Brazilians seem to be the dominant themes!

 

[Jordan3399]

1u Assuncao ML +200
0.1u Assuncao KO +900
1u Assuncao-Moraes FDNGTD +150

3u Aldo ML +150
0.5u Aldo KO +650
0.25u Moicano R3 KO +1600
0.125u Moicano R3 Sub +3400

0.5u Maia Good FGTD +210

2u Alves ML at +195
0.125u Alves KO +700
0.125u Alves R3 +2000
1u Alves-Griffin DNGTD +130

1u Ramos ML at +105

1u Albini-Rozen FGTD +195

3u Borella at +165
0.25u Borella Sub +500

0.5u Bontorin ML +350
0.1u Bontorin Sub +1000

2u Teymur ML +100
0.25u Teymur KO +350
0.5u Oliveira-Teymur - Neither Fighter lands a TD +500

0.1u Renata Souza KO +1000
0.25u Renata Souza Sub +210
0.5u Renata Souza ITD +150
0.125u Frota R1 +800
1u Souza-Frota DNGTD -120

 

[t6p]

1u Oliveira +180

0.75u Ledet +250

That’s all so far, will most likely be adding.

 

[Austisthunder]

2 U on Ramos +110
2 U on Aldo +130
1 U on Walker -230
1 U on Maia -175

 

[BaruchSpinoza]

1u Assuncao ML at +200
3u Aldo ML at +150
2u Alves ML at +195
1u Ramos at +105
3u Borella at +165
0.5u Bontorin ML +350

Man, you managed to pick up those bets at very impressive odds! Nice!

 

[Jordan3399]

Man, you managed to pick up those bets at very impressive odds! Nice!

Cheers, I get lucky being in the UK on them as there's a time delay between the odds changing between the US and UK so get to pretty much see the future in terms of line movement.

 

[Oblivian]

1u Assuncao ML at +200
3u Aldo ML at +150
0.5u Aldo KO +650
0.25u Moicano R3 KO +1600
0.125u Moicano R3 Sub +3400
2u Alves ML at +195
1u Ramos at +105
3u Borella at +165
0.5u Bontorin ML +350
2u Teymur ML +100

We couldn't differ more on Oliveira/Teymur, but I'm literally the same on the others besides the Moicano props.

 

[Jordan3399]

We couldn't differ more on Oliveira/Teymur, but I'm literally the same on the others besides the Moicano props.

Yeah I was worried I was a little deep on Aldo and liked the prop odds as a slight hedge. Really interested to see how Oliveira-Teymur plays out now, should be a great fight while it lasts, one of them should be getting a POTN bonus.

 

[BaruchSpinoza]

Having looked at some more tape I feel very uncomfortable having Ledet over Walker. I'm trying to bet according to a model I'm trying out, and not going by my gut, but the gut (and eyes and reason) are screaming that Walker is going to absolutely destroy him.

 

[edole]

1.5u Perez

1.5u Borella

Is value.

Edit: up to 5U Markus Perez

Edit: 1.5u Sarah Frota

Is value

Edit: 1.15U on junior albini.....smh

 

[Soccer Steve]

Assuncao-Moraes Draw - 0.1u for 7u

Maia ML - 2u for 1.2u
Maia Sub - 1u for 1.5u

Teymur ML - 3u for 2.5u
Teymur KO - 0.5u for 1.4u

Frota ML - 1u for 1.9u

Alves ML - 1u for 2u

Ledet ML - 1u for 1.8u

Bontorin ML - 0.5u for 1.8u
Bontorin Sub - 1u for 9.5u

Albini ML - 2u for ~2u
Starts Round 3 - 1u for 1.2u

Borella ML - 1.5u for 2.4u

Hernandez+Moraes - 1u for 1u

Still trying to figure out how to best play Moicana against Aldo. Fully expect Bontorin to get smashed a la Vinicius but can't resist +950 on a guy with 11/14 of his wins via sub. Toning down my unit outlay here after getting demolished on ESPN+ 1.

 

[ClipYourDirtyWings]

I'm trying to bet according to a model I'm trying out

An mma betting model...bold strategy, Cotton. Let’s see if it pays off for him

 

[theTKDguy]

Aldo 1u
Assuncao 1u
Alves 1u
Ramos 1u

 

[Naught2Sixty]

Aldo 1u
Assuncao 1u
Alves 1u
Ramos 1u

Prices my dude.

 

[Broe.]

moicano x 1.75 800$
moicano x 1.8 300$

ramos x 1.95 600$

walker x1.5 400$

oliviera x 2,4 500$

Good x 2.78 400$

 

[bossman071]

Curious does anyone post there plays elsewhere? Love lots of your insights on fights just forget to check Sherdog quite often. Would be nice to get notified one some players plays once posted. Best of luck to you all!

 

[burge13]

Curious does anyone post there plays elsewhere? Love lots of your insights on fights just forget to check Sherdog quite often. Would be nice to get notified one some players plays once posted. Best of luck to you all!

betmma.tips is a good site for this

 

[bossman071]

I have looked at that site... does anybody post there as well? Or mainly just here.

 

[BaruchSpinoza]

An mma betting model...bold strategy, Cotton. Let’s see if it pays off for him

Well I clearly don't have much faith in it myself, when the odds shortened a bit on Ledet I chickened out and took about half out with a hedge on Walker (edited my original post, so now "only" have 1u on Ledet).