Official UFN 59 Betting Thread - Post Your Bets!

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sam sicilia +200 against akira glass nose corassani
 
I wouldn't take Reem at -260 now, but I probably would've taken him under 2-1. Reem's shown that he can swallow his pride and take people down(did it against Mir, Bigfoot which obviously didn't end up going well for him in the end, Struve). Roy's tdd isn't great or anything, iirc Mir took him down pretty easily and beat him up, and even though he's a black belt, he's really never shown anything from his back.

We saw how nasty Reem's GnP can be and I think he probably just takes Roy down and beats his ass from guard. That being said, dude's chin is cigar ash and we all know Roy can fucking crush with that right hand. Hard to like Reem at his current price b/c of that alone but I definitely favor him here.

Was on Nelson in the nog fight but here i'm predicting overeem to win but no bet yet(and maybe no bet at all on this fight).

Overeem is better everywhere but has a weak chin, he's winning every fight until he loses it. It's hard for me to see value in Nelson's line tbh. If his line improves to +200 I will probably throw down a few bucks.

Am I wrong in saying taking the o1.5 at near evens is a cheaper way to basically bet on Reem? i guess I could see an early round 2 TKO via lots of GNP but Roy is tough as shit to finish.
 
the f? euro book?

It's not even on bestfightodds.

Akira is under rated; He was easily outstriking Holloway before he got KO'd. But he's too hittable to ever consider betting as a moderate favourite, though.
 
Am I wrong in saying taking the o1.5 at near evens is a cheaper way to basically bet on Reem? i guess I could see an early round 2 TKO via lots of GNP but Roy is tough as shit to finish.

Yeah I think if Reem wins, the ov will probably hit. Like you said, Roy is very good at getting his ass beaten for long periods of time.
 
It's on Unibet, currently sitting @+165.

And :

Phil Davis -200
Ryan Bader +150
 
Btw I really like Bendo over Cerrone as a small favorite. I think he's motivated as hell to get back in the win column and I don't think Cerrone on a quick turnaround is really the best thing for him.

Both guys know each other well, Cowboy's guard is nasty and he's great at taking the back, but Benson's the stronger guy in the clinch and I think he'll be fine if/when he gets Cowboy down. He just needs to be careful and not get overaggressive when he's on top b/c Cerrone's guard is pretty top notch for mma and he can be caught like we saw against Pettis.
 
I feel the same. Seems stylistically good for bader. probably a close decision

Bader has better hands than Davis and more power. Davis doesn't have the power in his hands to put Bader away or drop him I think.

Agreed with the close decision. I see it playing out on the feet with Bader edging out the striking.
 
Bader has better hands than Davis and more power. Davis doesn't have the power in his hands to put Bader away or drop him I think.

Agreed with the close decision. I see it playing out on the feet with Bader edging out the striking.

yea, 100% with you. that being said i will probably wait till fight week on it and bet him at +150 or better. No idea where the lines going but Davis definitely getting some respect after the glover fight
 
Took Matt Van Buren x Sean O'Connell under 1.5rnds at +100.

These guys are pretty terrible, I don't think either is particularly durable. MVB is 6-3 with all of his losses coming in the first round as well as one of his wins. All but three of his career fights would be covered in the under. 12/21 of The Real OC's fights have been covered by the under as well with a few of the ones that hadn't coming a few seconds after the mid-way point in round 2.

I'm not terribly confident, but from what I've seen from both guys, I think it's worth a small stab at +100 (5D)

Also on Gilbert Smith tonight .. $1.70 to win $1 for ish and giggles.
 
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On all dogs for tonight's RFA. Dickman is actually the fav now though (-155), but I got him at +135. Tiny plays for action - I suck at AXS cards.
 
yea, 100% with you. that being said i will probably wait till fight week on it and bet him at +150 or better. No idea where the lines going but Davis definitely getting some respect after the glover fight

I'm hoping the Glover fight will sway the odds a bit. But I'm not sure if Baders line will get better tbh. There's probably plenty of people out there who agree with us on Bader.
 
dude i'm not joking, i've been doing those for a while, and i can't get past 4 on bookmaker, cause they practically never offer hockey, so i'm always guessing, lol.

on 5d i've gotten the 5 streak $50 like 5x, but i can't get past the 8 streak.. which sucks, cause if i get to 9, i can freeroll for $ on the 10th (bet the opposite side of my 10th pick for the $500 freeplay)

I've hit 5 picks in a row a lot on Bookmaker, but I've only gotten 6 correct picks in a row one time.

Bookmaker doesn't put up NHL lines often for the contest, probably like once a week. When the lines are up, it's usually the hardest games to pick.

Stupid Dallas/Nashville didn't cover last night, so back to square one.
 
NFL weekend: shaping up
Dal/GB o52: 33/30
Dal/GB o52.5: 33/30
Broncos -7: 33/30
Ind/Den o53.5: 33/30

Planning to take or considering:
NE + SEA: 50/30ish
Car/Sea u40: 33/30
NE + SEA + Dal + Den: 25/135ish
maybeeeee Seahawks -10ish
 
10 days until the fight, Sportsbook.com has

Cerrone +105
Henderson -135

Son of a bitch they nailed this one. Need Benson at any + odds or better yet Cowboy at +130 or better. Hopefully they get some good action one way or the other, or I'll be stuck making a microscopic action play on Cowboy.

Bendo dec is around +130, I dont see him subbing Cerrone again
 
Short notice , had to make weight, understandable.

With the low low level of talent in that div theres a good chance shell get 1 more shot.
 
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