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Tennis - Aussie Open 2016

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by ninjadeathcult, Jan 14, 2016.

  1. ninjadeathcult Black Belt

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    Australian Open - Betfair outrights

    Anyone putting some money down on the outright market at Betfair? Draws should be out tomorrow so if you have a betfair account I think you should have a look at the Pre-Draw lines

    Berdych at 100/1 isn't a bad bet at all, dont think he'll win but he's a shot at the quarters with the right draw for an easy cash out.

    Just locked in myself
    WTA
    Stephens 45/1
    Keys 65/1
    Makarova 100/1
    Cibulkova 180/1

    ATP

    Berdrych 100/1
     
    Last edited by a moderator: Jan 14, 2016
  2. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    Waiting for the draw to come out before id do any of those
     
  3. ninjadeathcult Black Belt

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    For a non betting exchange sure, but for betfair I'd look now
     
  4. Subli Black Belt

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    Good value bets for potential cash outs. However in terms of actual winners, i'd definitely bet Stephens, Bencic (+1600) and Puig if odds are offered.
     
  5. ninjadeathcult Black Belt

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    yea a few good options available if you intend to ride your outrights a bit longer than the qtrs
     
  6. vkram Brown Belt

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    The draw has been made, right? Anyone see any good bets?
     
  7. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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  8. vkram Brown Belt

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  9. Mki White Belt

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    Unibet have enhanced odds for Djokovic to win aussie open @ 2.20 / +120
    I was surprised that I could bet it 50€.. usually these are like 20-30€ max.. Might add more (if possible) if you guys think its worth it..
     
  10. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    just to touch on that (haven't been able to look at betting options yet) -- djok has only one "annoyance" in dr. ivo in his path to quarters. it'll be nishi or tsonga in the qf, and fed in the semis. so realistically, the only people who can beat djok are fed in the semi's and possibly wawr (or murray) in the finals. and you might even have a "not djok" at +odds by the semi's... for SURE if fed happens to stumble

    fed has to deal with dimi first (which he should.) and then either cilic or berdych prolly. so yea. it definitely looks like fed-djok semis are coming.
     
  11. Mki White Belt

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    Tried to put another 0.5u to it but wasnt allowed.. only 6.66€ maybe that's a sign..
     
  12. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    no outright bets for me, waiting for quarter props etc.
     
  13. Roads55 Brown Belt

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    if Djokovic looks anything like he did in his CRUSHING of nadal last week he's a cert, been a while since I saw nole play that fluently and convincing, he just has a lot of players numbers at this stage in his career.

    Haven't looked at the exchange yet, will do in a bit for picks :)
     
  14. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    honestly, aside from a flukey loss to dr. ivo early, he has cakewalk till semis
     
  15. jrwfsl147 Yellow Belt

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    You can bet "Most Tournament Aces" in the UK, Cilic at 25/1 appeals on SkyBet.

    He hit the most aces in the US Open 2015 and was third in Wimbledon 15 and US O 14, and fourth at Wimby 14.

    You can get each way for top 3 at 1/4 of the odds.
     
  16. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    really tough thing to cap.. he should get a lot, no doubt.. but prolly loses to cilic in rd of 16, but if he gets thru him, he almost assuredly loses to fed.. whereas fed, wawr, etc are gonna be racking up aces for more rounds

    but at 25:1 it's an interesting prop

    just can't really put %'s on it for me, can't say if it pays enough, but i don't fault ya
     
  17. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    Day 1 Aussie

    1.7u kohl o35.5 -115
    1u Benneteau +6.5 -110
    1u Benneteau o36.5 -105
    1u klizan +8 -120
    1u seppi ML -135
    0.6u mayer +3.5 -120

    I wanna go bigger on a couple of these, but starting small as I like to do in aussie.
     
  18. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    and it prolly goes w/out saying, but i'm never telling anyone to tail me. i'd say generally if you were conservative with tails, wait for plays 1.5u or higher, or even 2u or higher. these are my bets. had a great year last year, tennis is my 2nd best betting sport. just sharing my plays, i hope it makes people $.
     
  19. jrwfsl147 Yellow Belt

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    I've got the ace stats for every slam since RG 2012, the winners are almost all big servers (exceptions being Stan in the two he won, and Kohli Wimby 2012). Novak and Fed have only placed top three once each, Murray twice and Rafa not at all.
     
  20. Roads55 Brown Belt

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    im glad for once fed has a harder route to the 1/4 finals and beyond than he normally does. can't see nadal making it that far with his draw. not much i like tbh, I'll probably bet djoko now and trade out after a few rounds after he demolishes his early opponents.
     

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