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UFC 215 - Johnson vs. Borg - Alberta, Canada

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by Card, Jul 26, 2017.

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  1. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    glenn-tucker FOTN +750

    i was lookin at this one & melendez-stephens both last night when both were +500... line movement made my choice easier
     
  2. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    why? mcmann lost rd1 2 fights ago and came out and subbed davis in rd 2...

    vieira has shown cardio issues
     
  3. MMA Goodfella #Engaged + a Joe-Jitsu Piano Belt Capper

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    [​IMG]


    EDIT: I assume this broth can be found in Albuquerque New Mexico? Perhaps from my 6'4" by black man who calls himself "Bones"?

    <JonesLaugh>
     
    Last edited: Sep 9, 2017
  4. raketmannen Brown Belt

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    To his credit the few times he bet on dogs he is often right, Ponzinibbio vs Nelson, Whittaker vs Jacare, Masvidal over Cerrone are a couple I remember him picking
     
  5. quincy k Brown Belt

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    im hoping for mcmann to get the early td and veira to get to +300. veira did fine agaisnt aes in the second and the 3rd and has the ouput to make this close going to a decision
     
  6. MMA Goodfella #Engaged + a Joe-Jitsu Piano Belt Capper

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    That sounds good in theory, but what happens when Vierra is shutting down TDAs from jump street. And already putting her hands on McMann? If anything this may be a opportunity to bet Sara live. Given that Viera could start strong and fade late.
     
  7. raketmannen Brown Belt

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    If Saras get the early td then I dont see why she would not do it again in the second and third round? I have more faith in Saras cardio than Vieiras. If she's not getting the early td then I could understand betting Vierira since Mcmann really hates getting punched in the face and have "quit" before
     
  8. quincy k Brown Belt

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    then i guess that i wont be live betting the fight.
     
  9. quincy k Brown Belt

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    a lot of fighters get an early td and then nothing, thereafter

    mcmann took down mischa in the first round and then proceeded to lose the second and the third. i dont really like the fight, just see value if i can get viera at +300 going into the second if she lost the first. imo, mcmann did worst in the third round against eye, mishca and murphy.
     
  10. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    exposed big on 3 outcomes:
    -shevchenko ITD (particularly in 1/2/3)
    -melendez ITD
    -kajan johnson any way

    really hope none of those 3 happen, hehe.
     
  11. thewiggo Yellow Belt

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    Nunes should have the edge in 1,2 and maybe 3 (if she gets tired in the 3rd I expect her to shoot for a takedown - I realise it'll take energy to get Valentina down, but once she has she may be able to catch a bit of air).
    Melendez - Stephens I reckon will be a bit of a throwdown I reckon.. both tentative at first trying to suss eachother out.. then a punchout. Stephens loves it, Melendez seems to love it - It's just a question of who will get caught, or if they will just both tire.
    I can't see Johnson getting a win in this one, who knows though it's a fight at the end of the day - Martins could get clipped. Doubt it though.

    Disaster for me is mainly a Pedro win or a Magny TKO/DEC. Also if Glenn pulls an upset.
     
  12. vkram Brown Belt

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    Whats the consensus on Stephens/Melendez? At first I thought Stephens wins this because Melendez is pretty much done but then I started thinking about the style match up. Melendez should out work him to a decision as long as he can avoid the big shots.
     
  13. thewiggo Yellow Belt

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    Stephens will land a big right imo and sit Melendez the fuck down
     
  14. 2bet Green Belt

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    I like the lesbian lioness.
    She is like a weight class bigger, she hits superhard, and she got those vicious lesbian powers
     
  15. Zee's MMA Subscriber Green Belt

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    I'm not worried about Vieria fading. Yes she faded in her UFC debut but that was short notice. Against AES she didn't fade at all, finished strong.
     
  16. Zee's MMA Subscriber Green Belt

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    Who has Stephens KO'd with a punch in the last 5 years? no one, most overrated puncher in MMA

    Stephens is not the puncher everyone thinks he is, the last time he KO'd someone with a punch was in 2011 against old Marcus Davis.Since Stephens moved to featherweight he only has 2 KO's, head kick on Jason and the flying knee on Bermedez.

    And Melendez has never been KO'd
     
  17. thewiggo Yellow Belt

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    If it's the fight I expect it to be it won't go the 3 rounds, Melendez will engage Stephens in a war and get dipped. Alternatively the fight could be a borefest with both of them throwing low volume trying to fighting technically. I'm just putting my view out there, anything can happen in any fight. And if you rule your opinion on "so and so hasnt knocked out someone in x amount of years" you aren't being real because we all know how often a draught or streak is broken.
     
  18. MFCharon White Belt

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    Melendez wins by grinding points. I really think he's capable of getting the fight to the ground. Stephens is a bit overrated imo with his defense. If Melendez avoids big bombs hé should win. But we'll see...
     
  19. quincy k Brown Belt

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    melendez is 35, coming down in weight and off a ped suspension. stevens rd 3 +2150 has some value if he is clearly winning the fight going into the 3rd round and can be hedged with decision because its very very low probabllity that gilbert kos jeremy
     
  20. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    Stephens nsc at + odds is a megatron #elite play but otherwise that fight reeks of livebet. I think Stephens keeps it on the feet, but it will still be very close.
     
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