Gokhan Saki vs Khalil Rountree fight analysis:
Gokhan Saki is a 6'0" light heavyweight with a 73.5 inch reach that fights out of an orthodox and southpaw stance. He is also a highly decorated kickboxer that has fought in K1 and Glory.
Khalil Rountree is a 6'1" light heavyweight with a 76.5 inch reach that fights out of a primarily southpaw stance but will switch to orthodox.
Gokhan Saki's fight against Henrique Da Silva was his first fight in almost 2 years and his first in the UFC. He loves to use a nasty lead hook and a left hook followed by a right hook combo. He also uses the left hook to go to the body. He doesn't set up his combos with jabs like most fighters do. When he goes into a southpaw stance, he will look for the head kick.
Khalil Rountree is a boxer that will throw some body and head kicks. His primary weapons are your basic jab cross or a straight cross. He is very athletic and powerful but has way too much muscle for his frame for mma which leads him to gassing after 2 minutes of each round which results in him becoming a stationary target. Even before he gasses, he has a terrible habit of keeping his hands low and it becomes worse when he gasses which is really dangerous against a guy like Gokhan Saki.
This fight will be mostly like be a striking affair without any grappling. I feel that Gokhan Saki will be too much on the feet for Khalil Rountree. Gokhan Saki was gassing against against Henrique Da Silva because it was his first fight in almost 2 years, he wasn't used to the 5 minute rounds because kickboxing rounds are 3 minutes and he was trying to defend the takedowns from Da Silva which exerted a lot of energy from him and one of the knees in the clinch in that fight rocked him. I don't see Rountree trying to take Saki down in this fight, so he should look better this fight.
Also, Rountree is susceptible to leg kicks, body kicks and especially head kicks since he keeps his hands really low, so I wouldn't be surprised if Saki knocked him out with a head kick. Also, in his last fight against Michał Oleksiejczuk, Rountree kept getting hit with an overhand left which Saki uses a lead left hook but it comes in faster and more powerful than what Oleksiejczuk was landing. I just see that lead left hook landing at will for Saki. Only way I see Rountree winning is if he is able to clip Saki in a wild exchange but as the fight goes on and Rountree gasses, it becomes less likely because his punches don't have as much snap and speed.
Gokhan Saki ML @ -150 for 1u.