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I honestly like the Dec prop @ +600. Perry's gonna come forward, and I don't totally trust Felder's outfighting game.I think that Perry KO holds value. Felder is hittable.
I honestly like the Dec prop @ +600. Perry's gonna come forward, and I don't totally trust Felder's outfighting game.I think that Perry KO holds value. Felder is hittable.
No locks at all but Im pretty confident in Assauncao, he should school Font.I actually think this is a fairly difficult card to bet.
I was going to be heavy on Max.
I see value in Cormier.
I actually see value in Emily Whitmire, which is terrifying. Moyle should be fighting at 105 and whitmire is coming down from 125.
If I knew Lando corrected his cardio issues I'd really like him in this spot.
What's everyone's "lock" of the night???
No locks at all but Im pretty confident in Assauncao, he should school Font.
Kinda agree with you guys about Raphs leg kicks BUT, I kinda thought Kattar would have a similar answer for Moicano but that was really the deciding factor in their fight and Font/Kattar are teammates. Granted, their boxing styles are a bit different but their fundamentals are pretty much the same. I doubt raph is gonna throw naked kicks enough to be countered with a kill shot instead hes gonna be looking to hit his legs when Font slips punches. Boxers like them move their head and and upper body away first, leaving their legs open to be kicked. I remember Joanna started making that read in the mid/latter stages of her second fight with Rose.
Obviously their coaches and team can learn from previous losses and build upon that moving forward and for the record I'm on Font too but holy shit does those kicks scare me away from putting more than 1u here.
Well the circle jerk is Felder by decision, so throw a few units on Perry by KO.Oracle bet Mike Perry against Felder
1. True, that's the question. Munhoz fight didn't go on long enough to see that. He only landed 8 of 12 leg kicks there. While that hurts like a son of a bitch, it probably isn't enough hurt power or mobility that much quite yet. Can't remember if he was getting kicked to the thigh or calf either.1. There are a few differences between that fight and this one IMO. For one, although Font is vulnerable to leg kicks, we haven't seen a situation where he's been compromised because of it. Whether or not that's because he hasn't faced a leg kicker of Assuncao's caliber is the question (Munhoz has excellent leg kicks too but we know how that went).
2. Also, Moicano didn't have to deal with the big reach disadvantage that Assuncao is going to have to work around. I think that's going to be compounded by how long Font is capable of fighting with that jab.
3. Lastly, I think Assuncao is more effective with inside legs vs a southpaw. Maybe we are overrating how much of a factor they'll actually be here based on the Lopez fight.
Kinda agree with you guys about Raphs leg kicks BUT, I kinda thought Kattar would have a similar answer for Moicano but that was really the deciding factor in their fight and Font/Kattar are teammates. Granted, their boxing styles are a bit different but their fundamentals are pretty much the same. I doubt raph is gonna throw naked kicks enough to be countered with a kill shot instead hes gonna be looking to hit his legs when Font slips punches. Boxers like them move their head and and upper body away first, leaving their legs open to be kicked. I remember Joanna started making that read in the mid/latter stages of her second fight with Rose.
Obviously their coaches and team can learn from previous losses and build upon that moving forward and for the record I'm on Font too but holy shit does those kicks scare me away from putting more than 1u here.
1. True, that's the question. Munhoz fight didn't go on long enough to see that. He only landed 8 of 12 leg kicks there. While that hurts like a son of a bitch, it probably isn't enough hurt power or mobility that much quite yet. Can't remember if he was getting kicked to the thigh or calf either.
2 & 3. These are probably the best counter points I've heard about it. Gonna go back and watch that Lopez fight again to see what you're saying for myself.
Over 1.5 subs is -117, I think Burns, Chiesa, Roundtree, and Lewis’s best path to victory is the sub.
Francis has a better submission game imo. He has armbars and standing Kimuras on his resume - surely hes versed with guillotines and rncs too.What type of sub do you see Derrick Lewis slapping on?