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- Feb 2, 2007
- Messages
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Gus
Nunes
Condit
Anderson
Volkanovski
Arlovski
Zingano
Yan
BJ
Millender
Uriah
Nunes
Condit
Anderson
Volkanovski
Arlovski
Zingano
Yan
BJ
Millender
Uriah
UFC 232 Jones vs Gustafsson II - BETS
- Thread starter Soccer Steve
- Start date
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- Oct 22, 2011
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- 2
2.5u on Chiesa + Mendes @ +187
1.5u on Nunes + Jones @ +311
1.5u on Nunes + Jones @ +311
I haven't posted in ages since I haven't been able to catch live events due to RL obligations (damn EU timezone) and most of my bets (and profits) were livebets.
While watching event replays some odds really jumped out at me so now I'm checking lines again and liked the above MLs so threw together two parlays.
I hope everyone is doing well! Best of luck tonight
While watching event replays some odds really jumped out at me so now I'm checking lines again and liked the above MLs so threw together two parlays.
I hope everyone is doing well! Best of luck tonight
- Joined
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Added Millender ML prefight for 1u @ -161.
2/4 in my picks. Down 0.6 due to juice.
In 2019 going to up my unit size (it was a pretty decent year for mma betting), make my more confident picks 2-3 units and least confident picks 0.5 units.
Need to move to a good book like 5dimes or something in 2019. Having access to only ML and over/unders and access to late lines and no access to livebetting or props is costing me money. I would have took Wood/Ewell fdngtd prob instead of under 2.5 rounds.
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- Joined
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+9,11u
great finish for 2018
That Kelleher performance was pathetic and I expected that Harris would punch Arlovski's nose off, everything else went as planned
1.95 for Jones by TKO ord DEC as well as Nunes ITD for 5.00 had amazing value, 4.75 on Volkanovski ITD was also ridiculous since nobody really expected him to outwrestle/outpunch Mendes over 3 rounds, ITD was his most likely way to victory IMO
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- Joined
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shit bro... how much did u lose tonight?
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Stfu where are your bets?
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- Jul 14, 2018
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Not only that, but he could easily calculate it himself. So not only does he kick a regular bettor when he's down while posting no bets of his own, but he is lazy about it and wants others to do the arithmetic for him.
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- Nov 19, 2017
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- 9,851
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+1.15u
Eh. Holy jesus what a card though. Good way to end out the year. Hope everyone has a successful 2019. Happy new year M'fers.
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Hold your head up Jimmy. We all take a bath from time to time in this game. A couple of toenails in the eyeball away from having a decent night. It takes massive balls to play the way you do and I appreciate you. Scared money don’t make no money.
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Maybe people will stop talking shit about your picks now KYLE? Congrats on thisUFC 232: Jones vs Gustafsson 2
Bones/Leoa 3u @ +283 (3.83)
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"Ease up and taper off" indeed. By the time the fights started I had 60u on the event. Didn't re-post my bets as I essentially just added to the above, give or take a few adds.
Had 10u on Jones. He's one of maybe 3 fighters I'd bet that high. Love him or hate him, he's probably the best ever. Without that eye cut I knew he was gonna finish Gus. Hit Volk bang-on, that was nice. I will always bet against quitters. Hall was a fairly lucky sweep. Corey I thank this forum for.
23.6u ends 2018 UFC on a nice note. Congrats to all winners. Keep on keeping on to all hard-done-by's.
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+3.2u, event props saved me from a break even night. Was on track to be a massive night but Mendes and Cyborg turned that around.
Despite Mendes showing great cardio across 5 rounders, it hasn't been tested since USADA and I chose to ignore that. Not sure what was up with Cyborg, between the massive amount of money that came in on Nunes last minute, the cryptic tweets, injury rumours, and how she fought, I really think something was wrong with her. Happy to be in profit, don't think I've had a losing event since July.
Caps off an amazing year, turned $7.8k into $64231.67, been a pleasure working with you all.
Yeah, it's okay. I spent five years building a bankroll instead of taking payouts, so this is a smallish dent only. I've had a lot of $2,000 and $2500+ profit cards this year, so not the end of the world or my bankroll that I lost $4,500 on this one. I had four big leans and huge bets this time: Ryan Hall won; Cat lost but I had a good hedge on the under and Megan KO prop. It was really Mendes losing to a Volkanovski that was just a better version of himself at this point and then finally I never imagined Cyborg losing, never mind getting slept like that. I thought the over was a great play there too. Didn't help to chase on Gustafsson either.
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I ended up +2u which you have to take I guess on a night when some big betting favorites fell hard..
Made a mess of the fight pass fights and Mendes but like Sadistics the props saved me, particularly 4x u2.5 bets and 3+ kos on the main card
I somehow managed to bet all around Jones 3rd round KO, had him sub & decison, 4th or 5th round KO and 4th 5th or decision. Alex just couldnt hold in there for me.
Hope everyone is having a good break and see you all next year
Made a mess of the fight pass fights and Mendes but like Sadistics the props saved me, particularly 4x u2.5 bets and 3+ kos on the main card
I somehow managed to bet all around Jones 3rd round KO, had him sub & decison, 4th or 5th round KO and 4th 5th or decision. Alex just couldnt hold in there for me.
Hope everyone is having a good break and see you all next year
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Added 2u Jackson -155, 1u Wood -105, 0.5u Yan rd2 +700, 0.2u Yan rd3, 2u Cyborg and 1u Gustafsson. Looks like I'm down about a unit, was too confident in Latifi and should have left Cyborg/Gus alone but I'm not too mad at myself.
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I constantly look at your plays and what your doing...I honestly think you’re not far away from selling picks man...I think it’s a blessing we get to view how you’re playing before they happen at the rate you’re winning...I just have way too much arrogance to copy your plays even to my detriment but you are definitely an above average capper. There’s really no doubt you will be successful from here on out. I know it feels like I’m blowing everyone that won and all...but it’s the truth...
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-4U.
Went too heavy on Mendes in hindsight. Wish he said before the event that he was planning to retire win or lose, I either would have limited the bet size or just not bet him.
I don't think he looked too bad, though his cardio seemed to fail but it was a fast paced fight with both guys throwing heat and getting hurt. I thought his top game would have been good enough to keep Volk grounded but I guess I underestimated Volks ability to get back up. I think I underestimated Volks striking as well, or just him in general; I knew he was good but wasn't sure if he was elite and thought the line was pretty good for Mendes, though do realise that I was perhaps wrong in assuming it would be a Mendes at the same level as a few years back when he was on stuff.
Definitely got lucky with Hall too, he looked poor and Lewis looked a lot better than I was expecting.
Arlovski I assumed would be in a close fight so nothing too surprising there.
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1u Jones -5.5 -135 +0.74u
0.5u Jones UD +298 -0.5u
1u C. Anderson +165 +1.65u
0.05u C. Anderson RD3 +2450 -0.05u
2u Mendes -155 -2u
1u Kelleher +140 -1u
0.1u Kelleher SUB +885 -0.1u
0.1u Kelleher/Mendes/C. Anderson/Cyborg/Jones +1607 -0.1u
Live:
0.5u C. Anderson +180 +0.9u
0.5u Condit +170 -0.5u
NET: -0.96u
Small loss to cap off a disappointing second half of 2018. I'll be sharing my final results in the year end thread in the next few days. Congrats to all winners.
EDIT: Miscalculated initially, even smaller loss than I thought
0.5u Jones UD +298 -0.5u
1u C. Anderson +165 +1.65u
0.05u C. Anderson RD3 +2450 -0.05u
2u Mendes -155 -2u
1u Kelleher +140 -1u
0.1u Kelleher SUB +885 -0.1u
0.1u Kelleher/Mendes/C. Anderson/Cyborg/Jones +1607 -0.1u
Live:
0.5u C. Anderson +180 +0.9u
0.5u Condit +170 -0.5u
NET: -0.96u
Small loss to cap off a disappointing second half of 2018. I'll be sharing my final results in the year end thread in the next few days. Congrats to all winners.
EDIT: Miscalculated initially, even smaller loss than I thought
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