UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 Official Bets

[careto]

Cormier +120 $500

Vera/O'Malley O2 -135 $800
Vera RD3 +2800 $40

Miller +114 $1200
Miller RD1 +500 $100

Yoder +186 $2400

Jandiroba -180 $1800

Porter/Daukaus O1.5 -106 $400

Brown/Chavez U2.5 -104 $600

Kamaka -190 $500
Kamaka DEC +125 $250
Kamaka/Kelley GTD -172 $800

Not loving this card. Still waiting for Dodson and Vera lines to peak. Will add to Miller if he keeps climbing too.

Very similar to my bets but now you are making me doubt between Cormier and Miocic.

 

[markys00]

TJ Brown V Chavez Ends in Finish 429 to win 300

Jandiroba 1,600 to win 816

Burns SUB 299 to win 200

Yoder 781 to win 1,000

Dodson 165 to win 300

Yoder/Souza DEC + Dodson/Merab RD3 or DEC 474 to win 300

Miller RD1 SUB 50 to win 350

Vera/Omalley fight to start RD3 527 to win 400

Usually have ton of leans on these PPVs, relying on props and WMMA for this one

im with ya, most of my bets are prop plays for this card, but it IS a small cage right? kinda gets me nervous

 

[BigSteve]

im with ya, most of my bets are prop plays for this card, but it IS a small cage right? kinda gets me nervous

Im nervous too but i had no choice but to play them. Idealy id love no multies and no props but it is what it is

 

[benebox]

Bets made
£100 Stipe +100 to win £100
£100 Stipe KO +205 to win £205

£100 JDS / Rozen Over 1.5 +100 to win £100

£50 Dodson decision +550 to win £225

£30 Burns decision +650 to win £195

£200 on Yoder +140 to win £280

Some bets I'm considering
Miller / Miller rd1 +550
O'Malley KO +162 / O'mailey rd 1 +400.

*I haven't had time to tape most of the fights yet so hopefully, I'll have a few more plays by fight night.

Added...

£100 Miller +120 to win £120
£30 Miller rd 1 +550 to win £165

£83.33 Kameda decision +120 to win £100

 

[TeamVamos]

Brown $50 -139
Roz $50 -125
Daukaus $25 -115
Miller $25 +108

 

[PuertoRican]

I added a couple more bets to my list: Daukaus +3.5 -140 and Rozenstruik -115.

 

[GoatArtemLobov]

Burns 4u at -245
Pichel 2u -123
Yoder 3u +134
Miocic 4u +100
JDS 2u +115
Vera 2u +225
Vera O'Malley o2.5 2u -134

19u on this card, 25% of my bankroll, this could end up very very badly but I somehow wanted to go bigger.
My less confident bets are JDS and Vera, I feel like the others are going through though.
Maybe I'm gonna hedge Miocic with some 1u split on Cormier R1 and R2 at +600-700

 

[mkess101]

I'm annoyed there is no point spread line on Jandiroba/Herrig. I think Jandiroba has her way with Felice for the most part. Not sure if she'll finish or win a lopsided decision. Don't want to pay -280 juice on her ML. Point spread would be perfect for less juice...but no line on 5d. Lame.

Edit: Oops, sorry. Forgot I was in the official bets thread. My bad. Thought I was still in the discussion thread.

 

[Kazda1]

Anyone have Marley's picks from sportsline?

 

[Papi]

2u Dodson +215
1u pineda +230
1u yoder +135
1u Miller +105
.2u Miller rd 1 +500
Want to live bet stipe after DC kicks his ass rd1 and 2

 

[hugdeeznuts]

DC -115
Jairzinho -120
Merab -250
Yoder +152
Jim Miller +105
O'Malley/Burns -108
O'Malley/Virna -115
T.J. -135
Daukaus -110
Kai -210

 

[PolarBearPaulVarelans]

Lighter card than I expected, in part because @lefontes scared me off Souza. Might add, but for now,

2.3u on Rozenstruik at -115
1.5u on Daukaus at +102
1.06u on Jandiroba at -265

 

[GigaOuts]

Cormier +120 $500

Vera/O'Malley O2 -135 $800
Vera RD3 +2800 $40

Miller +114 $1200
Miller RD1 +500 $100

Yoder +186 $2400

Jandiroba -180 $1800

Porter/Daukaus O1.5 -106 $400

Brown/Chavez U2.5 -104 $600

Kamaka -190 $500
Kamaka DEC +125 $250
Kamaka/Kelley GTD -172 $800

Not loving this card. Still waiting for Dodson and Vera lines to peak. Will add to Miller if he keeps climbing too.

The decision announcement must be agitation, than shot to the heart. You are a beast to take this kinda of swing. This will fuck me few weeks, fight so close and likely win that bet too base on media score.I stick to micro limit.

 

[GoatArtemLobov]

+0.4u
Broke even thanks to Vera and Miocic, was a really bad night mainly because of Yoder and Burns who shat the bed (Roz Koing JDS didn't help too)

 

[FimbulFightPicks]

May add some late bets, but for now.

Jandiroba 1.50 - 2.5u / $375
Yoder 2.30 1u / $150
Santos 2.15 1u / $150
Miocic/Cormier FDGTD 1.50 3u / $450
Parlay Jandiroba/Chikadze 2.25 1.5u / $225

Added Vera prebet fight aswell 1u odds 3.25

Overall -1.5u prebet, got trapped by the FDGTD in the ME, often we see fighters in rematches coming in stronger, the fights going to a decision, talked to someone about this, but ultimately just bet it when i saw it, without research, and got punished for it. As it should be. Will learn for next time. Livebet tried to get on so many fights but kept getting denied by bet365, or being just a tad too slow, very frustrating when were on the right end, so hoping for a new book next week to be ready so i can livebet there.

 

[benebox]

£100 Stipe +100 to win £100
£100 Stipe KO +205 to win £205 -£100

£100 JDS / Rozen Over 1.5 +100 to win £100

£50 Dodson decision +550 to win £225 -£50

£30 Burns decision +650 to win £195 -£30

£200 on Yoder +140 to win £280 -£200

£100 Miller +120 to win £120 -£120
£30 Miller rd 1 +550 to win £165 -£30

£83.33 Kameda decision +120 to win £100

Added during event...

Live bet £19.79 +104 to win £20.58 *tried to bet £100 which annoyingly didn't go through
£50 Dodson +280 to win £140 -£50
Live bet £114 Yoder not to win (end of rd 3) £100 *I thought better to have better odds on 1u instead of 2 in such a close fight.

Net Profit: -£159.42

 

[PolarBearPaulVarelans]

Lighter card than I expected, in part because @lefontes scared me off Souza. Might add, but for now,

2.3u on Rozenstruik at -115
1.5u on Daukaus at +102
1.06u on Jandiroba at -265

Added 0.5u on Miocic at +102.

Went a perfect 4/4 for the night (can't even remember the last time that happened!) and +4.5u. My reads were very accurate tonight. Even two picks I passed on, Souza at -140 and Miller at +115, were good passes, even if the former won.

Don't feel bad for the amount I bet on Miocic (very close, back-and-forth affair, as predicted), Daukaus (two awful heavyweights with poor defense, and Porter certainly landed his fair share of overhand rights), or Rozenstruik (JDS needed to fight a perfect match but like the legend he is, did so for over 8 minutes), but I really wish I had just bit the bullet and put 1 to 1.5u on Jandiroba's sub line as I kept eyeballing, and/or hit her ML more heavily. Definite timidity on my part.

I'm starting to figure out when it's worth it to be significant favorites in WMMA (Jandiroba) and when it's not (Souza), so that's a happy development.

Anyways, I've partially repaired my bankroll after the disaster that was the Whittaker vs. Till card, and my reads are looking very good.

Looking forward to next week, which has a number of potentially juicy lines.

 

[Krieg the Psycho]

So far I have:

Stipe ITD 1.5u +140 (oops, thought I only had like 0.5u on this)
Stipe KO 1u +190

Vera 0.5u +240
Vera 0.25u +245
Vera RD3 0.25u +1800
Vera dec 0.25u +550
O'Malley/Vera draw 0.1u +6500

Dodson 0.7u +160
Dodson 0.3u +167
Dodson 0.3u +188
Dodson 0.5u +200

Pineda 0.5u +240
Pineda ITD 0.2u +400

Jandiroba 2.5u -263

Yoder 2u +130

EDIT:
Added
Miller RD1 0.25u +475
O'Malley/Vera FOTN 0.25u +225
Cormier RD1 or RD2 0.5u +300 (hedge)

All main card fights to end via KO/TKO/DQ 0.05u +10000
Porter ITD + Yoder + Jandiroba + Dodson + Vera + Miocic KO 0.125u +21979

All bets with zero tape. What could possibly go wrong?

Meh. Yoder arguably won her fight, but it was close. Dodson was Dodson, I had sworn before never to bet him and his non-existent output again, apparently I had to re-learn that lesson. Stipe seemed to be even more tired than the 41-year-old Cormier. How was that even possible? And he never really went for body shots with any consistency, which would have been the path to a finish. So disappointed. Also added O'Malley/Vera starst round 3, and didn't get the chance to add to Vera after RD1, so I'm about 4.5 units down. Boo.

 

[Krieg the Psycho]

Double post. Why do Xenforo forums always collapse under pressure as soon as there are more than 20 people online simultaneously?

 

[Crimp_Keeper]

Post em'

$50 Stipe @ -115
$12.50 Vera @ +260
$12.5 Vera @ + 260
$5 Vera Round 3 @ +1800
$20 Vera round 3 @ +2000
$5 Vera round 2 @ +1500
$5 Vera sub @ +650
$5 Vera by KO @ +650
$5 O'Malley Sub @ +2000
$12.5 Miller @ -105
$5 Jim Miller wins in round 1 @ +500
$25 Yoder @ +130 (Thanks @Sadistics )
$25 Dodson @ +185
$5 Dodson decision @ +350
$2.5 Luque + Lewis + Dairush + Rozenstruik + Vera to win $45

+$52