UFC Fight Night 185: Chiesa vs. Magny Official Bets

[WolfgangKennelz]

Added 500 akhmedov , 800 schnell , $350 Andrade +264

 

[Dimitrio]

Ooo but why Andrade?

 

[benebox]

£150 Chiesa +120 to win £180

£50 Morriera SUB +240 to win £120

£150 Omari / Breese GTD +100 to win £150

£150 Nam -125 to win £120

£30 Nurmagomedov sub +330 to win £100

£50 Fiorot KO +260 to win £130
.......................
Net profit: £60

*I shouldn't have lowered my Chiesa bet, he completely dominated every round.

 

[PolarBearPaulVarelans]

Only had a chance to tape one fight.

2u on Leonardo at +165

Finally got a chance to get my live-bets going, hitting

2u on Dalcha after round 1 at -173
1u on Su after round 1 at -500
1u on Murphy after round 1 at -500
2u on Chiesa after round 3 at -450

and thus breaking even for the card. Still, I'm very salty with myself. Fiorot looked absolutely dreadful on tape, with some of the shittiest boxing I've ever seen and zero defense, but maybe I'm just overrating technique in WMMA, and should consider factors like strength and athleticism, which are normally overrated in male MMA? That was definitely a bad miss.

However, I'm REALLY salty with myself for not betting some of my leans, like Akhmedov +140 pre-fight and Alves +230, and also missing out on two sterling live-bet opportunities. I waffled on Akhmedov at +165 after round 1 and I actually entered the amount for Davis early in round 3 for 2u at +125 only to be told it wasn't quite in time.

Definitely need to adjust some things moving forward, and thankfully, there is another opportunity right around the corner.

 

[bendoman]

Chiesa 5u @ +110
Chiesa Dec 2u @ +400
Chiesa Sub 1u @ +400

Akhmedov 3u @ +130
Akhmedov Dec 2u @ +230

Ike Villanueva vs Vinicius Moreira Under 1.5 5u @ -111
Villanueva by KO/TKO 4u @ +140
Vinicius Sub 1.5u @ +300

Morozov 2u @ +400

Modafferi Dec 0.5u @ +500

Edit: Added Fiorot KO/TKO 2.5u @ +260

Chiesa 5u @ +110
Chiesa Dec 2u @ +400
Chiesa Sub 1u @ +400

Akhmedov 3u @ +130
Akhmedov Dec 2u @ +230

Ike Villanueva vs Vinicius Moreira Under 1.5 5u @ -111
Villanueva by KO/TKO 4u @ +140
Vinicius Sub 1.5u @ +300

Morozov 2u @ +400

Modafferi Dec 0.5u @ +500

Fiorot KO/TKO 2.5u @ +260

Added live:
Mason Jones KO/TKO 0.5u @ +650 (Lost but good value)
Jerome Rivera 0.5u @ +220
Adashev 0.5u @ +400
Nam KO/TKO 1.5u @ +210
Neil Magney 1.6u @ +450 (Gauranteed profit hedge)

Up 22u overall for a new best night.
Went 0 for 5 on live bets not including the Magny hedge so need to work on those.

 

[GoatArtemLobov]

I took a one month break from Sherdog so I didn't post my bets pre-fight, and it's the first time in my early betting career I got a clean sheet lol (and also the first time I didn't post my bets pre-fight lol, gonna have to do that more often I guess)
2 u on Akhmedow at +133 = +2.66u
2.5u on Chiesa at +121= +3.025u

----------------------------------------------------------
+5.685u

 

[benebox]

I took a one month break from Sherdog so I didn't post my bets pre-fight, and it's the first time in my early betting career I got a clean sheet lol (and also the first time I didn't post my bets pre-fight lol, gonna have to do that more often I guess)
2 u on Akhmedow at +133 = +2.66u
2.5u on Chiesa at +121= +3.025u

----------------------------------------------------------
+5.685u

I often wonder how much more money I would make if I didn't have a sherdog account. But where is the fun in that?

 

[WolfgangKennelz]

I like Saturdays card way better, although I like alot of these small underdogs this week. Trying to veer away from parlays and not as many totals after getting burned on some totals last week. Got great value on Lazzez, Araujo, and Fiorot fights. First line jumped on me so I got frozen a bit. Debating adding more at current odds. Also debating really hitting Davis as I'm surprised his lines have dropped into the -150s

$600 Chiesa ML +120

$1600 Mounir Lazzez +130 (caught this line at -136 and -154 early and murdered it at fanduel)

$500 Moreira +120 (will play Moreira sub)

$6300 Viviane Araujo -280 (will add more depending on tmro results. LOVE Araujo here)

$800 Matt Schnell +112
$200 Under 2.5 -125

$400 Adashev +360
$250 Over 1.5 -105

$320 Markus Perez +125
$1850 Over 1.5 -130

$400 Jerome Rivera +128 (have $100 or 200ish spread out on under at +150 and Rivera by sub
Update * Just added
$150 Rivera by sub +850

$3350 Mike Davis -175 (missed the line drop. Averaging down now, I'm adding and will most likely add in morning)

$640 Fiorot -152

$300 Akhmedov +125

Added 500 akhmedov , 800 schnell , $350 Andrade +264

+$7170

Year to date: +$12,541

A little bummed by that Lazzez fight. Gota trust my readings. I liked Alves and Lazzez live after round 1. I liked Alves to win the fight. But I had action on Lazzez at +140 when he went off at -280 oh well. Also, I'm a carlos Felipe and Mike Davis decision loss away from only modest gains so will keep doing the research and finding my spots. Best of luck Saturday. Saturday is my favorite card to bet so far..

Edit: added bet slips. Transparency on all my posts. Rest of the profits were from fanduel where I got Araujo at -270 and I unloaded and some Manon at -140

 

[Ryan Kelly]

Manon -105 5.5
Davis -161 3
Su ITD -165 2
Breese -135 1.5
Murphy/DSDA O2.5 -110 1.5
Schnell +113 1.25
Alves +195 1
Alves Sub +580 0.5
Chiesa +125 2.5

BOL, sherbros!

Sheet above is +11.45u. Ended up w a lot of action that I didn't share here but won't get into that bc that's obv super lame. Great event for me. Hope you all did well too. What a gift that Manon line was!

 

[loller90278]

lost the $300 parlay . I also bet chiesa ML for 1u so overall went down 2 units.

I didn't watch the Nam fight -- is it worth a watch? looks like 1 judge cost me the parlay

 

[Monster Meat]

Won some live action w Chiesa and Simon totaling about $200 and hit a few pieces of a parlay ending with packers team total o 22.5 and bills chiefs each get 2 tds and a fg. Also hit on the modafarri starts round 3 to start a parlay w Usman and Aljo. Looking forward to saturdays card.

 

[Monster Meat]

lost the $300 parlay . I also bet chiesa ML for 1u so overall went down 2 units.

I didn't watch the Nam fight -- is it worth a watch? looks like 1 judge cost me the parlay

very good high paced fight. I thought it was a clear schnell 2-1 win at worst but it was surprisingly split. Nam turned it up a bit in round 2 and 3 but he was getting hit all fight and didn’t throw nearly as much. He also wore way more damage than schnell.

 

[Deleted member 316645]

$250 Akhmedov +130

I've been betting less for some reason, haven't found all too many spots on these 3 cards I like.

May bet on Chiesa if Omari wins.

Edit: added $200 Chiesa +120, and a $10 parlay on Omari ITD + Chiesa ML(+1200)

+515 from the 2 straight bets, minus 25 Chiesa ITD + this parlay.

+637$

I'm liking this 1-2 plays per card, just need to up my unit size, last few weeks should've been quite more profitable.

 

[BigSteve]

Fiorot 1,200 win 980
Fiorot KO 100 win 250

Perez DEC/SUB 175 to win 306

Omari 154 to win 200

Nam KO 200 win 300

Ike RD1 200 win 666
Morriera SUB 300 win 840
U1.5 440 win 400
U2.5 800 win 400

Chiesa 364 win 400

EDIT: Changed a few things. Might add Chiesa SUB/DEC later on depending how my night goes

Added Pre Bet:

Davis 326 to win 200
Muniz RD2 50
Chiesa SUB/DEC 400 to win 1200
Magny and O2.5 400 to win 400

Added Live Bet:

Perez after RD1 200

+2069 = 5.2u Was so annoyed at my self playing Perez live. Lots of crap IQ tonight. Chiesa made my day, havent hit more than 5u in a bit.