UFC Fight Night: Smith v Rakitic Official Bets

Krieg the Psycho said:
Andryszak + Lamas 1.2u -105

Pitolo 0.5u +122

Djokovic (live, thanks @benebox) + Caceres 0.5u +241

Whitmire/Viana GTD 1u -148

Cifers DEC 0.5u +380

Cummings ITD + Ankalaev/Cutelaba under 1.5 + Grasso DEC 0.15u +1468

Wanted to bet Kim, but she's just so...slow. Grasso doesn't gas like Kassem did but no way I play her ML at current odds.
Click to expand...
I’m betting Kim because Grasso should not be -250 or higher against ANYONE. I also like Kim’s strength in the clinch, her tenacity, cardio, composure, and I think she might be the longer girl in a boxing match...
 
Did almost no research, mainly live bet tonight. Have a few pre fight bets and some random parlays with them as well.

Smith rd 3 +1600
Smith dec +815
Lawler dec +510
Cummings dec +250
Springer dec +420
Martin -3.5 at -120
Viana dec +330
Pitolo ML +115
Pitolo itd +225
 
Mallory by dec -102
Viana +118
Brady/Lamas -146
Caceres -205
Cummings +102
Impa -135
Magomed itd -115 (before the inevitable cancelation)
Grasso by decision -140
Robbie +220
Rakic itd +125
 
Vitor Apologist said:
Ok, these are OFFICIALLY placed bets
7 legger:
-Rakic/Smith over 1.5 -165
-Magny/Lawler over 2.5 -260
-Kim/Grasso over 2.5 -400
-Ricardo Lamas ML -280
-Impa Kasanganay ML -130
-Alex Caceres ML -190
-Sean Brady ML -430

10U@ +1156

5 legger FIGHTER AND THE KID parlay

-Impa ML -130
-Caceres ML -190
-Kim by dec +340
-Brady by sub +450
-Viana by sub +400

1U @ +32574
Click to expand...


I was this close to adding Martin Mallory by sub in the 5 legger. I saw how strong Sean Brady was on the ground and I had a feeling Aguilera would wilt to him. Let’s fucking go Kim, Impa, and BRUCE LEEEEROOOOYYY
 
Krieg the Psycho said:
Andryszak + Lamas 1.2u -105

Pitolo 0.5u +122

Djokovic (live, thanks @benebox) + Caceres 0.5u +241

Whitmire/Viana GTD 1u -148

Cifers DEC 0.5u +380

Cummings ITD + Ankalaev/Cutelaba under 1.5 + Grasso DEC 0.15u +1468

Wanted to bet Kim, but she's just so...slow. Grasso doesn't gas like Kassem did but no way I play her ML at current odds.
Click to expand...
Added
0.3u Aguilera RD 1 loss
0.25u Cummings itd loss
0.5u Cummings live +105 win
2u Kasanganay live -139 win
0.6 Lamas/Algeo under + Grasso dec loss
1.5u Grasso dec -154 win (I was a little tilted. Probably not a whole lot of value in this, but I did think it was the most likely outcome.)
1u Grasso live -108 win (Saw +104 but was too slow.)

That should be around +0.5u. The only prebet (other than Grasso dec) that won was also the only one where I was on the same side as Sadistics. Go figure. I guess I should tail him and play Smith...but I can't bring myself to take +205 when I passed on +233 earlier.
 
Last edited:
Vitor Apologist said:
Ok, these are OFFICIALLY placed bets
7 legger:
-Rakic/Smith over 1.5 -165
-Magny/Lawler over 2.5 -260
-Kim/Grasso over 2.5 -400
-Ricardo Lamas ML -280
-Impa Kasanganay ML -130
-Alex Caceres ML -190
-Sean Brady ML -430

10U@ +1156

5 legger FIGHTER AND THE KID parlay

-Impa ML -130
-Caceres ML -190
-Kim by dec +340
-Brady by sub +450
-Viana by sub +400

1U @ +32574
Click to expand...
Kim disappoints, let bias get in the way.

looks like the over 1.5 is gonna cash as this is a wrestling match. Hopefully someone tailed!
 
I don’t want to gloat, but man this feels good after 2 weeks of MLB tilt


MMA is the best sport for betting
 
No pre-bets, and I only made one during the event;

1.1u on Caceres at -185

for +0.6u total. No live-bets that I saw interested me. Apparently, Grasso was +100 after round 1, which was fantastic, but alas, my feed was about a minute behind, which prevented me from taking advantage. Don't regret passing on Impa-Pitolo, Viana-Whitmire, or Cifers-Martin, among others.

Wish I would have put at least a little on Rakic when he closed at -230, however.

Oh well. Don't mind a tiny profit on a week I mostly took off. Thankfully, next weekend's UFC looks very juicy indeed.
 
45 on Kasanganay ml @ 1.80
25 on Kasanganay Rd 3 or by decision @ 2.5
50 on Brady/Llamas parlay @ 1.95
35 on Smith-Rakic starts Rd 3 @ 2.00

Nice and green event for +156 on prebets. Also bet a small amount live on Cáceres itd and an Algeo hedge for a minor profit.
Looking forward to the next two events which got some juicy underdogs.
 
BigSteve said:
Don't usually post this early but wont be adding anything more to this me thinks:

Aguilera RD1 KO 18 to win 360

Whitmire/Viana DEC 300 to win 186 ( probably cash out ) Cashed out - 37

Martin by finish 78 to win 200

Pittolo 334 to win 400

Cutelaba RD1 KO 70 to win 484

Lamas 755 to win 400

Magny RD3/DEC 800 to win 496

Smith 89 to win 200

Magny/Lawler + Whitmire/Viana DEC + Main Start RD2 170 to win 400
Click to expand...

Added Pre bet:

Caceres 951 to win 400
Algio KO 50
Magny DEC 534 to win 400
Lawler RD1 KO 180

Added Live bet:

Cummings 50 after RD2 to win 87
Impa 827 after RD2 ( tried 1k but limited, time for new book ) to win 239
Algio 500 After RD1

+844 = +2u

Happy with that, after being a lil bitch and losing money on Algio livebet, Magny saved me.
These Covid vegas cads have been rough.

 
Kamais_Ookin said:
crazy hit congrats!
Click to expand...
I had these picks in my head the whole week or two. I was gonna fade caceres hard against giga, but knew this was a great price for caceres to beat some non with 5 days notice or less.

Also, I almost never pick a favorite who I perceive their wrestling to be worse then the underdog. Wrestling is so important even when you don’t see it.
 
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