UFC on ESPN+ 24 Blaydes vs Dos Santos

I like kish vs pudilova as a +140 dog. No way should Kish ever be such a big dog vs a very limited fighter as pudilova. Pudilova is super tough and can push a pace. That is about it. She has very limited skills and will have a difficult fight vs anybody. I cap kish as a slight favourite.
 
Broe. said:
I like kish vs pudilova as a +140 dog. No way should Kish ever be such a big dog vs a very limited fighter as pudilova. Pudilova is super tough and can push a pace. That is about it. She has very limited skills and will have a difficult fight vs anybody. I cap kish as a slight favourite.
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I like her as well. She blew her knee out and is coming back from surgery but she shouldn’t be a dog here
 
Wiktoruspro said:
Any leans to Arnold Allen fighting Lentz?
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Allen by decision is most likely.

Lentz has looked improved but he's never going to be any more than he is, a tricky test around the top 15. I think Allen has faced tougher fighters in Makwan and Mads, those fights didn't go all his way but in the end he did get the win.

I wouldn't rule out Lentz putting Allen in some tricky spots but I think most likely Allen out kick boxes him to respectable but predictable win
 
So far I only like Landswehr at 2.00 and Kish at 2.35

Dos Santos odds are getting tempting but I don't see him submitting Blaydes nor winning by decision, so I will wait for his KO line.

I'll bet Johns if his odds get a lil' higher, same with McMann (I doubt her line will improve though)
 
ufcman said:
give me a reason not to bet on anjos.i can’t figure out how chiesa wins,anjos is better than him everywhere.
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This isn't the same stylistic matchup as CDF/Pettis, but it somehow reminds me of that fight. RDA is better than Chiesa everywhere. There really isn't an area for Chiesa to exploit, and RDA can exploit him anywhere. I'm not a guy that normally hunts down favorites, but similar to CDF/Pettis, I think there is a lot of value in RDA as a moderate fav here. Again, similar to the Pettis/CDF fight, I really think the only risk is Chiesa somehow landing something big while RDA is pushing forward. Other than that, I don't see where he really has success for any sort of extended period of time.
 
2bet said:
So far I only like Landswehr at 2.00 and Kish at 2.35

Dos Santos odds are getting tempting but I don't see him submitting Blaydes nor winning by decision, so I will wait for his KO line.

I'll bet Johns if his odds get a lil' higher, same with McMann (I doubt her line will improve though)
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Not worried about him getting taken down in all his recent fights and now meeting a submission specialist? Talking about Landswehr
 
Surprised everyone is so confident in RDA. I favour him to win but not as a decent size favourite like he is. Chiesa is much bigger, 5 inch reach advantage, taller.

I would assume RDA is going to move and chop at the legs and just out manoeuvre Chiesa, but I wouldn't be surprised to see Chiesa bully him with his size and use his grappling effectively.

Plus RDA is getting older now, 35, a lot of fights a lot of damage, certainly past his prime where Chiesa has probably just found his weight class and is entering his prime.

Dog or pass for me
 
2020Tracked said:
Surprised everyone is so confident in RDA. I favour him to win but not as a decent size favourite like he is. Chiesa is much bigger, 5 inch reach advantage, taller.

I would assume RDA is going to move and chop at the legs and just out manoeuvre Chiesa, but I wouldn't be surprised to see Chiesa bully him with his size and use his grappling effectively.

Plus RDA is getting older now, 35, a lot of fights a lot of damage, certainly past his prime where Chiesa has probably just found his weight class and is entering his prime.

Dog or pass for me
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Got to love all the alias accounts

dog or pass?

Smh
 
RDA is likely better everywhere but I could certainly see Chiesa winning a decision by just being the bigger fighter and using his strength to muscle RDA around long enough against the cage, drag him down a bit and grind on him. I doubt he can finish RDA outside of maybe a RNC - though even that would be surprising - but I think he could potentially just outmuscle RDA and win that way, similar to what he did to Condit and Sanchez.

Chiesa is a lot stronger at 170 than he was at 155, it definitely suits his body type more and he doesn't seem to slow down much now. If Chiesa can grab onto RDA and keep a hold of him, I think it'll get interesting and Chiesa could surprise some people here.

I know it was against a murderers row at 170, but in his last 4 fights RDA has been taken down 28 times and though it may be against lesser versions of what they were, Chiesa put on grappling clinics against Sanchez and Condit. He completely big brothered them both. RDA fights tend to play out a lot in the clinch against the fence and I think it's something Chiesa will look to exploit, getting into those situations and throwing knees to the body and using his size and strength advantage to negate the skill advantage of RDA and make it a gruelling fight that he can potentially win.

At +200 I'll have a bet on him, though it seems like his odds might get better still the closer we get to fight day, I imagine RDA will be heavily bet and in quite a few parlays so will hold off for better odds and keep an eye out for the Chiesa dec prop.
 
Dooze said:
RDA is likely better everywhere but I could certainly see Chiesa winning a decision by just being the bigger fighter and using his strength to muscle RDA around long enough against the cage, drag him down a bit and grind on him. I doubt he can finish RDA outside of maybe a RNC - though even that would be surprising - but I think he could potentially just outmuscle RDA and win that way, similar to what he did to Condit and Sanchez.

Chiesa is a lot stronger at 170 than he was at 155, it definitely suits his body type more and he doesn't seem to slow down much now. If Chiesa can grab onto RDA and keep a hold of him, I think it'll get interesting and Chiesa could surprise some people here.

I know it was against a murderers row at 170, but in his last 4 fights RDA has been taken down 28 times and though it may be against lesser versions of what they were, Chiesa put on grappling clinics against Sanchez and Condit. He completely big brothered them both. RDA fights tend to play out a lot in the clinch against the fence and I think it's something Chiesa will look to exploit, getting into those situations and throwing knees to the body and using his size and strength advantage to negate the skill advantage of RDA and make it a gruelling fight that he can potentially win.

At +200 I'll have a bet on him, though it seems like his odds might get better still the closer we get to fight day, I imagine RDA will be heavily bet and in quite a few parlays so will hold off for better odds and keep an eye out for the Chiesa dec prop.
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Woah bro, carfull, don't have an opinion of your own on a fight, people don't like that here.
 
I have a hard time imagining Chiesa having any success, is he even the bigger/stronger fighter? RDA almost beat Colby and has massive striking and BJJ advantages here. (maybe wrestling too honestly)
I think I cap RDA -400 at least
 
Dooze said:
RDA is likely better everywhere but I could certainly see Chiesa winning a decision by just being the bigger fighter and using his strength to muscle RDA around long enough against the cage, drag him down a bit and grind on him. I doubt he can finish RDA outside of maybe a RNC - though even that would be surprising - but I think he could potentially just outmuscle RDA and win that way, similar to what he did to Condit and Sanchez.

Chiesa is a lot stronger at 170 than he was at 155, it definitely suits his body type more and he doesn't seem to slow down much now. If Chiesa can grab onto RDA and keep a hold of him, I think it'll get interesting and Chiesa could surprise some people here.

I know it was against a murderers row at 170, but in his last 4 fights RDA has been taken down 28 times and though it may be against lesser versions of what they were, Chiesa put on grappling clinics against Sanchez and Condit. He completely big brothered them both. RDA fights tend to play out a lot in the clinch against the fence and I think it's something Chiesa will look to exploit, getting into those situations and throwing knees to the body and using his size and strength advantage to negate the skill advantage of RDA and make it a gruelling fight that he can potentially win.

At +200 I'll have a bet on him, though it seems like his odds might get better still the closer we get to fight day, I imagine RDA will be heavily bet and in quite a few parlays so will hold off for better odds and keep an eye out for the Chiesa dec prop.
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I think the Chiesa decision prop will be pretty damn high. I'd be very surprised to see him win for extended periods of time. When Chiesa wins by decision, he has a clear advantage in an area. RDA is not easy to bully - it takes a strong wrestling background. On top of that, RDA has shown he is the guy that can win by setting high volume and pace. If Chiesa wins, I think it will be ITD.
 
Oblivian said:
This isn't the same stylistic matchup as CDF/Pettis, but it somehow reminds me of that fight. RDA is better than Chiesa everywhere. There really isn't an area for Chiesa to exploit, and RDA can exploit him anywhere. I'm not a guy that normally hunts down favorites, but similar to CDF/Pettis, I think there is a lot of value in RDA as a moderate fav here. Again, similar to the Pettis/CDF fight, I really think the only risk is Chiesa somehow landing something big while RDA is pushing forward. Other than that, I don't see where he really has success for any sort of extended period of time.
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I am thinking the same. My biggest problem with Chiesa is he has holes everywhere. In his striking defense, gets submitted and can be taken down too. So while Chiesa can probably grind him against the cage for at least a round, I think RDA can drop him with leg kicks, take him down to win rounds like against Lee ( Who i think is a much better grappler than Chiesa ) , and possibly even submit him.
 
Tyrrax said:
I have a hard time imagining Chiesa having any success, is he even the bigger/stronger fighter? RDA almost beat Colby and has massive striking and BJJ advantages here. (maybe wrestling too honestly)
I think I cap RDA -400 at least
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Almost beat Colby?
48-47, 48-47, 49-46.

Yeah, almost.
 
BigSteve said:
Definitely a clear win, but I get what he is saying. Taking 2 rounds off Colby in a 5 rounder is solid.
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I did too, but it's pretty ridiculous to claim RDA almost beat Colby when he didn't win on a single score card, and got 49-46'd.

Having said that, I'll probably live bet Chiesa vs Raphie dos Nachos.

I feel like this will be another easy win like Kevin Lee was for RDA but I picked incorrectly against Chiesa vs Condit so maybe Chiesa will pull off the W.
 
You do realize judges are wrong sometimes and a fight can be super close even if one guy "clearly" wins ? Go look at the stats for that fight, or just rewatch it, dumbass.
 
Dooze said:
RDA is likely better everywhere but I could certainly see Chiesa winning a decision by just being the bigger fighter and using his strength to muscle RDA around long enough against the cage, drag him down a bit and grind on him. I doubt he can finish RDA outside of maybe a RNC - though even that would be surprising - but I think he could potentially just outmuscle RDA and win that way, similar to what he did to Condit and Sanchez.

Chiesa is a lot stronger at 170 than he was at 155, it definitely suits his body type more and he doesn't seem to slow down much now. If Chiesa can grab onto RDA and keep a hold of him, I think it'll get interesting and Chiesa could surprise some people here.

I know it was against a murderers row at 170, but in his last 4 fights RDA has been taken down 28 times and though it may be against lesser versions of what they were, Chiesa put on grappling clinics against Sanchez and Condit. He completely big brothered them both. RDA fights tend to play out a lot in the clinch against the fence and I think it's something Chiesa will look to exploit, getting into those situations and throwing knees to the body and using his size and strength advantage to negate the skill advantage of RDA and make it a gruelling fight that he can potentially win.

At +200 I'll have a bet on him, though it seems like his odds might get better still the closer we get to fight day, I imagine RDA will be heavily bet and in quite a few parlays so will hold off for better odds and keep an eye out for the Chiesa dec prop.
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Dude relax, RDA has been fighting #1 contender for years. Chiesa can’t beat any top WW, WW suits RDA way more than Chiesa.
 
I got RDA at 1.48 but wish i bet harder at it. Into 1.37 now and suspect that keeps climbing
 
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