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ufc on fox 18 play-by-play and discussion

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Jan 30, 2016.

  1. LEMONZEST Planning parlays...

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    Frustrating event just couldnt get any mojo going i should have hit aj as i was pretty sure he had it.

    Glad many of u were up
     
  2. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    knew rivera-alcantara would get FOTN over sage-barb, booo
     
  3. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    me, too. was gonna be ANOTHER huge ufc for me, i still did well, but man, that fight kicked my ass. outside of my bets, too, barnett fucked my draftkings and kountermoves, too
     
  4. letmebangbrah Green Belt

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    square as hell but hit a parlay of natal, tarec, rivera, rumble to put me up 7 units. first profitable event this year.
     
  5. jinkoe White Belt

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    Things I think after tonight's fights:
    -Sage is now unbettable as a winner unless he's fighting someone with absolutely zero BJJ game.
    -Rothwell is always bettable as a winner ITD
    -Odds of winning are probably really good if betting on a Russian with Master of Sport designations in Sport Sambo, Combat Sambo, Freestyle Wrestling, and Hand-To-Hand-Combat credentials.
     
  6. Jae Gibbz Black Belt

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    Up ~10 units. There would be no way in hell I would believe that if you told me that after the Yako fight.

    I did best on the CDF and Barb fights
     
  7. Jae Gibbz Black Belt

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    That sucks because I was thinking about hitting that as FOTN, too.
     
  8. piglord Black Belt

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    fuck if i have a bad night like that my entire quality of life for a month is going to be affected

    fuck i hate being poor. gona take me a couple of events to claw that one back
     
  9. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    sorry, pig :( embrace the grind, don't overextend
     
  10. YoungScholar Brown Belt

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    Lost my only pre-event bet (Ellenberger/Saffiedine under 2½) but hit some solid live and last minute bets, most notably Ferreira @ +250 after round 2, Brian Barberena ITD @ +1300 after R1, Barberena @ +275 after the Sage looking lost in R2 with that rolling kick. I also hit AJ R1 @ +245 just before the fight. Total result is +6.78u - great with a bit of a bounce back after a horrible start to the year losing like 16u over four consecutively losing events.

    Grats to the winners!
     
  11. Agent Mulder Black Belt

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    Ended up about +~1u. I got completely saved by live betting. My pre bets went to shit.
     
  12. Ukram Silver Belt

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    Stil nailed it wack, which other bookie did you use anyhow ?

    Am still gutted about the limit, maybe a long shot but get them to close the account and get them to do a true data protection wipe of your data, sign up after a few weeks or months and retry hopefully with no limits?, surely can't be the end of b365. When I get to that point I will have to try too, I tried to ask work workaround's on another forum but they won't activate my account at all. Still at least $700+ is excellent.

    Ups and downs, at one point had 1K on un-super sage and even barnett but cashed out quickly to avoid disasters, I think your 1K parlay, 2 team plays are starting to sound safer and better but just like normal, live bet or parlay plays the cash out option is not always online for the fight !

    Missed bam bam and OCF plays big time, lines got cut quick for bam bam with that take down, and I cashed out of my OCF large bet in r3 when oam going for that td otherwise would have hit big, just was not to be, noticed few other posters did the same ha !

    Otherwise still £500 up, but just about made it even after that terrible loss in early jan. Hopefully will be the + for feb's 3x events !


    Keep trying piglord, patience & timing is the key, I clawed my way back after a big loss early jan just to break even for this month, we got 3 more events in feb again but an annoying Sunday-Monday event and 2 week break after that :(
     
    Last edited: Jan 31, 2016
  13. Dooze Purple Belt

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    Middling event for me, £13 loss. Tried focussing too much on props rather than just betting the winning fighter or overs/unders, luckily it was most of my smaller bets that lost and the ones that I was more confident came off to soften the blow.

    In hindsight I should have gone with Yakovlev SU rather than by decision for the better odds, given I was very confident in him but based off the previous Yakov fights I'd seen figured it was going to decision. Given his pick'em odds though I shouldn't have got greedy. Likewise was really confident in Bruce Leeroy but went with small prop bets rather than just putting a bigger bet on him SU. Also went a bit too big on betting on a fight involving a debuting fighter (went Brown/Dyer ends in KO), something I usually tend to avoid doing. Just silly errors really.

    That said, didn't expect Barnett to get subbed by Rothwell, big shock. That Bader fight was a bit of a shock too, not so much in the outcome (r1 Rumble KO was always the favoured outcome), but the way it was set up. First with Bader just shooting blindly for a takedown from a mile out, then committing to a kimura from an awful position, losing it and getting finished. I thought for sure he had a high enough fight IQ to avoid doing something so stupid early on in a 5 round fight where he knew his best chance was taking it into deep waters, but here we are. Awful stuff from Bader.
     
  14. piglord Black Belt

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    thanks for the kind word bros. i think i made some bad plays mixed with bad luck. ortiz was a straight up horrible pick but i feel very dissatisfied about barnett. funny i had both tarec and caceres but went low gwap on them both while going hard on OAM and ortiz, crazy because i normally get behind the guys with the clear striking advantages but this time i ate shit.

    last year i was making good profits but have hit a rough patch since december. as you say EZ it's all about the long term profits, i'm in this for the long haul i can deal with the emotional turmoil.

    clawed back 100 tonight still down 200. thinking of playing cirkunov next week waiting for lines
     
  15. Ukram Silver Belt

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    tbh I am shocked if anyone did well on the last event yet many did, Reis and CDF literally shut down ortiz and oam style even though it was 100% there own style !

    Josh never been submitted (properly and officially) in his entire 42 fight mma career and being a legit 2nd degree black belt in bjj with 59% wins via sub, against a guy with a purple belt bjj and only 13 subs his entire career.

    Bader who has not lost for 2 years by setting up his game plans via striking an wrestling goes for a take down to his own death,x within 5 seconds of starting the fight.

    The whole event threw logic, styles and reasoning out the window but as I am learning its knowing when to capitalize on those times like many regulars did ;)
     
  16. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    i lost a lil on ortiz and a LOT on barnett, so i'm w/you there. i didn't lose anything on cdf-oam, but man, so frustrating, i tried to live bet CDF so many times, 5d never let me get a bet in.

    for me, the key guys were natal & barberena. saff was a solid cash, too, tho.
     
  17. Ukram Silver Belt

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    Yeah I remember seeing you trying to place those CDF bets like anything ! could have been worse I had £200 on CDF from r1, cashed out in r3 during the td lol
     
  18. wack3d Silver Belt

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    ya its so frusturating.. i really thought 365 was one of the few bookies hwo would not put on such extreme limits like this out of the blue.

    i think i will try that no clue what that data protecton is about though =/
     
  19. piglord Black Belt

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    yeah i picked natal and fucking rivera too, and went low on them. ultimately i picked more fighters right than wrong but wagered heavy on the wrong ones.

    i had a tarec via decision + barnett via decision parlay which would have netted me a fucktonne, frustrating but it is what it is. bring on next week.
     
  20. Ukram Silver Belt

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    Someone suggested it on another forum that if the bookies get a formal email request to wipe all data of account with a mention of the data protection act law, theory is, they should wipe all data about your history of account including limits, bets placed etc

    Think it was a theory though but its sound, id guess if you then re-apply at a later on date your treated as a new customer and fairly and equally with luck!

    Or some guys suggested get mates to sign up instead and then use different methods of payment ie paypal or bitcoin or paycard skrill etc

    I will try and look into it and post a question on this other forum if I can get my account sorted, but were not alone its happening to many b365 users:
    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/for...er-uk-horse-racing-live-play-like-bet365.html
     

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