As soon as I saw Sterling +150 I thought thats a great bet but then I asked myself, what if Moraes was +150?
The thing about this fight is, it's going to be close, it has split decision written all over it. Sterling looks better everytime we see him, his striking has come a long way, I like the pace and striking output he's been bringing lately.
I'm not really sure what a win over Barao in 2017 means, the guy is clearly not what he used to be. Sterling clearly won that fight and he even managed to takedown Barao who as been impossible to TD in the past. Sterling was actually taken down himself in this fight early in the 1st round. Barao was then able to hold Sterling down for the rest of the round which I really didn't like, Sterling didn't even come close to getting up. Moraes is also known for working in his own TD's.
I've bet Moraes in both his UFC fights but there's no way I touch his price here. I'm assuming Moraes will have the edge on the feet here but Sterling will be competitive. If Sterling can mix in TD's then thats where it gets really interesting. Moraes kicks a lot and Dodson was able to catch his kicks and take him down twice. Although Moraes immediately scrambled back to his feet when he was taken down. If a 125er like Dodson, who is not know for his wrestling can get Moraes down, then Sterling probably can as well, holding him down is a different question.
So goodluck who ever is betting this, I think Sterling +150 is a decent bet, it's clearly dog or pass. I think I'm passing but Sterling is still tempting.