UFN 146 on ESPN+ 4 Lewis vs Dos Santos Official Bets

1u JDS R4, 5 or Dec +220

3u Means -188
0.1 Means R2 KO +600

3u Dariush -169
1.5u Dariush-Dober FDGTD +140

2u Kunitskaya -141
0.5u Kunitskaya Dec +100
0.8u Reneau ITD +375
0.2u Reneau R3 +1600

2.5u Boetsch +175

1u Ivanov -110
0.3u Rothwell Dec +450
0.5u FGTD +145

2u Millender +100

2u Moraes +182
0.4u FGTD +120
0.2u Martin R3 KO +1000

1u Hughes Dec +140

1u Smolka -111

0.3u Morono KO +250

0.5u Moret +155
 
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Millender +108 $500

Means -191 $2000

Kunitskaya -147 $1250

Boetsch +181 $500
 
Sadistics said:
Millender +108 $500

Means -191 $2000

Kunitskaya -147 $1250

Boetsch +181 $500
Click to expand...

I'll follow that and add a parlay
$250.00 $2,270.63 Pending 4 Team Parlay
Pending 3/9/19 10:00pm UFC Fighting 1102 Curtis Millender -115* vs Elizeu Zaleski
Pending 3/9/19 9:30pm UFC Fighting 1202 Tim Means -190* vs Niko Price
Pending 3/9/19 8:00pm UFC Fighting 1501 Tim Boetsch +120* vs Omari Akhmedov
Pending 3/9/19 7:00pm UFC Fighting 1702 Yana Kunitskaya -165* vs Marion Reneau
 
1u Kunitskaya by decision +105

1u Morono/Ottow FDNGTD +160

2.5u Zaleski/Millender FDNGTD +120

ADDED 1.15u Kunitskaya by decision -115
 
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edole said:
1u Kunitskaya by decision +105
Click to expand...

Going back to our conversation in the other topic, I don't understand this. Considering Kunitskaya is 29 and her opponent Reneau is 41, and we all agree Reneau has the worst takedown defense in the UFC, AND you told me you believe Kunitskaya has better striking, why in the world wouldn't you unload 10 units or something similar on Kunitskaya here?
 
How's that Dislike button coming, mods? Guy is probably like 40 going on 14. Seriously.
 
Dont turn this bet thread into discussion like the last event.

Signed,
Everyone who comes in here
 
Curtis Millender -115 risking $230 to win $200
Yana Kunitskaya -175 risking $875 to win $500
 
4u Lewis 3.00
2u Dober 2.50
2u Millender 1.80


and a lot of parlays.
 
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Kunitskaya+jones x 2 risking $500 to win $500

Dos Santos+ jones x 1.71 risking $300 to win $241

Millender x1.91 risking $1000 to win $910

Jeff Hughes x 1.5 risking $300 to win $150

Rothwell x 2.1 risking $500 to win $600

Smolka x 2.05 risking $300 to win $315

Dariush by submission x 3.5 risking $51 to win $139.5
 
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TrueAscension said:
I'll follow that and add a parlay
$250.00 $2,270.63 Pending 4 Team Parlay
Pending 3/9/19 10:00pm UFC Fighting 1102 Curtis Millender -115* vs Elizeu Zaleski
Pending 3/9/19 9:30pm UFC Fighting 1202 Tim Means -190* vs Niko Price
Pending 3/9/19 8:00pm UFC Fighting 1501 Tim Boetsch +120* vs Omari Akhmedov
Pending 3/9/19 7:00pm UFC Fighting 1702 Yana Kunitskaya -165* vs Marion Reneau
Click to expand...

I might tail you without Boetsch for a three way parlay for like $50. The return will obviously be less but so will the risk. Something about Boetsch's performances the past few years is just putting up big red flags in my mind. He's old, he's lost some of his punch resistance, he already got knocked out by fuckin' Ed Herman like 3 years ago...
 
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LiquidNuke said:
I might tail you without Boeetsch for a three way parlay for like $50. The return will obviously be less but so will the risk. Something about Boetsch's performances the past few years is just putting up big red flags in my mind. He's old, he's lost some of his punch resistance, he already got knocked out by fuckin' Ed Herman like 3 years ago...
Click to expand...

BOL man, I love Boetsch here.
 
I don't have any sound reasoning to be honest. I bet mostly on instinct as dumb as that may seem.
 
Millender* ML - 1.4u for 1.95u

Means ML - 3u for 1.57u

Dariush* ML - 0.8u for 1.65u

Boetsch* ML - 1.8u for 5.3u

Moraes ML - 0.5u for 0.85u

Kunitskaya* ML - 1.2u for 2.76u

Moret ML - 0.5u for 0.75u

2.24u of various ohmbet parlays for this card still alive
0.6u of ohmbet parlays for this card busted

Still waiting to play Smolka in some way. And probably JDS. Small card for me so far.


OK, for the purposes of transparency I added a * to the above bets that are alive and well but inflated due to being ohmbet rollover requirement parlay survivors with some hockey and soccer lines, hence the high unit returns. I know this is 'cheating' but it is what it is.

Does anyone actually employ this strategy of combining juiced, but very high success probability, lines with MMA favourites that they like? I normally don't but this asshole ohmbet requirement forces me to pick two or more 1.50+ lines and I've noticed it works pretty nice to turn a favourite - Beneil, Kunitskaya, etc. - into an easily hedged, guaranteed play. With how many ball sports are going on, I've found it quite easy to pick an excellent hockey or soccer line and combine it was a juiced MMA fav and, voila, now it's a dog vs dog. Probably a long-term losing method but it's worked great for me this card. Curious if this is a thing though.
 
Soccer Steve said:
Millender* ML - 1.4u for 1.95u

Means ML - 3u for 1.57u

Dariush* ML - 0.8u for 1.65u

Boetsch* ML - 1.8u for 5.3u

Moraes ML - 0.5u for 0.85u

Kunitskaya* ML - 1.2u for 2.76u

Moret ML - 0.5u for 0.75u

2.24u of various ohmbet parlays for this card still alive
0.6u of ohmbet parlays for this card busted

Still waiting to play Smolka in some way. And probably JDS. Small card for me so far.


OK, for the purposes of transparency I added a * to the above bets that are alive and well but inflated due to being ohmbet rollover requirement parlay survivors with some hockey and soccer lines, hence the high unit returns. I know this is 'cheating' but it is what it is.

Does anyone actually employ this strategy of combining juiced, but very high success probability, lines with MMA favourites that they like? I normally don't but this asshole ohmbet requirement forces me to pick two or more 1.50+ lines and I've noticed it works pretty nice to turn a favourite - Beneil, Kunitskaya, etc. - into an easily hedged, guaranteed play. With how many ball sports are going on, I've found it quite easy to pick an excellent hockey or soccer line and combine it was a juiced MMA fav and, voila, now it's a dog vs dog. Probably a long-term losing method but it's worked great for me this card. Curious if this is a thing though.
Click to expand...
When I see anything involving other sports my eyes can't scroll past it fast enough to ignore it.
 
100 Euro on boetsch to win 220
50 Euro on Price to win 137,50
Added 100 euro on price to win 270( risking 150 to win 407,50.
Elizeu Santos 100 to win 200
Jds/Lewis over 1.5+ Dawson 42,06 to win 103,86

I will also add jds/Lewis over 2.5 if the release it on bet365
 
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