UFN 162 on ESPN+ 20 Maia vs Askren Official Bets

5u on Askren
1u on Lookboonme
1u on Greene
1u on Yoda
2u on Camacho

Camacho + Johnson + Askren
2u to win 9.5u
 
I hate these super early cards. Kinda late now so the only bet worth posting is Askren -140 for 1.5U. Also think Johnsons price is ridiculous and Ray could pose big problems if he can get it to the ground.
 
Maia - £25 for £56

Maurice Greene - £25 for £67

Lookbonmee - £25 for £50

Barzola - £25 for £57

Dominic Reyes* + Cyril Gane - £25 for £51

That's probably it, might have something on Bellator too

Greene fucked me over, but I cashed out on Barzola and switched sides, unlisted and live bets as usual..

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2u on Albu at 2.00

2u on Greene at 3.15

2u on Fiziev at 1.54

1u on Yoder at 2.50

1u on Camacho at 2.50

Adding:

2u on M.Johnson at 1.38

0.2u on Askren R4 at 19.50
0.2u on Askren R5 at 25.50


0.2u on Greene DEC at 7.0

0.5u on Pessoa at 3.05
1u on Pessoa vs Hughes FGTD at 1.93

Total profit/loss: -4.28u
The 1 event winning streak ends LOL. Prebetting went bad again. I must admit i got swayed by the Camacho train. No excuses though, he got outshined standing and on the ground. I expected Dariush to win the grappling, but there was talk about Camacho being a very legit grappler, so that made me confident enough. That was not smart.

Albu was a bad bet, Yoder was fine considering i hit her at 2.50 and JOHNSON, WHAT IS WRONG WITH YOU? On to the next one. I am glad i didnt hop on the Askren train atleast.
 
With 2 Bellator cards and a UFC 244 card with a fight so juicy I already taped and put 4u down on it and might add more, I was pleased that I taped 6 whole fights for this one (Pavlovich-Greene, Hughes-Pessoa, and Albu-Lookboonme were all no-bets).

What I'm not pleased with is the fucking horrid prices I got. Holy shit did I get line movement wrong all week. I wanted to play Mayes when he was +305 but figured he would keep rising against a hyped prospect in Gane, similar to Sosoli against Inhalerman last week. Naturally, he crashes to +230, instead, which was the break-even point for my capping. And the less said about my price on Markos, the better;

2.5u on Markos at -155
1.5u on Gane-Mayes over 1.5 rounds at +140
1.5u on Starapoli at +145

Zero live-bets, since until the main event, I was using a stream that was an amazing 80 seconds behind.

I've live-bet many times when my stream was 30-45 seconds behind, but 80 is ridiculous.

Anywho, +2.2u overall. Funnily enough, my shitty lines both hurt and helped me, and ended up canceling themselves out. On the one hand, I missed out on an extra 0.7u in not getting Markos at -110 while risking the same amount.

On the flip-side, Mayes' odds worsening made me avoid betting him, and how much was I going to bet? Exactly 0.7u. Not even kidding.

Don't mind my Staropoli bet, either. He showed titanic improvement from his pre-UFC fights to Aldana, and then monstrous improvement against from Aldana to Alves, but his improvements from Alves to Salikhov were small, if any.

Meanwhile, Salikhov, at 35, looked better and crisper than ever, with a few technical improvements, which was certainly unexpected. I do think Staropoli made a mistake in not letting his hands go more in round 2, too.

The Gane-Mayes over and Markos-Yoder bets were far from certain, with a few new wrinkles to the games of both Gane and Yoder, but there was enough that remained the same for them to hit, anyways.

Now it's time to sleep, and I look forward to UFC 244.

Edit-

I was so tired that I originally wrote +2.1u instead of +2.2u, heh.
 
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Askren ML - 5u for 3.03u (-165)
Askren -5.5 Points - 2u for 3.6u (+180)
Evloev ML - 3.58u for 2.78u (-129)
Barzola Decision - 0.5u for 1.08u (+215)
Johnson ML - 3u for 1.71u (-175)
Markos ML - 1u for 0.75u (-133)
Camacho ML - 2.5u for 3.59u (+144)
Camacho KO - 0.4u for 1.04u (+260)
Salikhov ML - 1.28u for 1u (-128)
Fiziev ML - 2u for 1.05u (-190)
Lookboonmee ML - 2u for 1.73u (-115)

-6.09u posted.

Good job Maia bettors but that fight was so all over. No one had a good read on it on my opinion. I didn't, that's for sure. Askren gassing worse than Maia. Maia outstriking Ben in R1. Ben outstriking Maia in R2.

Hmm, must be Bellator and/or needing to cram in sleep but I had quite a few more plays than this. I was at $1000+ before MJ and Ben. Ended the night at $32+. After the MJ fight my night relied on the main event or bust. I decided to be conservative and placed some Maia sub. Obviously quite glad about that but breaking even is really disappointing all things considered. Better than a loss, I suppose....
 
Askren ML - 5u for 3.03u (-165)
Askren -5.5 Points - 2u for 3.6u (+180)
Evloev ML - 3.58u for 2.78u (-129)
Barzola Decision - 0.5u for 1.08u (+215)
Johnson ML - 3u for 1.71u (-175)
Markos ML - 1u for 0.75u (-133)
Camacho ML - 2.5u for 3.59u (+144)
Camacho KO - 0.4u for 1.04u (+260)
Salikhov ML - 1.28u for 1u (-128)
Fiziev ML - 2u for 1.05u (-190)
Lookboonmee ML - 2u for 1.73u (-115)

-6.09u posted.

Good job Maia bettors but that fight was so all over. No one had a good read on it on my opinion. I didn't, that's for sure. Askren gassing worse than Maia. Maia outstriking Ben in R1. Ben outstriking Maia in R2.

Hmm, must be Bellator and/or needing to cram in sleep but I had quite a few

id say anyone who bet Maia itd or sub had a pretty good read on it.

Maia won’t be able to sweep Ben. Maia isn’t nearly as good off his back. Blah blah blah
 
id say anyone who bet Maia itd or sub had a pretty good read on it.

Maia won’t be able to sweep Ben. Maia isn’t nearly as good off his back. Blah blah blah
Feeling salty at the swing is all, I think. Good job man. I do know for sure you mentioned Maia's cardio not being so bad. You were correct there, at least in the context of it being vs. Ben's.

In your opinion, say R3 ended with Maia in bodylock, what did you have it scored at?
 
Johnson -213 $900

Camacho +150 $600

Starapoli/Salikhov O1.5 -169 $650

Evloev -147 $1000
Evloev DEC -116 $200

Pavlovich -168 $1385
Greene DEC +600 $60

Yoder +165 $450

Hughes -170 $600


Pavlovich (-185) + Gane (-305) +104 $300

These unusual timed cards are often great for lb, looking forward to it.

+$2147, with $1376 of it coming from late/live bets. Evloev DEC +250 after rd1?! Insanity. Was on track for a 6k+ night til the main and co main, adding another 600 to Johnson and lbing 900 on Askren. Thanks to Xuh, Paul, and others not on the forum for talking me out of Yoder, though I still feel she was the value side at +165.
 
Feeling salty at the swing is all, I think. Good job man. I do know for sure you mentioned Maia's cardio not being so bad. You were correct there, at least in the context of it being vs. Ben's.

In your opinion, say R3 ended with Maia in bodylock, what did you have it scored at?

I think askren was winning the fight but was concerned with how easily Maia was sweeping him.

I actually switched sides to Ben the other night. Swayed by forum bias and bjj scout Luke Thomas bs. That’s why I never listen to that stuff

silly me
 
$374 won 297 lookboonmee
$50 albu ITD loss
$256 won 170 Salikhov
$100 won 80 markos
$50 won 25 evolev
$25 loss greene
$25 loss askren
TOTAL= +$472
 
I think askren was winning the fight but was concerned with how easily Maia was sweeping him.

I actually switched sides to Ben the other night. Swayed by forum bias and bjj scout Luke Thomas bs. That’s why I never listen to that stuff

silly me
No, say it ain't so! I was coming here to eat crow in front of you especially. Ah shit. I had it 3-0 Askren (bet bias), 2-1 Askren in the real world. Cards were probably actually all over the place though.
 
Lol at all Askren betters hahahah

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Down like 3.5u, bit shitty was up 4u before my flight then landed and Johnson, Camacho etc. Went to shit. Johnson could have least got himself subbed smh.

Oh well, been on enough of a streak I can't really complain.
 
+$2147, with $1376 of it coming from late/live bets. Evloev DEC +250 after rd1?! Insanity. Was on track for a 6k+ night til the main and co main, adding another 600 to Johnson and lbing 900 on Askren. Thanks to Xuh, Paul, and others not on the forum for talking me out of Yoder, though I still feel she was the value side at +165.
Nice! How much did you put on the +250 Dec line? Did you have other great livebets besides that fight? Also awesome to hear the best lb lined that people dared to pull! Huge congratz on another great win today
 
Nice! How much did you put on the +250 Dec line? Did you have other great livebets besides that fight? Also awesome to hear the best lb lined that people dared to pull! Huge congratz on another great win today

Thanks man, I got 800 on that line, but hedged 400 on Barzola between +300 - +600 when it was turning into a coinflip as I had 1200 pre bet to sweat as well. The only other big livebet I had was 1800 spread across Lookboonmee ML -288 and DEC +100. Was painful to lose a couple hundred on Gane DEC with 15 seconds left. Idk if I'm just an idiot or the lack of sleep + intoxicants caused me to throw a bunch of profit away on the likes of MJ and Askren. Haven't slept yet and been drinking on and off for 14 hours, now 12:30 PM. Goodnight!
 
I didn't know much about Camacho but I followed everyone here foolishly. He ruined my parlay. I made a desperate sad bet on Maia in the 2nd round to win by submission,ko or tko on bet365. I basically made a bit back after breaking even. What a damn foolish bet.
 
Would have made for a great event if this had lasted 10 seconds longer

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