UFC 202 - McGoat vs Diaz II - Vegas

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I don't understand how Rumble is favored or Glover. I see it as an easy win for Glover.
Agreed, everyones relying on Rumble starching Glover with one shot yet he hasnt been KOed since his pro debut. Rumble backpeddles in straight lines when lookin for that one shot, i see Glover getting him on the fence and actually taking him down

Rumble also quits when he's gassed ala Cormier, i see this going same as Glover vs OSP tbh
 
It's perplexing that Nate Diaz line keeps hovering around +odds considering most analytical minds are on him. I would have expected him to move to the favorite by now.

Public prolly on McGregor.

Remember almost all of us were on ponz last fight... Yet he never sropped dropping all the way to fight night... That one more surprising, but still
 



Conor has been emotional in several videos this week.

He used to say he never let himself get emotional. Now that he lost a fight, he's the one showing emotions, while the guy who finished him 5 months ago is as calm as ever.
 
oh great, the mods have spliced in 15 morons again from the heavies who make their ''random bet'' threads there.

kinda funny when conor added danis as a jj coach, when his coach kavanagh is supposed to be a 2nd degree black (danis have barely been a black belt for two years) so you would think a 2nd degree black would have the knowledge to guide him fine.


also quoting iconic songs like hit em up? is conor actually fucking serious. oh, well atleast he didn't go the ''you claim to be a player but i fucked your wife'' route.

conor really needs to stop pretending like he bout that life though, cuz he ain't.

ps: loves conors repeated voice cracks on the last embedded, all his ''wach you gonn doo'' makes him sound like a chihuahua when they bark.
 
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Conor has been emotional in several videos this week.

He used to say he never let himself get emotional. Now that he lost a fight, he's the one showing emotions, while the guy who finished him 5 months ago is as calm as ever.


This shoul after all benefit Diaz. As mentioned, Conor is waaaay too emotional compared to his other fights, because Diaz is the one getting under his skin and not the other way around. All this emotional buildup could end with Conor neglecting his gameplan on fight night and go too much after the KO. As he said in the video, he think he will KO Diaz.

Funny how his coach said that it would be a 2nd round ko, but have changed his mind in his Q&A twitter where he said it would be a 4th round ko. Too many emotions can take a toll on the gas tank.
 
Most media, pros and touts are be picking Diaz. I think the betting line is going to shift to favour Diaz.
Diaz had been shifting from +120 to even over the last month. It seems very likely that Diaz could end a slight favorite by actually fight time. That why I thought getting him at even wasn't a bad thing.
 
And I'd really like to see your reasoning for Conor being a lock Barry, considering Diaz has advantages literally everywhere

Also lol @ John Kavanagh. That guy is such a fucking fraud it's unbelievable
 
I just put $5 on Story to win in R3. +2200 to win $110. I don't expect to win this one, but hell if that isn't value.

I already put a straight bet on Story because I think he was a huge value at +160. I don't think, however, he's at all likely to get an early finish. Most likely it'll be a decision, but looking at these odds I couldn't help myself. I can see Story punishing Cerrone's body and overwhelming him in the 3rd for a TKO; in fact I feel like that's one of the more likely ways for him to win. Again, I'm not saying I expect this to happen, but at those odds, why not?

I also put $5 on Story in R2 at +1200 just to close out my bankroll.

Thoughts?
 
Diaz is +122 now... WTF?

How can people bet on Conor in this fight especially seeing him mentally broken. I don't understand it at all

Will be adding even more if it gets over +130
 
rob are your units £100?
If so fuk putting more on a single fighter who arguably could get stopped, even by a cut..





Conor's two strongest lines during this video clip are taken from Scarface and 2pac's "Hit 'Em Up." Conor is often heard listening to 2pac during his training camp videos.


Man Conor looks pissed I'm actually thinking either he's going to kill Diaz or breakdown in the octogon

@barrygood1

You'll get a like from me when you write your reasons for your picks. You always say that you do a ton of research and analysis, so can you write some arguments on each of the lines you have chosen?

More chance of seeing the queens tits mate
 
If you think Mcgregor is going to fade after 2nd rd, so that Nate rd3, 4 and 5 are good bets,why do you also think he'll win enough rfs for a dec
I just have a hard time seeing Conor finishing Nate but Im fairly confident the fight goes past round 2, odds on finishes by nate on the later rounds seem super high and I thought they'd make a nice pseudo hedge.
 
Agreed, everyones relying on Rumble starching Glover with one shot yet he hasnt been KOed since his pro debut. Rumble backpeddles in straight lines when lookin for that one shot, i see Glover getting him on the fence and actually taking him down

Rumble also quits when he's gassed ala Cormier, i see this going same as Glover vs OSP tbh
Fucking retarded post
 
rob are your units £100?
If so fuk putting more on a single fighter who arguably could get stopped, even by a cut..



Man Conor looks pissed I'm actually thinking either he's going to kill Diaz or breakdown in the octogon



More chance of seeing the queens tits mate
There is no way they would end a fight like this with a cut stoppage
 
You guys aren't in the cage. I don't see how some of you people can be so vicariously confident in someone else's fight...

Just sayin. I realize we're in the business of betting on fights..
 
There is no way they would end a fight like this with a cut stoppage
A cut stoppage has had me worried a bit but the fight is in Vegas after all. I dont remember the last time a fight was stopped due to a cut in Vegas.
 

stick your meme jpgs up your ass son, and keep that shit in the heavies. watching a grown ass man steal lines from rapsongs and movies is sad as fuck. as is when you have a 2nd degree black belt for a coach and still need to add addtional ones. then again kavanaghs coachning is a joke, eventough pendred was a can i almost felt bad for him when he was trapped on bottom against howard and he looked to his corner 5 feet away and kavanagh didnt say a fucking thing.
 
Couple of more people on my ignore list.. The fuk is happening to this thread
 
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