UFN 107 - Manuwa vs Anderson - London

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It looked real to me when Allen marched towards him. Prolly staged backstage

Amirkhani's talked about how they've been friendly backstage with each other since they shared their last two cards together. No bad emotions going into the fight
 
Offtopic but Niko Price failed a drug test. He was losing to Morono then extra juice helped him to get the KO what a fucking disgraceful loser. Hope he gets cut and we never have to see his stupid cheating face again.

I had this on a parlay ffs
 
Bamgbose ITD +275
Stewart/Barosso GTD +225

I like both.

Stewart is a powerhouse, but if Barroso managed to reach rd2 agaisnt Krylov...This might go the distance.
 
Breese itd -128
Johns ko -101
Anderson ko +400
Breese/bamg over 1.5 +100
 
It's obvious what you are doing here, you arent looking for value you are looking for a "winner". And while doing it you are only focusing on one of the fighters to support your claim. Johns isn't a very great finisher.

Oh it's obvious? Yeah I have no idea about capping fights, looking for value, etc. Really makes no difference to me if this line was -150, -250, -350, whatever. As long as I think it's gonna win.

LOL how about GTFO of here with that shit. You think I haven't been betting MMA and sports in general a hell of a lot longer than almost anyone here? You think you have some keen insight into how I view this bet?

I know Johns isn't a great finisher. I addressed that point multiple times. If you've watched Entwistle fight, you'd know you don't need to be a great finisher to stop him. Do you think, great finisher or not, that Johns is capable of punching Enty in the face repeatedly as Enty rolls for leglocks? Do you think Enty all of a sudden became super game and able to take clean shots to the face and weather the storm? Do you think Enty comes in and uses a different strategy than he has in every one of his fights?

I'm focusing on one of the fighters because his unique style leads to the same results (again, 17 out of 17 times) over and over, regardless of opponent.

Do I think this bet is a "lock"? Of course not. But as I pointed out, I have it at -150, not -400 for fuck's sake. I think I got great value. I could already freeroll if I wanted.

Please, don't try to address me like I'm some noob that doesn't understand value as it relates to what a line is set at. The only thing that will happen is that you will end up looking stupid. I'm not trying to pick a fight here, your post just reeked of silly arrogance and it won't fly with me. I think you have a lot to contribute here, but save that crap for some whitebelt that obviously doesn't know what they're doing.
 
With chicks looking like this, who can blame them

HAFQvkQ.jpg

We have the sexiest ring girl fuckas. Shes on display tomo night.
 
Oh it's obvious? Yeah I have no idea about capping fights, looking for value, etc. Really makes no difference to me if this line was -150, -250, -350, whatever. As long as I think it's gonna win.

LOL how about GTFO of here with that shit. You think I haven't been betting MMA and sports in general a hell of a lot longer than almost anyone here? You think you have some keen insight into how I view this bet?

I know Johns isn't a great finisher. I addressed that point multiple times. If you've watched Entwistle fight, you'd know you don't need to be a great finisher to stop him. Do you think, great finisher or not, that Johns is capable of punching Enty in the face repeatedly as Enty rolls for leglocks? Do you think Enty all of a sudden became super game and able to take clean shots to the face and weather the storm? Do you think Enty comes in and uses a different strategy than he has in every one of his fights?

I'm focusing on one of the fighters because his unique style leads to the same results (again, 17 out of 17 times) over and over, regardless of opponent.

Do I think this bet is a "lock"? Of course not. But as I pointed out, I have it at -150, not -400 for fuck's sake. I think I got great value. I could already freeroll if I wanted.

Please, don't try to address me like I'm some noob that doesn't understand value as it relates to what a line is set at. The only thing that will happen is that you will end up looking stupid. I'm not trying to pick a fight here, your post just reeked of silly arrogance and it won't fly with me. I think you have a lot to contribute here, but save that crap for some whitebelt that obviously doesn't know what they're doing.

Affecteffect arrogant? Never...
 
Bamgbose ITD +275
Stewart/Barosso GTD +225

I like both.

Stewart is a powerhouse, but if Barroso managed to reach rd2 agaisnt Krylov...This might go the distance.

might as well take bambose KO for +450
 
Oh it's obvious? Yeah I have no idea about capping fights, looking for value, etc. Really makes no difference to me if this line was -150, -250, -350, whatever. As long as I think it's gonna win.

LOL how about GTFO of here with that shit. You think I haven't been betting MMA and sports in general a hell of a lot longer than almost anyone here? You think you have some keen insight into how I view this bet?

I know Johns isn't a great finisher. I addressed that point multiple times. If you've watched Entwistle fight, you'd know you don't need to be a great finisher to stop him. Do you think, great finisher or not, that Johns is capable of punching Enty in the face repeatedly as Enty rolls for leglocks? Do you think Enty all of a sudden became super game and able to take clean shots to the face and weather the storm? Do you think Enty comes in and uses a different strategy than he has in every one of his fights?

I'm focusing on one of the fighters because his unique style leads to the same results (again, 17 out of 17 times) over and over, regardless of opponent.

Do I think this bet is a "lock"? Of course not. But as I pointed out, I have it at -150, not -400 for fuck's sake. I think I got great value. I could already freeroll if I wanted.

Please, don't try to address me like I'm some noob that doesn't understand value as it relates to what a line is set at. The only thing that will happen is that you will end up looking stupid. I'm not trying to pick a fight here, your post just reeked of silly arrogance and it won't fly with me. I think you have a lot to contribute here, but save that crap for some whitebelt that obviously doesn't know what they're doing.

The issue is you trying to talk people out of a +1000 dec bet, just because you are in love with your under price. That's amatuerish, no amount of paragraphs you write will change that.
 
Affecteffect arrogant? Never...

That's true, but I try to keep it to the subject of the fight we are capping.

And if I come off as arrogant trying to explain value, please take into account I am doing it for everyone's benefit including the lurkers. Some basic things just need to be constantly reinforced.
 
Madadi and Duffy

Joe Duffy is a massive lightweight with a vast array of weapons at his disposal. Particularly, Duffy is a high quality pugilist who combines this art with a Black Belt in Taekwondo and Brown and black belt in Brazilian and Japanese Jiu-Jitsu respectively. Predominately Joe is a striker who uses his standup first while always having that spectacular grappling in his back pocket. If we're talking analogies, Duffy is packing a magazine-fed, rotating-lock bolt air cooled AR-15 on the feet while simultaneously carrying a Smith & Wesson .38 caliber snubnose double-action duty revolver in his ankle holster. That's "just in case" Plan B of course. Plan B has resulted into nine wins via tap-out to cap off 13 of his 14 career finishes.

The cunning and docile ginger utilizes his deceivingly stoic demeanor to lull the opposition into a false sense of security before ruining them with the type of Irish violence that would make the IRA stand up and applaud.

Basically, Duffy looks so calm and sanguine, like the opposite of a man who cashes his checks off the back of breaking the bones of another man. That said, do not confuse a lack of hype and intensity for what is composure and confidence. Though Duffy is not as aesthetically frightening and intimidating as a prime Mike Tyson, that doesn't mean he can't end your night with a lightning quick strike of badassery vertical or horizontal. For reference see, Clarke, Mitch.

Utilizing every bit of his 76" reach, the Irishman employs a confusing striking stance as he is very free with his left hand often letting it dangle near his knees while gluing his right to his jaw. Additionally, he accentuates his unique posture by tucking his chin and crouching over with an acutely wide stance and markably bent knees that allow him to spring into his strikes thus amplifying the power to which they land.

Nevertheless, as good as Duffy's striking and grappling is, his one liability remains his takedown defense. This was exploited by Dustin Poirier recently and can very well see the same thing this weekend given the fact that Reza is an even better wrestler than Poirier is.

Madadi is a full inch taller, though he gives up the same unit in reach and most disconcerting is the fact that he is a decade older than Irish Joe.

Let's save ourselves some time here and not let me start breaking down the Madadi striking attack. Ostensibly it is all used as a smokescreen to set up his chain wrestling. I mean, Madadi does have serviceable boxing, but there is little imagination to his game as it is fairly rudimentary and he is at a significant disadvantage on the feet vs. the Irish pugilist. This fight comes down exclusively to how well each man can succeed with the wrestling. Can Reza implement it? Can Joe negate it? This is 90% of what will tell us who leaves victorious.

While the accolades are there, Madadi doesn't have the same skills of most American amateur wrestlers. That said, Madadi is a grinder of the highest caliber and has been grappling his whole life. A gritty bulldog, Reza has competed in wrestling since he was a teenager. Specifically, Madadi was wrestling before music was digital, phone booths, were on on every corner and owning a pager was the shit. Wrestling was good for Reza and he was good at it as he won the 2002 and 2003 Swedish championships and participated in both the Greco-Roman and Freestyle disciplines.

When Madadi is able to get his wrestling going he can wear on you better than a Kardashian can wear a handbag. A handbag that was the possibility purchased by Mad-Dog himself on the black market.

At any rate, after mulling over copious footage, I still see a lot of holes in the Duffy takedown defense. Holes that can be exploited by a really good wrestler like Madadi.

Poitier absolutely made Joe Duffy's life miserable with wrestling and I can see MadDog having similar success. Not only do I believe that the odds are out of whack here, but I actually believe Madadi is going to win this fight outright.

So long as he doesn't get reckless and get clipped on the way in, I believe this fight goes the distance and Madadi does enough to win a unanimous decision. Remember, not only is Madadi a good wrestler, but he also is a purple belt in Brazilian jujitsu.

What's more, when a fight goes past the opening stanza, Duffy is a modest 50% as he has only picked up victories in two of the four contests with such criteria.

Finally, Reza is grimy as fuck — like a Michael Chiesa or Dan Kelly — and over performs due to toughness as he did against the much better fighter in Michael Johnson.. Duffy will really have to beat him down to get him to quit and I don't think he does so. Madadi has good wrestling, good cardio, and lots of heart. Meanwhile, I seen a bit of quit in Duffy when Poirier started to put the screws to him. Reza could make this an ugly fight and I can see Joe mentally checking out again.

At these odds I am definitely making a moderate play on old Handbags.


Reza Madadi to defeat Joe Duffy by UD
 


So fighters that slap or punch opponents hands away lose right ? :)
 
Excellent breakdown, MMA Goodfella. Reading this makes me want to add more on Madadi.
 
Solid scrap between Affect and mkess right now

Yeah, "solid scrap".

Homie, I'm Jon Jones and @AffectEffect is Shogun in this one.

I don't even dislike the guy, but he stepped in it here. Hoping he realizes it and eases out.
 
mkess,

I am also on the under. It is worth noting that BJ also said in interviews explicitly that he reocmmends bettors play the finish in r1 prop...

Brett knows the gameplan is to get it done in r1.
 
Yeah, "solid scrap".

Homie, I'm Jon Jones and @AffectEffect is Shogun in this one.

I don't even dislike the guy, but he stepped in it here. Hoping he realizes it and eases out.

Shogun still has solid punching power. If he is a steep enough dog I will take AE by KO here....sorry bro. JJ just a bit overrated.
 
Shogun still has solid punching power. If he is a steep enough dog I will take AE by KO here....sorry bro. JJ just a bit overrated.

I'm not talking about a rematch bro. I'm talking about what already happened when Jones demolished Shogun.

You have a lot better chance of hitting that Johns by dec prop than thinking @AffectEffect gets the better of me here. A LOT better chance LOL.
 
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