UFC Fox 24 - DJ vs Reis - Kansas City

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cagebrain said:
are you betting Green at the current +250? Or do you think the line will improve?
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I hit +250 cause I can't be see him getting any worse. Also gonna be on the over and will add to Green decision if/when it opens at something retarded
 
Oblivian said:
I'm surprised Nelson isn't favored over Volkov. Volkov has the tall man defense standing and he can be taken down easily.
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i don't necessarily disagree, but nelson is 40 (41 in 2 months)... and he has lost 4 of 6.. 6 of 9...
 
Joseph Budden said:
Magomedov throws considerably less volume and his best win is Gilbert Burns. Bobby Green has faced much better competition and strikers. He arguably took a round from Barboza. Yet Rashid is -335

I swear MMA gamblers are so fucking stupid sometimes. Idc what kind of problems Green has been having in his personal life, that line is retarded
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Strange logic, if mma bettor is retarded, it should benefit you greatly. I wish mma bettor is stupid but they are not, I think they are getting better and smarter, the line is sharper. I wish people don't jump on the 5dimes open line until it is open across the board. I jump on it too back than when I can lay $250 usd on it, now $50 is the max for me, it is not worth my time catching the open line.
 
Some quick stats on Nelson/Volkov:

* Combined number of times that both fighters have lost by KO: 3 (in 68 fights)
* Submission losses (all Volkov): 2
* Last time Big Country submitted anyone: More than ten years ago...

I feel pretty good about this one hitting the cards.
 
lawmills2006 said:
You not feel Green has a lot of quit in him now? Whilst Rashid is a decision machine, I feel he could easily work Bobby on the ground and snatch his neck.
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i don't see rashid tapping bobby, definitely not

you mixing up your magomedovs?

rashid has 1 sub win in 21 fights... and bobby hasn't been tapped since 2009 (when he was very "green" on the ground)
 
mmaHobbyist said:
Strange logic, if mma bettor is retarded, it should benefit you greatly. I wish mma bettor is stupid but they are not, I think they are getting better and smarter, the line is sharper. I wish people don't jump on the 5dimes open line until it is open across the board. I jump on it too back than when I can lay $250 usd on it, now $50 is the max for me, it is not worth my time catching the open line.
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It benefits me greatly sometimes, but not all the time. Sometimes there are angles I wanna play on a fight but these retard gamblers eliminate that option by juicing lines like they have here

Obviously Green comes w concerns and isn't a very reliable guy to bet, but I guess I'm ok w the publics retardation on this one. Green at +250 is value for sure
 
Sherdogs Sanchez interview (pink is questions, green is answers)
http://forums.sherdog.com/threads/ufc-on-fox-24s-andrew-el-dirte-sanchez-sherdog-q-a.3506465/
best bits:

The brawler said: ↑

Hey Andrew,

What's your favorite striking, takedown and submission techniques? Also, what's your strength and conditioning consist of?

Sanchez:
I enjoy kicking techniques of all kind, as my starting point in martial arts was tai quan do. Takedowns: fundamental wrestling techniques. Double leg, single leg, body locks. Not flashy but they are the most effective. Submission of choice, guillotine. S and C varies depending on where I am in camp. Far out from camp I lift heavier for more power and explosiveness. As the fight draws nearer the weight load decreases and the cardio increases as well as sport specific exercises. I do S and C typically 3-4X per week.


Drake said: ↑

In regards to your season of TUF...there was little to no animosity amongst the men from what I remember...even the women as well. How many of your TUF cast mates do you still talk with?


I've never been a big "keeping up with old friends" kinda guy. Most of us from the show have went our separate paths, but all are still friendly. The only person recently Ive spoken with is Eric Spicely.


The brawler said: ↑

How do you prepare mentally for a fight?

How do you overcome adversity?

Who is the toughest opponent you've fought?

one question at a time please. Mentally I shell up. I like to be by myself or only with people very close to me. I get rid of all outside distractions and try to shut off my mind and think of nothing



Gary The Busey said: ↑

how do u plan on finishing Anthony smith?

I always dream of the brutal head kick KO
 
Thoughts on Smolka guys?I expected closer odds, nearly pick'em
 
Was great to get my first UFC win against Webb but I pulled my ACL, out for a whole year, camp is perfect, didn't take time off, training with Masvidal, Covington, train with the best, not worried about ring rust, he's gritty and tough, name value, I'm a pressure fighter, I have to be first and last, I walk around 180, will be a 3rd round TKO

 
man i hate this card for betting on day 1 of the ml's / o/u's.

all i have is cummings -290 as a parlay an chor and 4 overs.
 
I know Cummings has improved drastically and he has looked good, but I still remember how bad he looked off of his back on TUF. He couldn't do shit to get back up. It's enough to scare me from playing him in multiple parlays here.
 
Do people really think Roy is going to try to wrestle? Yeah he did it against Lewis, but that has been literally the only time. I guess you could argue that was the only opponent where it really made a ton of sense to implement a grappling-heavy gameplan (besides maybe Mark Hunt), but Volkov isn't completely helpless on the ground like Derrick Lewis. Volkov also doesn't have nearly the same power in his hands that Lewis did, and is far more agile on the feet.

Basically, I do not see Roy trying to chase down Volkov and grapple with him. Maybe a few reactive takedown attempts when Volkov comes in wild, or some to get him dropping low to set up the overhand, but that would be it. I really think Roy looks to keep it standing and hunt for the overhand right. With that in mind, I also think he finds it.
 
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Surprised Jacare isnt a bigger favourite. Cant see Whitaker winning over 25% of the time.
 
Tim dropped Volkov with an uppercut in r1 and wobbled him hard in r2. I bet Roy can do that as well. If it goes to the scorecards one knockdown will mean a lot. Volkov gasses as well so does Roy. I would not give Volkov cardio edge here
 
Joseph Budden said:
I hit +250 cause I can't be see him getting any worse. Also gonna be on the over and will add to Green decision if/when it opens at something retarded
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+173 on my bookie. Will probably put in 1-2 units after som research.
 
Joseph Budden said:
It benefits me greatly sometimes, but not all the time. Sometimes there are angles I wanna play on a fight but these retard gamblers eliminate that option by juicing lines like they have here

Obviously Green comes w concerns and isn't a very reliable guy to bet, but I guess I'm ok w the publics retardation on this one. Green at +250 is value for sure
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Who do you call a retard?
I know that Rashid will win by stoppage.
They guy is a sniper and he also has great wrestling like all Dagi fighters.
Bobby is lost.
I am very confident on this onr
 
AmericanBeauty said:
Who do you call a retard?
I know that Rashid will win by stoppage.
They guy is a sniper and he also has great wrestling like all Dagi fighters.
Bobby is lost.
I am very confident on this onr
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Anyone who played Rashid -250 and worse is a fucking retard who will never be #elite or close to it

I prefer to bet based on reality. And in reality, Rashid finishes no one but Elias Bumverio and will at the very least get out volumed by Green. This fight is alot closer than him being -350
 
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