i just can't figure out a way to play almost every fight on this card. i know what the answer is: don't... but man. it's rough.
so many fairly lopsided odds that are probably pretty accurate.. that or fights we can't know enough to really be sure etc (like the cannonier-roehrick one, johnson-fortuna, etc) -- just so little information
i can't even figure out how the hell to play lima vs jt money. it's crazy. you have GOTTA think it's going 3 rounds, right? but that's over -200 obviously.. and what's funny.. each guy's only lost one decision.. ever. jt money has been subbed FOURTEEN times out of his 15 losses.. and lima ko'd 4x in his 5. it's like the histories don't matter whatsoever cause it's GOING to break trend(s) tomorrow no matter what.
i wanna say "hey, maybe lima can take his back and get a RNC" -- but REMARKABLY, only ONE of jt money's 15 sub losses is a RNC (vs rockhold in strikeforce) -- in fact, he pretty deftly escaped backmount multiple times vs krause... he's kinda hard to get w/that... he gets subbed by being a bull(headed) wrestler.. he sticks his neck into guillotines.. he gets caught from bottom.. etc... i GUESS that could happen but i doubt it. lima has never shown me squat off of his back really...
i guess this is really an event you have to pass on a lot of the fights. or maybe it's just me.