UFN 118 - Cerrone vs Till - Poland

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lines pending i think i'm going to despise this card for gambling.
 
Smoliakov out, Anthony Hamilton comes out of retirement to take the 3 week notice fight against Adam Wieczorek
 
5 weeks after being KO'd by Spitz, no less.

I'm gonna say Hamilton loses in round 1 for the 4th time in a row. Wieczorek doesn't look too good but he's probably better than Daniel Spitz.
 
Also Teemu Packalen pulled out vs Marcin Held with a knee injury. Hopefully they find a replacement for Held, he's been unlucky in his last 2 losses and I would love to buy low on him vs a bum.
 
lifeisgood12345 said:
Also Teemu Packalen pulled out vs Marcin Held with a knee injury. Hopefully they find a replacement for Held, he's been unlucky in his last 2 losses and I would love to buy low on him vs a bum.
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feel so freakin bad for held, man. poor dude. he's such a legit grappler.. wants to prove himself in the ufc after a great bellator career..

dominates sanchez in rd 1 and gasses beyond salvation cause mex city... then gets utterly ROBBED against jlau... then is EASILY up 20-18 vs hadzovic and gets ko'd for the first time ever... (tho that was huuuuge for me, haha)
 
https://mmaoddsbreaker.com/news/12288-ufc-fight-night-118-main-card-opening-betting-odds

UFC Fight Night 118: Cerrone vs. Till
OCTOBER 21, 2017
Ergo Arena | Gdansk, Poland

Main Card - (UFC Fight Pass, 3PM ET)

Darren Till +125
Donald Cerrone -165

Over 2.5 -175
Under 2.5 +135
-

Jodie Esquibel +250
Karolina Kowalkiewicz -350

Over 2.5 -280
Under 2.5 +200
-

Jan Blachowicz +110
Devin Clark -150

Over 2.5 -175
Under 2.5 +135
-

Jonathan Wilson +160
Oskar Piechota -210

Over 1.5 -120
Under 1.5 -120
-
 
i have no idea who piechota is, hehe.

no major leans on the other 3 new fights.
 
shouldn't devin clark be able to get his wrestling on against jan, who has horrible tdd?
 
Going to take more Cerrone, since I really don't see where this Till hype's coming from.
 
Too big jump in the level of competition for Till. 3u Cerrone @1.57
 
something just feels trappy to me about clark. i don't see why the ufc would give jan such a bad stylistic match up in front of the hometown fans.

logic tells me to hit clark but intuition says stay away.
 
Hit the Till dec line at +645. Going to go big on Cerrone at this cheap -155 price and wait for line movement to buy out. I think this matchup is probably a coinflip so might be on ML and the over later.
 
piglord said:
shouldn't devin clark be able to get his wrestling on against jan, who has horrible tdd?
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if this wasn't in poland, maybe...pass for now.

additionally, O2.5 is -165. clark isn't finishing blachowicz, dude has a granite chin. especially not gonna quit at home, i don't think. gustafsson couldn't finish him (in fact every time they were on feet blachowicz looked more dangerous) and manuwa couldn't finish him.

furthermore blachowicz has a pretty big size edge here. clark should be 185. and his two wins were decisions against much less durable dudes (collier and stansbury)

so why play clark ML when O2.5 isn't that much pricier?
 
I am contemplating a huge bet on Cerrone at -155. Unless he's fallen off hard or comes in with an injury or something Cowboy should style on Till. He's never lost to a fighter of this caliber.
 
Wow, Cerrone down to -135 with a quick refresh. Hitting that big, 9.45 units to win 7 units.
 
lol @ Cerrone -135 against a guy whos best wins are Jessin Ayari and Bojan Velickovic. Gonna be 5u on Cerrone if lines keep tightening, already up to almost 3.
 
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