UFC Fox 27 - Jacare vs Brunson II - Charlotte

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My picks so far, still need to do tape on the wmma fights and saving the Arnett fight until last.

Jacare, Fili, Gillespie, Dober, Bektic, Price, Koch, and Pichel.
 
Can we discuss Koch vs Bobby Green?
I think that Koch has a better chance of winning than the odds suggest.
I don't think that Green can implement a grinding gameplan like Guida did.
There's a high chance that this fight is mostly a striking match.
 
Jamah said:
Can we discuss Koch vs Bobby Green?
I think that Koch has a better chance of winning than the odds suggest.
I don't think that Green can implement a grinding gameplan like Guida did.
There's a high chance that this fight is mostly a striking match.
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I'm on Coke, excuse me, Koch, and I agree with your analysis. I think Bobby is still dangerous but he'll have to get inside and use his his hands to win this one. Koch doesn't take much damage on the feet and his left kicks will be key with him staying long.

Green also hasn't won a fight in forever, looking at a 1u play on Koch
 
Stunna77 said:
Many thought Fili looked like shit against Kattar, myself included, but it sure seems like I just underrated Kattar after watching the Burgos fight. Besides that Fili has only lost to the champ, a top prospect in Yair, and a real dangerous guy in Pepey (flying triangle). Berm has a lot of physcial advantages but the guy just isn't a finisher and i'm not sure Fili is really that much of a flake.
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That's fair. I hit Kattar against Burgos, love watching him fight, his striking is really technical. So I get where you're coming from. I don't have anything on the fight yet, I favor Bermudez but it's not a line/fight that I'm too crazy on betting atm. If Bermudez drops a bit I'll bet him, maybe stab the sub line or itd line.
 
ill800 said:
Watching George Sullivan tape

Looks like I’m wasting my time. Niko is going to smash him. This cat is struggling with a gassed Dominic waters
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hoping price looks great so can fade next time
 
ill800 said:
Watching George Sullivan tape

Looks like I’m wasting my time. Niko is going to smash him. This cat is struggling with a gassed Dominic waters
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watched the means fight then i gave up
 
BluntTrauma21 said:
That's fair. I hit Kattar against Burgos, love watching him fight, his striking is really technical. So I get where you're coming from. I don't have anything on the fight yet, I favor Bermudez but it's not a line/fight that I'm too crazy on betting atm. If Bermudez drops a bit I'll bet him, maybe stab the sub line or itd line.
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I agree, only bet I have is 1u Fili NSC -105, just not seeing Berm finishing him and we know Berm's chin is questionable.
 
All in all this card is pretty meh for betting. Only play I really like thus far is Brunson as a dog and Brunson KO. Have a bit on Niko and Niko KO, Lima/Markos FGTD, Kim, Chook, and prop stabs.
 
Stunna77 said:
All in all this card is pretty meh for betting. Only play I really like thus far is Brunson as a dog and Brunson KO. Have a bit on Niko and Niko KO, Lima/Markos FGTD, Kim, Chook, and prop stabs.
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Not liking it much, either. I played Brunson as a dog, I do really like Silva against Pichel, so I have a couple units on him, and small on Markos. Small on Green too, but not really liking Markos or Green bets much anymore, might've pulled the trigger to quickly on them. Koch is pretty bad tho, but Green isn't all that great himself. Silva and Brunson will make or break my day overall, only two bets I like enough to drop over a unit on.
 
BluntTrauma21 said:
Not liking it much, either. I played Brunson as a dog, I do really like Silva against Pichel, so I have a couple units on him, and small on Markos. Small on Green too, but not really liking Markos or Green bets much anymore, might've pulled the trigger to quickly on them. Koch is pretty bad tho, but Green isn't all that great himself. Silva and Brunson will make or break my day overall, only two bets I like enough to drop over a unit on.
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Interesting, I will have to watch tape on Silva/Pichel then. Kind of glad it is a shit card, haven't had the time to properly look into many fights this week and none really stuck out to me to get me excited to stay up late to do it lol. Will give my thoughts on that fight once I get to it!
 
Anyone like Camacho over Dober? Dober has really short arms.
 
edole said:
Anyone like Camacho over Dober? Dober has really short arms.
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Dober is a lot more technical and has better kicks....Camacho is tough as shit though, never stops coming forward but he gets hit alot. Hate betting against Camacho but Bober will probably be able to squeak out a Dec. here
 
I don't want to play devil's advocate, and I know Niko's BJJ is great...But does anyone know how good his wrestling is?

He seems SO juiced
 
A lot to like about Silva. I can see his fight with Pichel being a bit like like Pichels fight with Anthony Njokuani. I can see Pichel pushing the pace a little bit more trying to get inside of the pocket where he does some of his best work with his strikes. I saw good timing with his uppercuts in there. Silva on the other hand I can see sticking to the outside and leaping in with his footwork. I like Silvas footwork. His feet are almost always in good positions in striking exchanges wheres Pichel can get caught over rotating, ending up on the balls of his feet. I haven't watched ALL of Silvas fights so I can't say for sure how his chin is. I think he's athletic enough, young, and hasn't been rocked that I've seen to say if he does get clipped he'll recover quickly. His defensive bjj and wrestling and really good. I like his instincts in scrambles and transitions. He snaps onto overhooks on the neck and whizzers but also knows when to let them go when it's putting him in danger. His sub attacks from bottom are quick but don't come often enough as I'd like them. Small stabs on Silva ITD +305 and SUB +662 might be worth it IMO. He really likes to strike though so I actually think this fight will most likely go the distance and might even end up on Pichels side if he's active enough. I have a hard time seeing a ko happening to either fighter. Silva moves too well and Pichel has a good chin. He ate some hard punches from Ragin' Al on TUF. I'm comfortable laying 2u on Silva. Sorry if this write up is all over the place. Been scrambling my head at work.
 
Caicara said:
I don't want to play devil's advocate, and I know Niko's BJJ is great...But does anyone know how good his wrestling is?

He seems SO juiced
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His line is too high to play now. He takes too many shots. His defense isn’t tight enough. He took some big shots from Morono because he didn’t defend properly while throwing kicks

Sullivan isn’t going to put wrestle him

I hit nikos itd line -118 for .5 unit
 
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