UFN 149 on ESPN+ 7 Overeem vs Oleinik

[weedreference]

Devastating lack of over/unders... this Kalikas replacement is really annoying with putting these out 1-3 days before the fight. Some other non-5dimes sportsbook should step up and find a capper who can handle setting the openers on these things.

 

[Deleted member 560591]

The Overeem KO or decision bets might get cancelled. They took that prop out on bet365.

 

[onC]

The Overeem KO or decision bets might get cancelled. They took that prop out on bet365.

Maybe, maybe not. Either way, you shouldnt abuse obvious line errors if you value your account.

 

[Koniradi98]

-2 of the 8 KNOWN judges (Makhmutova, Bosacki) have never worked a UFC event before or after UFC Moscow. 25%. That's not an insignificant percentage.

Well, Bosacki is a referee that worked at multiple UFC events and for organizations all over the world, don't know why he was a judge at UFC Moscow , though.

 

[Deleted member 560591]

Maybe, maybe not. Either way, you shouldnt abuse obvious line errors if you value your account.

The line isn’t too crazy and you don’t get banned in the EU for stuff like that. They just send you a mail and change the odds of your bet.

 

[Stunna77]

Not sure if anyone else noticed but Bhullar was piecing Golm up with his hands and actually rocked him so bad his legs nearly gave out in rd1, his def is terrible. Besides that 1 trip takedown he completed and his leg kicks, I dont see much to like tbh. Well. thats a lie, his boxing did look good against Columbo but not vs Bhullar. If he tries to fight Pav the way he fought Columbo, Pav is firing back and I think Golm gets KOed quick. What do you guys like about Golm?

Golm's defense is bad when he is forced to fight off his back foot, Pav prefers to potshot from range and counter strike. I like Golm's leg kicks, clinch work (against Pav not against grinders like Bhullar and Timmy), and td's. Plus the fact he has now been at ATT for a year and is working extensively with top HW's, namely JDS who is a nice training partner since Pav's biggest strength is his boxing. Pav's bottom game looked nonexsistent vs Reem and I think Golm can take it there.

 

[Oblivian]

The only three favs that I liked to play at a decent wager were Yakovlev, Evleov, and Jotko. Decent size dog plays were Fiziev, Golm, Abdurakhimov, Antijulov, and Nakumura.

 

[Soccer Steve]

The only three favs that I liked to play at a decent wager were Yakovlev, Evleov, and Jotko. Decent size dog plays were Fiziev, Golm, Abdurakhimov, Antijulov, and Nakumura.

No Tsarukyan? Winnable-ish fight for him.

 

[Soccer Steve]

Aliev by decision is +1000? Seriously?
Nakamura hasn't been KO'd since 2008 and hasn't been subbed since 2011.

edit: +1026 on dimes and +140/+138/+210 on the other books carrying this line according to BFO.

 

[Oblivian]

No Tsarukyan? Winnable-ish fight for him.

I think Islam will likely be too much too soon.

 

[Red_2]

No Tsarukyan? Winnable-ish fight for him.

I think it'll be competitive for 1st round, but Islam should dominate him standing or on the ground imo for majority of the fight. I don't blame people for betting Arman, the line is a decent bit off.

 

[null]

UFN 149 ceremonial weigh-in:

 

[Soccer Steve]

Aliev by decision is +1000? Seriously?
Nakamura hasn't been KO'd since 2008 and hasn't been subbed since 2011.

edit: +1026 on dimes and +140/+138/+210 on the other books carrying this line according to BFO.

Is the above a line error? Or will I get in shit with 5d if I wager

0.5u FDNGTD to win 0.88u
0.5u Naka Dec to win 1.12u
0.5u Aliev Dec to win 5u

If there's a finish I'd lose 0.13u but any decision is either a 0.12u or 4u win...


edit: it's a line error.

 

[ApplesVild]

The Overeem KO or decision bets might get cancelled. They took that prop out on bet365.

Hope not I threw some money on that bitch

 

[LiquidNuke]

Would you guys play Evloev ITD, or by decision? I see his opponent was finished by some asian fighter on the scrub regionals recently...

 

[Doc R]

damn reem lookin jacked

 

[Deleted member 560591]

Hope not I threw some money on that bitch

It’s still up ! The cash out offers a little bit more than I bet, too lol. They dropped that line down to 1.53. We got lucky.

 

[zeckdo]

Aliev by decision is +1000? Seriously?
Nakamura hasn't been KO'd since 2008 and hasn't been subbed since 2011.

edit: +1026 on dimes and +140/+138/+210 on the other books carrying this line according to BFO.

they took it down.

 

[LiquidNuke]

Even though it was a low volume affair Nakamura managed to create a bad, 2 inch cut on Moreno in the first round of their contest... His sharping is quite sharp and accurate. I think there's a real chance he busts up the less technical and cruder Aliev standing. Aliev also seems to have serious gas tank issues so Nakamura might be able to sink in a patented RNC in round 2 or 3...

I'll definitely be on Nakamura's money line at near evens with a little spinkled on his ITD line.

 

[onC]

The line isn’t too crazy and you don’t get banned in the EU for stuff like that. They just send you a mail and change the odds of your bet.

It's an obvious error when Overeem ITD is closer to -200. And yeah they do, you dont know what you're talking about.

This is exactly what alerts them to check your account; if you're a loser, they'll keep you around, but if you're a winner, there's a good chance you're out.