Read an article a while back about buying points. Guy did a study and found that basically it wasn’t worth the chalk
I'd be interested to see what was included in the "study". If he included half points, if it was all sports, if it was just one or two sports. Low scoring sports like hockey/soccer or high scoring sports like nba. Who is he studying? Winning bettors? Random friends? Total site results? How many bets of each kind are being made? Are they betting heavy favorites or close games? Are they buying points at breaking points like -3.5 to -3 in nfl are they just buying random amounts like -12 to -9? Are they weighing all points to be even, nhl to nba? Surely you can't assume buying 1 point in nhl is equivalent to buying 1 point in the nba.
It is uncommon buying half a point or one or two points is the difference in a game, but on the flip side, buying myself half a point from -3.5 to -3 or -7.5 to -7 has saved me from numerous bets. At the same time, it has cost me some extra chalk too. I'm not arguing with the study being wrong, but i think a generalized statement like "Buying points isn't worth the chalk" seems unreliable to me. Study could totally be right, but so many variables i wouldn't trust it as a general statement. Would need to see said study to decide if it's worth it. Tons of "studies" are "published" with limited input and results or right out flawed input.
This is doubt in the quality of the study, not in you of course.
How many yards is Henry going to have if they score 35? 400?
he had 185 last week and they put up 14. Baltimore’s secondary is just as good as ne. And I’d argue they have better run stoppers with Williams and pierce in the middle
titans won’t sniff 30 with the way the ravens control the clock. I’d be very surprised if they break 20
Titans passing game is far more capable than they appeared last week. They could've passed more if they needed to and Tannehill did show up when it mattered. Don't sleep on the titans passing game just because the pats couldn't stop Henry or score.
If the Jets can put up 21, and the bills can put up 17, let's not pretend Titans Offense isn't leagues above both these teams. A possibility doesn't mean it's likely, but it is far from a zero chance.
I do agree with you mostly. I think it's more likely the Ravens win by 14 or more than a close game, i just mean i wouldn't be super shocked if the Titans put up 20 or more. Ravens D is as good as Pats D, or in the same range higher or lower. If i was pressed to make a score for score pick i would say 38-20. Somewhere in that range. I still think i am personally more comfortable at -7 -155 than -10.5 at -110.
I am definitely on the Ravens by a gap, no question here. Probably stagger my bets. Like some at -10.5 and some at -7. I am just a fan of buying points at break points. I might end up losing some cash in the long run, but I am fine with my results.