Marleys picks With a lol at top
$100 bettors who have followed Marley's picks are up more than $20,000!
Marley has hit a WHOPPING eight consecutive UFC main-event picks, including five straight upsets! Last week at UFC Fight Night, he accurately predicted a dominant decision win for Gilbert Burns (+150) against Tyron Woodley (-170). Anyone who has consistently followed Marley is WAY UP.
For UFC 250, we can tell you he's backing Chase Hooper (-150) to defeat Alex Caceres (+130) in a featherweight bout. He's also backing one fighter who "can win by knockout, submission, or decision!" You ABSOLUTELY need to see Marley's picks before making any of your own!
Here are Marley's picks and analysis for UFC 250 (odds from William Hill US):
Amanda Nunes (-600) vs. Felicia Spencer (+450): Nunes via TKO
Aside from a submission, I don't see how Spencer wins. Nunes is the better fighter everywhere and she should dominate, especially on the feet. I doubt Nunes goes for takedowns, so if Spencer can't get any herself, I see her getting finished in round 1 or 2.
Cody Garbrandt (-145) vs. Raphael Assuncao (+125): Garbrandt via decision
Garbrandt is the better boxer and has a lot more power as well. Assuncao is the better grappler and the guy with higher fight IQ. Garbrandt is the better wrestler, so he should be able to keep this fight on the feet and, as long as he doesn't charge in with his chin up, I think he will get the win. Assuncao doesn't have big power, so I am not as worried about Garbrandt's chin. He should be landing more volume and has the better shot at a knockout.
Aljamain Sterling (-115) vs. Cory Sandhagen (-105): Sandhagen via stoppage
I love this fight. Sandhagen has a big edge on the feet and Sterling should have a decent edge on the ground. Sterling is going to look to be all the way out, or all the way in for this fight. He wants to work his kicks and his ground game, and Sandhagen should be trying to close the distance on the feet and stuffing takedowns. Sterling doesn't have great wrestling but Sandhagen doesn't have great takedown defense, so if Sterling wins this fight it will come through grappling. I like Sandhagen a lot more on the feet here though and he is dangerous on the ground himself, so I am going to lean with him as my pick here and the big difference will be his punches landing much more than Sterling's kicks.
Neil Magny (-145) vs. Anthony Rocco Martin (+125): Martin by decision
Neil is going to be the longer fighter here with a 7-inch reach advantage, and if he uses it, I think that will help him a lot on the feet here. I think he should look to land a lot of jabs and front kicks to keep Martin on the outside, and with this likely being a slower paced fight, that could get him the win here. Martin should look to chop down Magny's legs with kicks and that could change how this fight goes. Either guy could have success with takedowns, but I see this mainly staying on the feet. If this was a pickem' fight, I would lean with Magny. However, I think this is dog or pass on the betting line, so I will go with Martin as my pick here.
Sean O'Malley (-440) vs. Eddie Wineland (+360): O'Malley via TKO
I think O'Malley is the better fighter everywhere and I think he can win by knockout, submission or decision. Wineland should look to turn this into a brawl and, if he can do that, a knockout is his chance at a win. I see O'Malley picking him apart and picking up a finish of his own in round 2 or 3.
Chase Hooper (-150) vs. Alex Caceres (+130): Hooper via submission
I favor Caceres on the feet but I like Hooper when the fight hits the mat. I don't see Hooper accepting a striking fight and I think he will look for takedowns. I see him locking up a submission at some point, but he isn't a good wrestler, so it could be a sweat until he gets it to the mat. Caceres doesn't really have one-shot power, and that is what I would worry more with against Hooper.
Ian Heinisch (-125) vs. Gerald Meerschaert (+105): Meerschaert via decision
I think this is a close fight on the feet with the edge going to Heinisch, although Meerschaert has been looking better in the striking department. I like him on the mat in and I expect him to look for takedowns throughout. If he can get it to the mat, I think he can lock up a submission. But I think he can keep this fight close enough in the striking to where any ground action from him could steal a round or make it clearer for the judges.
Cody Stamann (-275) vs. Brian Kelleher (+235): Stamann via decision
I see this one being close on the feet, but Stamann having a big edge in the wrestling department. I think a guillotine from Kelleher is in play, but he needs that or a knockout to get the win. I think Stamann will be too much for him with the wrestling and he has the cardio to put up a high pace for 15 minutes.
Charles Byrd (-170) vs. Maki Pitolo (+150): Byrd via submission
I like Byrd here. I think he is the more powerful striker on the feet, but I like him more for his ground game in this one. I think he has a big wrestling edge and he could get a submission or ground-and-pound finish. On the feet, Pitolo is the better boxer and has power himself, but Byrd is solid there and I think he could win a striking match as well.
Alex Perez (-140) vs. Jussier Formiga (+120): Perez via decision
If Perez doesn't get submitted, he should win this fight. I like Perez a lot more in the striking department and he is the better wrestler as well. I don't see Formiga being able to land takedowns, so I think he needs to get Perez's back to have a chance. I doubt he can backpack him long enough to win on the scorecards, so I think he has to lock up a submission to have a chance and I don't see that happening.
Alonzo Menifield (-220) vs. Devin Clark (+190): Menifield via TKO
Clark is the better wrestler in this fight, but he is going to need to use it the entire time to get a win here. He needs takedowns every round or he needs to get a finish with GNP or a submission. I think Clark is in trouble on the feet if he can't get it to the mat and a KO from Menifield is the most likely outcome in my opinion. I think he is good enough to stuff takedowns or get back to his feet and I see him landing a big shot at some point and putting Clark away.
Herbert Burns (-240) vs. Evan Dunham (+200): Burns via submission
I used to be high on Dunham, but now he is 38 years old and hasn't looked good in four years. Burns had a big win in his UFC debut and his brother is coming off a huge win last weekend, so his confidence is probably riding high. I think this could be close on the feet, but I favor Burns there and I think he has a big edge on the ground.
