Interesting card. Virtually every fight I taped was worth betting, but not heavily, since there are too many question marks. I didn't bet di Chirico-Buckley (if there is any value, it's on the Italian) and Melo-Moras, although I might play the latter. For now,
2u on Tafa at +165
1.4u on Wu at -110 (might add)
1u on Brown at +145
1u on Lingo by TKO/KO at +375
Threw in another 1u on Wu at -105, for a perfect -6.4u night.
No regrets on the Lingo bet; looked like he might get the TKO/KO in the first 40 seconds, and he knocked down Kilburn down about 5-6 times in the first 2 rounds. You take that at +375.
The Tafa borderline robbery really stung; he clearly won round 3. 5.3u swing right there.
The Wu fight was weird. It was won and lost on the ground, and despite Wu getting takedowns and dominant position easily, she ended up getting the worst of it. Definitely unexpected, but that's what happens with low-level WMMA.
The younger and more prepared fighter with the longer lay-off in Wu also showed less improvement than short-notice replacement Edwards. Still thought she won round 3. Not a great bet, but at evens, not bad. Just wish I hadn't thrown in the extra 1u.
Condit looked completely washed against McGee, but with all the concerns about Brown, I could only hit him for 1u even at good plus odds, and I certainly got to see why.
Rough card, as it apparently was for many, but I get a chance to turn it around in a few days.