I have zero issues with reform. But it has to be done practically. At the end of the day anything statistical often has to be done with a deep dive of sifting through variables and factors. If someone wants to argue that blacks are more likely to be shot, OK. Im not even gonna argue, but the notion that its somehow overwhelmingly one sided to the point where police represent an inherent danger to people with black skin is a totally different scenario.
Stats get complicated in something like this. 13% of the population are killed by the police in 25% of the shootings. So thats obviously racism, right? But when that group of 13% commits over half the violent crime, that changes the context considerably.
I'll be honest, way back in ancient history (about a year and a half ago), I took a great deal of time to respond to a friend of mine on facebook when she asked about this topic. Im just gonna cut and paste that post because I think the majority of it still applies here and I don't really feel like digging through all the data again. So at times the post might seem a bit random and lacking context to this conversation, but I think you'll get the gist.
Since posting this on facebook last year, I also found out about a study done by University of Washington that found under their testing that people were more hesitant to shoot if the person was black:
https://www.researchgate.net/public...e_Hesitant_to_Shoot_Black_Than_White_Suspects
Like everything else, it has to be taken in context. It isn't proof, it's evidence.
Heres the old post of mine:
"I can only speak for myself, not anybody else. But for me, stats are an important part of the issue, and they dont support the notion that the police have a an overwhelming tendency towards something as horrible and tragic as Floyds death. Note, I do think that Floyds case was a clear cut example of police brutality. However the system responded appropriately. The officers were fired and the one responsible for Floyds death is currently in jail with a murder charge. Virtually everyone is unanimous in their support of this.
So why the riots and violence? Peaceful protest is fine, but let's be real here. Peaceful protest isn't drawing the criticism. I've been moved to tears by some of the protests. The silent raised fists in LA. The circle of protesters gathered around a lone policeman, protecting him from the mob. Such powerful, moving imagery. I'm also horrified at the violence displayed. Beating defenseless senior citizens, burning down buildings occupied by families and blocking the police and firemen from intervening. Floyd is the victim of the worst cop a person can be, but so too are many other people victims of violent criminals that are being given a pass by many. Why is this?
Well, I'm told that theres a system in place that's overwhelming in it's systemic racism towards black people in this country, and in this particular case the culprit is the police force. Ok, thats definitely worth a look, right? How do we go about showing this? What evidence supports the position? Well, I would say the statistics of interactions between the police and the public broken down into race would be the best place to start. Based on numbers I've seen in other conversations as well as things I dug up on my own time, the position of systemic racism isn't supported by any objective metric that I've found.
"There are around 60 million encounters of citizens by police per year. Not an exact number since it fluctuates. This is all encounters from traffic stops to hostage situations
Source:
https://www.bjs.gov/index.cfm?ty=pbdetail&iid=6406
Also generally speaking, there are about 10 million arrests per those 60 million encounters.
Source:
https://ucr.fbi.gov/.../crim.../topic-pages/persons-arrested
In 2019, out of 60 million encounters, there were 1,004 people shot and killed by police (.0001% of all encounters). 963 (96%) armed, 41 (4%) unarmed. 20 white, 10 black, 6 Hispanic, 4 other, 1 unknown.
This means .0000016% of all police interactions result in an unarmed black man being shot and killed.
And out of 1,004 shootings, 236 (23%) are black.
For the sake of comparison, out of 800,000 officers, 48 were killed with malicious intent.
Source:
https://www.fbi.gov/.../fbi-releases-2019-statistics-on...
The system is imperfect, but far from broken. And there is no good evidence for the police force being a racist organization that is overwhelmingly violent to one race over another.
This is not the same thing as arguing that brutality or racism don't exist, or that multiple incidents of such cant be pointed out every year. But arguing that the police force itself lashes out in overwhelmingly racist ways is an argument without much support."
To break it down ever further:
For every 10,000 black people arrested for violent crime, 3 are killed
For every 10,000 white people arrested for violent crime, 4 are killed
Sources for these stats:
https://ucr.fbi.gov/.../crime-in-the-u.s.../tables/table-43
https://ucr.fbi.gov/.../crime-in-the-u.s.../tables/table-43
https://www.washingtonpost.com/.../police-shootings-2017/
https://www.washingtonpost.com/.../police-shootings-2018/
There was also another study awhile back published by The National Academy of Sciences that had this to say:
"We did not find evidence for anti-Black or anti-Hispanic disparity in police use of force across all shootings"
Source:
https://www.pnas.org/content/116/32/15877...
To me, none of this paints a picture of the police force itself lashing out violently towards one race in particular.
Now, the counter point might be that shootings alone don't tell the whole story. Case in point, Floyd was killed without a shot fired. I tried finding the stats for people killed while in custody by means other than firearms and didn't come up with anything concrete. If anyone has them I'd love to see them. However, the complete lack of observable bias of police with firearms in their hands is not something to dismiss, nor is it something easily countered with any tangible evidence.
None of this evidence points to a need for rioting and violence. Much less defending the riots and violence as necessary.
If Black Lives matter, why arent people condemning the violent protesters for the 80 people that were shot in Chicago over the weekend, 19 of them dead? They were overwhelmingly black people.
Why isn't anyone speaking for David Dorn, the retired black police officer that was shot and killed outside a pawn shop a couple days ago by looters? Who is speaking for him? Why are people defending the group that killed him?
As far as historical arguments, America has a long, bloody history with racism. Few would deny this. That doesn't mean we can use this history to infer things that aren't supported by evidence. It was only some 50 years ago that the mental health professionals were using electroshock therapy to literally attempt to shock the gay out of people. That's horrendous, and barbaric, and it was literally performed by people that are still alive today. However, I won't blame the current mental health professionals for this archaic practice, nor does anyone else to my knowledge. But it's all to common to put the blood from the sleeves of previous generations onto the hands of the police out in the streets today."