Pereira - Jamahal is a coin flip

[The Legendary Scarface]

I truly think this fight is that close.
Im baffled by the amount of bros who think this is a lock on either side. Sherbrah gonna sherbrah...

Poatan will be the more dangerous fighter very early on, but as this fight goes on, there will be openings for Hill to capitalize on as Alex isn't as defensively responsible as Jamahal is. Poatan can easily make a couple of mistakes on the feet and get clipped and eat a flurry on the way to a tko finish. This is 100% a real possibility and wouldn't shock me one bit.

Pereira's door to victory is to chop the leg early and then look for a finish after that leg is a bit compromised somewhere in the 2nd round. If he tries to head hunt early, he's either gonna get the KO or get KO'd himself.

I've got Pereira but he better not take Hill likely. As much as we don't really like him on Sherdog he is a very good fighter, with fantastic power in his punches and very very sneaky angles from which they come from. And again, he presents a defensive responsibility that requires strategic entries. Hespect yo opponent mane.

 

[gentel]

Pereira's door to victory is to chop the leg early and then look for a finish after that leg is a bit compromised somewhere in the 2nd round. If he tries to head hunt early, he's either gonna get the KO or get KO'd himself.

Hopefully he can get some leg kicks going but the fact that Jamahal is a southpaw is going to complicate things a bit. Orthodox vs southpaw is a lot more open to body kicks than leg kicks

In Pereira's favor, I've seen some clips posted of Jamahal's footwork looking terrible

 

[Simple Southerner]

Hill is coming back to soon from injury ap is going to pick him apart & ko his ass.

 

[MigitAs]

I think Pereira is being underestimated and Hill overestimated imo but that being said Pereira is getting old and we have seen him ktfo’d once in the octagon already..

 

[melvinj0]

Idk, to me it seems like Hill’s ground game is good enough to control Alex and his stand up is good enough to not get completely outclassed on the feet.

 

[melvinj0]

I think Pereira is being underestimated and Hill overestimated imo but that being said Pereira is getting old and we have seen him ktfo’d once in the octagon already..

Him getting controlled by Jan, and losing imo, is what mainly makes me doubt Alex being a dominant champion.

 

[ipowerslapmywife]

Poatan obviously is the more dangerous striker but I feel he’s chinny and hill could get lucky and catch him if he gets sloppy. But it’s likely Hill gets KO’d

 

[modulus]

Pereira all day - flips the switch on Hill's consciousness

 

[MMAProfessional]

Given that the odds are pretty much dead even would say most think that. Hill hasn't really lost a stand up fight and hits really hard so it's not out of the reahlm of possibility he KOs Pereira but Pereira on paper is the better striker obviously but I don't think he's as far away as some think. I think the leg kicks are Alex's best bet because I feel going head shot for head shot might now end well for him

 

[Mr Dilkington]

I'm rooting for Poatan, but have a small bet on Hill to soften the blow as I could see either man getting dropped. It might also depend on the ref, if it gets an early stoppage or they're allowed to fight back. The Jiri stoppage might have been a bit early and things could've gone the other way in that fight.

 

[Reptile_Bong_Hit]

I think Hill’s recovery and conditioning is the biggest x factor in this fight.

If we knew he was 100% with a great camp, prior to his injury, I legitimately could see a case for him at -200.

However, if his movement is compromised, and he can’t wrestle (because of his leg or cardio), then he’s actually worse off the longer the fight goes IMO.

I would have picked Jamahal originally but there’s too many unknowns now.

 

[OleBuffalo]

Hill's gameness is not to be underestimated, and the line being so close shows ppl are on it. He seems to be one of those competitive as fuck type of people & in my experience those are the ones with the intangibles to peak when the lights are brightest. The types who make it weird if you beat them at ping pong and shit lol. So if it somehow ends up a drawn out dogfight instead of someone getting binked cleanly then I'd have to take Hill. Hard to imagine anything other than someone getting put out tho w these two, but a back and forth war would be dope

 

[Lee Danger]

it looks like the Ronda-Holly fight, the closer the match got, the more people thought there was no hope for Holly.
until a week before it was recognized that Ronda had never faced a striker like Holly.
everything is possible as Sifu Edmund teached us but on paper Pereira is the favorite.

 

[Takes_Two_To_Tango]

I agree it could go either way. The one with better chin wins I guess.

 

[dipstickjimmy]

Given that the odds are pretty much dead even would say most think that.

So many on here forget that simply asserting that your fav fighter is an unbeatable juggernaut and destroyer of worlds doesn't make that either: 1) reality or 2) the opinion of the majority.

This fight is a 50/50 coin flip to 60/40 Alex at best based on the idea Hill is coming back too soon and his movement is comprimised.

 

[doggo]

it looks like the Ronda-Holly fight, the closer the match got, the more people thought there was no hope for Holly.
until a week before it was recognized that Ronda had never faced a striker like Holly.
everything is possible as Sifu Edmund teached us but on paper Pereira is the favorite.

Imagine Glover went full Edmund and asked him to grapple off the bell ad he just gasses in 3 minutes?

 

[humdizzle]

I really don't how hill can win this short of a lucky punch . Pereira is too patient and will pick him apart. Just wait until that first leg kick hits and Hill starts panicking under the lights.

 

[CatchtheseHands]

I'm not really seeing how Jamahal is so much more defensively responsible than Alex. Jamahal, especially in the later rounds was very hittable in his fight with Santos and Glover, throwing wild looping punches with his chin out and hands way low. Where as the only time Alex really has his chin up is if he's back peddling while someone is trying to crowd him. Very rarely have we seen Alex be defensively irresponsible while in the pocket like Jamahal. That's not to say Jamahal can't be defensively responsible, he certainly can be, it's just not past round 3.

 

[moreorless87]

I'm not really seeing how Jamahal is so much more defensively responsible than Alex. Jamahal, especially in the later rounds was very hittable in his fight with Santos and Glover, throwing wild looping punches with his chin out and hands way low. Where as the only time Alex really has his chin up is if he's back peddling while someone is trying to crowd him. Very rarely have we seen Alex be defensively irresponsible while in the pocket like Jamahal. That's not to say Jamahal can't be defensively responsible, he certainly can be, it's just not past round 3.

Yeah, when he gets aggressive and tired he takes a lot of risks, he tends to rush toward with his head/chin stuck way out and Alex arguably has the best counter hook in MMA right now.

Cardio MIGHT be in his favour I spose but my feeling is Hill will actually be most dangerous early in this fight, when Alex gets a chance to work kicks(as mentioned potentially more to the body as vs Jan he was very effective with) and both men get tired and less technical I think that potentially benefits Alex.

I would say in terms of calling it though its one of those matchups which doesnt seem to have a really obvious clash of styles which benefits one man over the other, it will likely come down much more to specifics in technique not "grappler beats striker" or the reverse.

 

[Native7]

Him getting controlled by Jan, and losing imo, is what mainly makes me doubt Alex being a dominant champion.

Don't forget how gassed Alex was after 1st round against Jiri.

Round 2 AP's leg kicks were sloppy & half assed.