My most valuable lines this card are mostly fgtd plays. Davis-Kang gtd at current price is an obv steal, I like Diaz-Pettis gtd a lot, I like Klose-Giagos goes the distance a lot but it costs a lot more, I like Assuncao-Sandhagen gtd a lot but again, it costs a lot more. More unconventional fgtd I like are Brunson-Heinisch, Yusuff-Benitez and Bermudez-Casey.
ML wise there are a lot of good dogs on this card. Assuncao at +200 is just ridiculous and I recognize Sandhagens current talent and his future potential, thats why I think it's closer to 50-50. I dont think either guy has much of a chance to finish but If there is a finish I actually favor Assuncao to do it.
Davis at +170 is pretty good too but I really dont think he gets submitted, hes also not an easy guy to control. I dont think Davis can finish Kang that often either so I really like Davis DEC +350 and I actually put a small play on that instead of his ML.
I like Brunson at +135, I favor him slightly. The guy doesnt go to DEC often but when he does, he wins, he gets robbed or KOed by rd3 Romero. If someone is going to be on top, however briefly, it's going to be Brunson. Heinisch isnt good enough or active enough standing for me to give him much of a chance at the KO but it's definitely there. If there is a finish, I think its more likely he does it.
I like Diaz +120, I definitely favor him, liked his DEC line a lot too. I like Esquibel, no, I said that one wrong, I mean the line is way off but I'm not going to advocate for Esquibel. I do have a very small play on her though. Bermudez-Kenny is very tough for me to feel accurate on but I really dont think Casey finishes, the finish is essentially all Bermudez but I can see Bermudez winning a DEC as well. I know I favor Bermudez but not sure to what degree, definitely wouldnt feel comfortable putting him over 60% though. I liked Costa at better prices than current but I still favor him so there is still value at +120. I think Cormier at -140 is ok but there isnt a lot of value there, I think he wins 65% but thats not a firm 65, it's probably less, maybe 60.