*Do you consider MMA as a good or bad sport for making bets?*

My pick record is too bad but bet make fights more enjoyable on night, and if not interested before.
 
I no really watch other sport besides boxing, but same logic apply as I say above
 
Easiest in terms of preparation. Sports like NBA, NFL, MLB take a lot of time and a bit of number crunching and trend following. MMA is easy to prepare for. Takes about 2 hours to watch tape and do research on a particular fighter.
 
Lol at the unpredictable statements. All sports are unpredictable unless you want to bet on terrible odds. MMA is one of the newest sports so you can take advantage of certain props or fights but its not as easy as it was when I started betting.

My first bet was Ubereem to beat Lesnar. I knew Ubereem was super juiced and a bad matchup for Lesnar and he probably would've won that 10/10 times.

It got harder when USADA started because you can't tell who was using and who stopped using. Alot of people like Hendricks started looking really bad(not saying he was on something just saying ever since USADA he looked bad)

Lots of fights you can just get really good value if you consider its probably a 50/50 fight. Like diaz was like +300 or better against michael Johnson. It was also like even odds whether or not Johnson finishes Diaz. I hit diaz at like +300 and Not johnson ITD at like -140 and won a decent bit that night


jhonathan90 said:
My pick record is too bad but bet make fights more enjoyable on night, and if not interested before.
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Exactly, im more of a degenerate better so it cost me money not just betting on fights that I should but it makes me interested in every fight and get to know the fighters more by studying them
 
SuperNerd said:
It's pretty good.

Mostly relative to the major sports where bookies have it down to science where they're extremely unlikely to lose.

The MMA betting sections often loos like a section that is posted with 2 minutes of work.
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One of my biggest laments is that I didn't concentrate on MMA betting when it first became big after the TUF boom. If you think the odds look like 2 minutes of work now, just imagine then when MMA handicapping was really in its infancy.
 
90's/early 2000's mma events were AWESOME to bet on. Back when all you had to do was figure out who had the better ground game. Now that the playing field has leveled out, not so much.

I remember back in the day going 8-0 on my picks. These days, I'm lucky to be 4-4, but really probably worse. A betting man would probably do well by betting against my picks for any given card.
 
It’s one of the worst sports to bet on. Single sports when you have a bad day it’s all on you. You don’t have 5 (Hockey) or 11 (CFL) other guys to help you out. Plus there’s the poor officiating and judging in mma. It’s just very unpredictable and the person that I believe won the fight does not always get their hand raised.
 
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I don't bet much anymore, I used to bet more often, but now I seldom bet. but I always found a few good rules for betting on MMA fights....

Don't bet on HW fights.

Don't fall for the UFC hype machine and just bet on a guy because of it, actually look at his fights yourself and more
important see the standard of opponents he has beat etc etc.

Don't bet on WMMA, its so amateurish and low level that anything can happen in them.

Try to be FAST, bet as soon as the fight is booked and the odds are up, because over time the odds always get closer when its a big supposed mismatch. Don't wait until week of the fight because the odds always get closer due to so many people taking a punt on it and the companies being scared of losing moneys.

Don't bet against Jon Jones. Best tip out of all.

I have won money on MMA and lost money on MMA, and I won money on team sports and lost money on team sports, so I don't know whats best to bet on, to be honest I think in the end you end up losing as much as you made, if you do it for long enough.
 
If you want to make big money, it is one of the best sports. -1500 on Holly Holm vs Ronda Rousey. Hindsight is 20/20 but do you really think they had that number down to a science?

Meanwhile in team sports, the house has many overwhelming advantages. Film junkies who watch every play of the season team up with nerds to create advanced analytical models to determine the ideal odds. Combine that with rats who feed inside information to those same dorks... Not to mention the parity they attempt to implement upon these major leagues....
 
Bad for a very good and overlooked reason.

The ufc performance institute.

Whoever is there gets to see any injuries or performance issues, tough weight cut etc.

Gives them a seriously unfair advantage.

Average Joe doesn’t get that info.
 
Difficult sport to make money.

I make picks on my Instagram account @mysticslips
I’ve averaged a 20% ROI
 
MMA seems like one of the worst sports to bet on. It's 1v1, but unlike boxing the styles and training methods involved make it extremely hard to predict who will show up and how they will fight for any give matchup.

I mean, how many guys would have lost their shirts on GSP v Serra if that fight happened today?
 
piglord said:
it's a very fucking good sport to bet
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True. Despite the fact I had better results in 2015 and 2016 I still consider MMA as the best sport to bet. I personally don't know guys who bet on football for a living (except insiders and real fixed matches). You start every football game with 33% chances to win. In MMA we start with 50% so we have an advantage even before the game has already started.
 
Fuckin love betting MMA because it makes the fights so much more exciting. I've found a lot of success with it primarily because an underdog actually has a real shot whereas a fluke like the Titans ML'ing the Pats this last year happens less often and nobody is gonna be betting that. Looking back on a few close lines/underdogs this year, there's a ton of ways that I could have made more money if I just really paid attention to the fighters as opposed to the outside noise. Case in point, looking back its so easy to see how Max would destroy Ortega 9/10 times because Ortega refuses to learn to be an elite striker or stop blocking punches with his face and Max just doesn't get tired of throwing punches to the face. If I recall, Max was just a slight favorite but should have been like -300- Ngannou last weekend was one that I really researched and when Cain's knee buckled during the open workout, I dropped hammers on it all over the place. Maybe its just a streak or something but I feel like there's a lot of money to be made in MMA if you can find the right dog. Unfortunately, outside of Sanchez, I don't see many dogs this weekend barkin'.
 
Kvothe_the_kingkiller said:
You'll enjoy this article. You're wrong about baseball. Here is a snippet:

Any one out of 2,430 regular-season MLB games a year could have a wildly unforeseen result — but baseball bettors have consistently put more dollars on the winning side over the past 25 years, keeping the average casino win rate below the standard service-fee average of 4.55 percent. It’s a different story in basketball, where casinos have kept 5.4 percent of all money bet on hoops over the past decade. In football, the most heavily wagered sport, casinos have kept very slightly more than the service fee (4.66 percent) over the past 25 years.

Those thinking they’ll outsmart bookies by betting more obscure sports appear to be sadly mistaken; casinos are keeping nearly twice as much of the money bet on “other” sports as good old-fashioned baseball.​
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This is why MMA is so profitable, though. You aren't really facing the books in sportsbetting, you're facing the market. In MMA there's a very small amount of smart money in the market relative to the majors, which, because there's a higher percentage of incorrect bets being made, helps the smart money as well as the books. In a sense, smart money gets paid to lower the books' variance and assure them of being able to freeroll both sides of the line.
 
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NBA is straight up rigged, not all games, but if you habitually bet it, you know what I'm talking about.

Refs control WAY too much of the game.

Same goes for the NFL, but not to the extent of the NBA.

20+ years after the UFC was created, odds makers still can't get lines even remotely correct for some fights(especially in Bellator).

If you watch tape, and bet intelligently, you'll win more than you lose. Yes, a lot of unpredictable shit can happen, but more often than not, the better fighter wins.
 
It's a very good sport to bet on.
Unpredictability is actually a good thing since the bookies will mess up the lines.
In soccer you will never beat the system, favorites always underperform and underdogs just choke.
In tennis, odds are very fairly picked, because it's very predictable, that's why it's hard to make a profit there.
Smith KO rd1
 
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