So what tends to happen is someone comes along who clearly hits like a truck, knocks out (or at least knocks the tar out of) a few guys at entry level in the UFC, then the assumption is that they must be skilled enough to land power shots on people who never eat power shots somehow. If they're also physically powerful and have shown improvement, they're a nightmare opponent.
Then Seung Woo Choi loses 3 in a row, despite being heavily favoured against Alex Caceres and Josh Culibao.
There have been a ton of guys that have put the blinkers on MMA fans like this.
Su Mudaerji, as well, being a big favourite against Matt Schnell (!!) - it's not based on the guys they beat, it's based on an assumed trajectory that always seems to ignore levels and skill set in favour of power-hitters with exciting styles.
Adrian Yanez is actually good, but had no business being a -175 favourite against Rob Font, but again, 'hits hard'.