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General MMA discussion and future lines - February 2016

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by OneWarrior1, Jan 16, 2016.

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  1. waiguoren Double Yellow Card Double Yellow Card

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    Just finished watching UFN 83 last night.

    I really feel for the Reneau bettors. I'm fairly certain two of the judges mixed the girls up since 30-27 Smith and 29-27 Smith are incomprehensible scores.
     
  2. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    we figured out that 29-27 was just a clerical error and it was actually 2928 Smith

    The worst part is that was the only legitimate actual scorecard. The one that was read as 29-27. Cause they gave rd 1 to reneau and 2/3 to Smith. All 10-9's.

    The 30-27 is nonsense. Rd 1 was 100% reneau

    29-28 reneau card was also bad. Why? Cause that judge gave Smith Rd 1. ...Yea. You read that right.
     
  3. waiguoren Double Yellow Card Double Yellow Card

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    Whew. That is absurd.

    This is why it can be dangerous to bet when fights are held in places that don't usually host UFC fights. The commissions don't come under enough scrutiny.
     
  4. LEMONZEST Planning parlays...

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    IMO betting UD and split decision lines is such a gamble as judges are so unreliable.

    I think its fine betting x fighter to win by decision but to get that specific to say UD or split is just asking for disappointment. There is always one jack ass judge that will make your UD bet a loss.
     
  5. Jae Gibbz Black Belt

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    I agree and disagree. I agree with you on betting UDs, but disagree about the SDs. Usually, UDs barely payout more than the regular DEC line and you have to depend on the judges to get it right. However, if you think it will be a close fight that is most likely going to a decision, SD could be a wise choice. In this instance I usually bet the fighter with the higher SD line. If the lines are fairly close, I bet on the fighter who I think will win. In some cases I've been on both fighters by SD, essentially betting the fight going to a split decision. Furthermore, I've seen SD lines payout more than 5x of a fighters DEC line. I have already hit 2 SD lines this calendar year. Robbie +8xx/Condit 10xx. I bet both basing it on the "close fight that will most liekly go DEC". I also hit Cruz SD +877 which was almost 4x the payout of his regular DEC line (I also bet Cruz regular decision)
     
  6. michi972 Purple Belt

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    What odds (decimal) do you predict on:Latifi vs Villante, Lawlor vs Anderson, Erock Silva, Sanchez vs Miller?
     
  7. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    Im terrible at this but...

    Latifi -250

    Anderson -350

    Silva -400

    Miller -300
     
  8. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    My guesses

    Latifi -350

    Anderson -350

    Silva -230

    Miller -160
     
  9. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    i think, of those two, sham is closer on latifi and e.silva, and joseph is closer on miller.

    you both had anderson the same, obv
     
  10. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    Hoping Sham is right. Would gladly play Latifi at -250 and Taleb as a dog vs -400 Silva
     
  11. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    yea, take it back, forgot it was taleb, he won't be -400
     
  12. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    Hope you are both right will gladly take Silva anywhere in the 200s. I guess the hype train has been significantly derailed.
     
  13. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    Also anyone betting Hunt he has not gone to AKA Thailand. He is training in Aus for the Mir fight. A week ago he weighed 293lbs. Not sure how good that is for him a month out from a fight but he did say a week ago he is never cutting a crazy amount again like he did against Miocic. This has made me hesitate to put any more down on him.
     
  14. Agent Mulder Black Belt

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    That's dissapointing. I havn't put a bet down yet but was planning too.
     
  15. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    Not even guessing its that cause of hype train derailment. Losing to Magny in a close fight has no shame. Guessed that line cause imo E.Silva failed the eye test big time as far as PED users are concerned. Will be interesting to see how he looks this time out.
     
  16. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    Oh yeah bigtime but he still gave Magny a tough fight. He is also with Kings now too who have surely improved his lack of fight IQ. I dont think Taleb can lay on him for three rounds and standing Silva has a big advantage.
     
  17. rille31 Brown Belt

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    just got limited by williamhill and made a deposit, they where asking me about the regular photo/utility bill bs but after I emailed them those they need a selfie with my id in it

    a selfie seriously cmon
     
  18. weedreference Green Belt

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    What ratio of dogs-to-favorite do you guys take as far as ML in MMA (for those you keep track, but feel free to guess if you don't)?
     
  19. Dooze Purple Belt

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    Make sure to take it in the bathroom after a mammoth turd to disgust them for the inconvenience. If your avatar is anything to go on, you already have a similar outfit so you know it makes sense. :D

    [​IMG]
     
  20. LEMONZEST Planning parlays...

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    In this thread we discuss various containers for Conor McGregor, no just kidding. It is not the first nor the last time we have arguments/discussions regarding the enigma. Let's keep the other threads clear and discuss Conor here.
     
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