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General MMA discussion and future lines - February 2016

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by OneWarrior1, Jan 16, 2016.

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  1. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    come on. castillo drops the kid, ref stares there, does nothing.. 10-8 first.. ahead in 2nd round.. gets clipped once, so he takes him down... and armbarred. nice sub. whatever.

    such an annoying night
     
  2. rille31 Brown Belt

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    Connor McGregor to hold No UFC titles on 1st January 2017 @ 6.00


    like this one
     
  3. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    Parlayed Moises, Jackson, Boku and Santos at +260ish. Moises was def my biggest worry, what a fight that was. Wish I jumped all over Jackson more, Moreno is such a regional journeyman.

    Worried about Boku, he's old as fuck.

    EDIT wooo
     
    Last edited: Feb 20, 2016
  4. iGnP Silver Belt

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    Overeem vs Arlovski announced! Any guesses for an opening line?
     
  5. vkram Brown Belt

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    I guess Overeem between -300 and -400.
     
  6. iGnP Silver Belt

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    id be on AA in that situation for sure
     
  7. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    Interesting. So which ones leaving Jacksons?
     
  8. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    sounds high
     
  9. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    I think the absolute best case opener you can hope for with Overeem is -250. And I don't think it will be that good. -300 sounds right.

    People have short memories. Overeem is on a little winning streak now and stopped JDS in his last fight. AA was stopped early by Stipe and before that arguably lost to Mir in a snoozer.

    It's HW so laying big juice...yikes. Overeem was super juiced vs Bigfoot, Browne, etc. I'd personally cap it right abotu -300 so might just be a pass.

    (Yeah right. As if I won't convince myself by then that there's value on SOMETHING in this fight LOL).
     
  10. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    Stipe/Werdum what are we thinking? Werdum -200? -250?
     
  11. Starkaine Green Belt

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    I will be huge on Stipe if he gets anywhere near +200. Realistically I think Werdum will be around -140 to -160
     
  12. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    I'd be the opposite. Werdum's striking has improved dramatically. Stipe is a good striker too but some of that is because he's an athletic guy with good takedowns that his opponents need to account for. Werdum has the advantage of not having to worry about being taken down. In fact he'd love it if Stipe did. I'd bet Werdum up to probably -200 so I really hope you are right.
     
  13. wack3d Silver Belt

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    there is some new lines up on betsafe for Fight Night Finland 12 its on before the ufc event on saturday

    [​IMG]

    http://www.mmaviking.com/valamaa-gets-opponent-for-fnf-12-headliner/

    i took Valamaa and Dizy

    Valamaa looks pretty well rounded.. always agressive looking for the clinch and takedowns and pretty good cardio. could not find that much footage on his opponent he is tall, southpaw and seems to like submissions (Valamaa never been subbed) in the footage i could find he did not seem to have good takedowns though and very low output on the feet.. he has 13 fights and not a single win against a fighter with a winning record.

    Dizy come's from the talented french camp mma factory lost a decision to Caldwell in bellator in his fight but was 5-0 before that he looks pretty good in all aspects of mma, good speed, good standup and great timings on his takedowns. his opponent looks pretty good too he is very tall for the 155 weight class he has good takedowns, kicks and decent jab horrible standup defence though.. i think Dizy will be able to land the takedowns on the taller opponent and grind out a decision.
     
    Last edited: Feb 23, 2016
  14. danareem Green Belt

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    line is already out on betvictor
    werdum: -300/1.33
    stipe: +225/3.25
     
  15. Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    Stipe +450 @ Ladbrokes to be HW champ at end of year.
     
  16. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    Ahh dammit that means 5d will be similar and I will not see much value either way.
     
  17. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    not necessarily
     
  18. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    Hope not. Want Werdum around -220. Not holding my breath...
     
  19. rille31 Brown Belt

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    rumours about wonderboy - rory in the making
     
  20. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    the line from that site just seems high to me, man. i think you'll get what you want
     
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