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Non-MMA Sports Betting Discussion - December, 2016

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by t6p, Dec 1, 2016.

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  1. cberasi Green Belt

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    This link (https://www.sportingcharts.com/articles/nhl/how-often-is-overtime-needed-in-the-nhl.aspx) has overtime occurring in ~23% of NHL games over a pretty decent sample size. If the game goes into overtime we could make the hypothesis that the match is even up to this point and your team now has a 50% probability to win (this is obviously skewed, but just a generalization for modeling purposes). With this, you would win 11.5% more bets if you bet the moneyline over the puck line. ~12% doesn't seem worth 65 more points in a favored direction, there must be some math to support it though I guess.
     
  2. iGnP Silver Belt

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    +0.9u ill take it
     
  3. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    yea i'm pretty sure the math is right, they would've been exploited / exposed by now if not, cause it's been static for a while
     
  4. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    wow. columbus is in minnesota today. 14 winstreak vs 12 winstreak... man, i might actually pass on both... lol.
     
  5. iGnP Silver Belt

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    Fuck woke up late and didn't get a bet in on LSU. Love them in this gme and I'm gonna live bet them now that they're down 3-0

    Edit I got LSU ML -115 for 2u
     
  6. iGnP Silver Belt

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    NBA Saturday
    Hornets +125 for 1.2u to win 1.5u

    More to come
     
  7. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    [​IMG]

    Been a fun year, actually made money on football. Zero confidence in the final week plays, but hoping the football Gods remain good to me and send me out with a bang on this wild round robin
     
  8. iGnP Silver Belt

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    I seriously want no part in week 17 lol
     
  9. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    I hear you man, so unbettable. Only doing this cause i'll miss football and these crack cocaine round robins i make for watching Redzone, so gotta get my last fix in.

    There are a few lines I kind of like though. Romo or not, Cowboys +200 seems off. Broncos as a pick seems off. Kind of like Ravens ml and Steelers spread. But who knows with the last week.
     
  10. iGnP Silver Belt

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    Sanchez is gonna play, not Romo fyi. Raiders are playing for home field while Denver isn't playing for anything and might be playing their rookie qb in the game. I kinda think that game is Raiders or pass but Idk. Don't see why the Ravens are dogs. Not sure how anyone can cap Steelers without Ben Bell or Brown. Sorry to tell u but I think my strongest lean is on the Bears lol
     
  11. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    Fuckkk didn't know the Romo or Raiders info. This is why week 17 is even worse for me, conscious betting means jack shit when you have things like that involved that i don't look into lol. Don't feel sorry to tell me that when Bears are in my round robin lol not like Vikings winning means anything. Prepared to take a hit tomorrow, but we'll see what happens.
     
  12. iGnP Silver Belt

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    Sorry sorry i just saw that romo will play
     
  13. Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    OK little confidence restored now lol
     
  14. barrygood1 Blue Belt

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    This bet is a recoup bet for last nights unfortunate UFC bet. Normally I wouldn't do this, but I feel like I've got to do right after my 5 star pick lost.

    This is a bet I do recommend you double your bet because I see immense value

    The pick: Minnesota Wild ML -130

    - Barry


     
  15. iGnP Silver Belt

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    Your inside info that told you Ronda would take the fight to the floor ASAP... did you break his knees for the bad tip?
     
  16. Buddy Brown Dog Lover Banned

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    It's over, Barry

    ...It's over.































    [​IMG]
     
  17. iGnP Silver Belt

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    Boom, LSU was easily the more talented team. Throwing a unit on Alabama -13.5. This game should get ugly
     
  18. iGnP Silver Belt

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    Added NBA Play
    Memphis -2 for 2.2u
     
  19. iGnP Silver Belt

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    Added NBA play
    Bulls -3 for 1.65u
     
  20. iGnP Silver Belt

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    Bama covers in a brutal game to watch. +3u on Bowls today. Gonna keep going, throwing 2u on Clemson +110. Let's goooo
     
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