curious about a potential play.
How do we see vinny mag versus Matt Hamill going?
Im interested in the wrestling aspect of it. Hamill is surely some sort of done, but i remember him making slow and steady improvements in his striking technique. i could tell he was proud of his improvement, still slow and hittable, but able to spam leg kicks and go from there. ... He happens to be fighting one of the few guys who has an obvious disadvantage in technique in that area.
From a simplistic point of view, he knows the danger with vinny comes on the ground. Maybe from a sloppy right, but its from the subs usually. On that note, Hamil, while old and rusty, was in against some good fighters and hasnt been subbed, which is worth something. How does the striking game really matchup? VInny seems more dangerous, but other then scoring some points, or stalling after getting clipped, why would hammill want to get this down?
As the dog in this fight, making this ugly and hanging in there is sort of a win in itself, so he doesnt really have to press the action. Aside from Jon jones Its not like Hamill will besetting anyones "killer" radar off, he it seems easy to game plan around using the ghost of his past wrestling chops and try to keep this on the feet moreso then take it to the ground against someone who has a big fight finish advantage in that spot.
So if the biggest edge for VInny is subs, and Hamill might consider not playing into that, what happens? Luckily VInny isnt a very good athlete. He is like a poor mans Meia, with even less ability to take fighters down.
I doubt they have the prop or will, but maybe, but Vinny / goes to scorecards action is void would be money in some capacity.
Not an expert on the status of these fighters, does M.H have enough in the tank to keep his distance and spacing ? I just have a hard time seeing Vinny get the takedowns consistantly in the spots he can finish this, and the over is only 1.5 rds, moved from -175 to a very reasonable -115
im taking 1.5 units, awaiting some good breakdowns on this, i realize how unreliable they both are, which scares me from any sort of over, but seems like it could be worth a look