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TUF 24 Finale - Mighty Mouse vs Elliot - Vegas

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Nov 21, 2016.

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  1. MMAJay Green Belt

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    It's sometimes easy to follow a hype when the opponent is a non "main stream" not so active upcoming fighter, and Stansbury doesn't look athletic persay, but he's better than the average LHW journeyman. Overall just much better than Clark IMO
     
  2. Brick Top Yellow Swag Banned

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    Heroin - not even once

    [​IMG]
     
  3. weedreference Green Belt

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    Clark definitely has more athletic talent and skill, but Stansbury has pretty much every intangible factor. I still can't pick this one, but I'm loving the o1.5.
     
  4. Neoscarecrue Orange Belt

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    Should I still take Mighty Mouse at -850 because he is such a lock?
     
  5. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    No such thing as a lock
     
  6. MMAJay Green Belt

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    Personally it doesn't make any sense. Im almost sure that Johnson will remove Elliott, but there will always be variance, and anything can happen, and that could also be injuries. It doesn't make sense in the long run to pay so much juice. I personally don't think you should touch anything belov 1.300 in MMA betting.
     
    Last edited: Dec 3, 2016
  7. Neoscarecrue Orange Belt

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    How exciting if Elliot wins though?
     
  8. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    Possible to hit fotn twice in a row? Here's to trying:

    Moreno-benoit +690 (missed +775 opener)

    Small consideration maybe for +800 mutapcic smith, but mainly going with the moreno fight
     
  9. Sadistics Brown Belt

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    Despite the small cage, playing decision overs from O5.5 -125 and up. Over 10.5 pays 486:1
     
  10. Oblivian Aging Platinum Member

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    I honestly think I'm playing more ITD or under 2.5's than I've ever played on any card.
     
  11. LEMONZEST Planning parlays...

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    What are your picks in general. need to tail your god status.
     
  12. Sadistics Brown Belt

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    Check out the bets thread, though a lot of them were placed before I knew it was a small cage which plays a big factor
     
  13. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    Okay I've never bet the field on a FOTN prop before, but I have no choice here. -245 for the field over MM/Elliott? We all pretty much agree Elliott is completely outclassed here right? Mighty Mouse is as big a favorite as we've seen in quite awhile. -1000. This fight shouldn't be all that competitive. I don't care if it's the ME, this line makes zero sense. I like EZ's pick of Moreno/Benoit, I think if Jake can hang in there that Mas/Ellenburger could have a shot. There's plenty of fights that could and SHOULD be better and far more competitive than the ME. I'm hammering this line. Maybe I get burned but this should be like -500 imo.
     
  14. Captain Crunch28 Green Belt

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    Only dream I ever had was story winning a split vs Cowboy at UFC 202.. and that didn't happen
     
  15. Brick Top Yellow Swag Banned

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    I had a dream Paige flying kicked that bumslut Bec Rawlings
     
  16. mkess101 Not the hero he deserves, but the hero he needs

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    Line starting to move now on field over MM/Elliott FOTN. I think some of you guys are joining me. I'm 3.6ish units on it to win 1.5
     
  17. cCrown Blue Belt

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    You think it really matters that much? I found out a little later as well so i did a bit of research on big vs small cages. There seems to be not that much difference like you might expect, atleast not what i expected. It's definitely something to take into consideration but i'm guessing not by that much. Mind you i haven't gone full blown sherlock on it so it could very well be that there is data out there suggesting otherwise.
     
  18. EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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