Pedro/Craig is one of my most anticipated fights on this card. Looking into the film, Pedro seems very composed for only having 5 pro fights and is very good at holding position once on the ground. He took a nuke from Rountree very well, too. Seems to have his head together early on from years of martial arts.
Craig on the other hand is interesting in the sense that he seems to adapt his style to the opponent a little bit. Ultimately he tries to implement his BJJ, but he came out eager to pressure the striker against Da Silva, and was more reserved against Lazarz until he found an opening.
Since they're both purple belts in BJJ (although Craig may be a brown by now, last update I could find was in Dec 2015), I've been looking at other factors that may come into play here. I recall Da Silva having a hell of a striking war with Wilson, but against Craig he looked utterly sapped after round 1. That tells me that Craig's top pressure is likely awful to cope with and his pace/aggression is a problem early on.
Pedro on the other hand seems very physically strong and may have an advantage in the clinch against the cage. But the subsequent question from there is how will his cardio hold up as a power athlete against a guy with a high pace who hunts for subs from all kinds of positions? Since there's zero data on Pedro outside of <4 mins, I'll take a shot in the dark and assume that his power output probably doesn't last.
I'm seeing some shades of Tony Ferguson in Craigs game: game as fuck, pace, elbow-happy, hunting for subs, unorthodox (pulling to butterfly to sweep or sub), and that seems promising despite him having a job and Pedro's background.
Pedro typically looks for that top position or to take the back, but I think barring any massive strikes landing on the feet, holding top position on Craig (if he gets there) is going to be a pain in the ass to deal with. Craig's willingness to pull to butterfly and some of his sweeps in other fights lead me to believe Pedro's main path to victory so far is going to be negated and exhausting.
Interested to see what others think -- I missed the discussion on this fight as it got buried in the khabib/tony talk in the other thread.