Gavin Tucker (10-0 MMA; 1-0 UFC)
-66" reach
-training at Titans MMA in Canada, he's pretty much the only known guy from there
-did not study a lot of the fights before UFC, pretty much he destroyed bums
-may have done some rounds at Tristar as well according to his instagram
-Purple Belt in BJJ - 3 years ago, may have changed
-Muay Thai background (he travelled to Thailand to study it at early age)
-Good footwork
-Nice leg kicks
vs Sam Sicilia (15-8 MMA; 5-7 UFC) (W - DEC)
-1" reach disadvantage for Tucker
-R1 dominated by Tucker via movement and leg kicks.
-R2 pretty much the same, Sicilia getting worked from the outside
-R3 - Sicilia clipped Tucker and did better by trying to take the fight closer, a brawl. Tucker got a TD but no action from it. Close R3
-Tucker definetely slowed in R3 and became hittable, but so did Sicilia.
-Worth mentioning, Tucker loves working at distance, does not seem to like getting in the clinch.
Rick Glenn (19-4-1 MMA; 1-1 UFC)
-70" reach
-BJJ Brown Belt
-Training at Team Alpha Male
-Decent competition before UFC, was champion in WSOF.
-Tough guy, good at eating shots
vs Evan Dunham (18-6 MMA; 11-6 UFC) (L - DEC)
-1.5" reach disadvantage for Glenn
-R1 : Dunham better in the pocket, also got a TD, almost finished Glenn via RNC, prob 10-8 round for Dunham with the rules from now.
-R2 : Glenn started gasing, Dunham got some TDs, again round dominated by Dunham
-R3 pretty much a brawl, guys going at it, Dunham more on point with the strikes, close to be finished Glenn.
-Glenn seemed very hittable and Dunham is not the best striker in the game
-Glenn slowing a LOT in the later rounds.
-Worth mentioning, Glenn took the fight with a late notice.
vs Philippe Nover (11-8 MMA; 1-4 UFC) (W - Split DEC)
-1.5" reach disadvantage for Glenn
-R1 pretty boring, probably edged by Nover via some nice head kicks, Nover cut around his left eye
-R2 pretty bland as well, probably edged by Glenn via octagon control
-R3 - Nover slowing down, Glenn taking octagon control via clinch work. He grinded out this round.
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TLDR / Conclusions
-Tucker will come with a 4" reach disadvantage. However, I do not think this will affect him a lot, as he like to strike from the outside and Glenn does not seem to be great at using his reach.
-Glenn was pretty easy to hit in both of his UFC fights and his strikes do not seem to be very precise, nor very fast. From tape, Tucker seems to be a faster version of Phillipe Nover with better striking, especially leg kicks.
-Glenn may be swinking for air the whole fight and try to get Tucker down on the mat. Tucker's TDD hasn't really been tested so far so that's a decent question mark.
-Striking wise, I think Tucker will dominate the fight, his only worry could be him being taken down by Glenn.
-I thought I might pull the trigger on Glenn as a dog, I don't see so much chance for him in this fight.
My play for this fight will be 3u on over 2.5 rounds @ 1.48/-210 and will look to play Tucker via DEC as well when props come out. Also, if I can get his ML up to 1.50/-200, I'll put some units on Tucker.
