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All these main card favourites are overpriced with the exception of Rivera and maybe Cyborg
Barboza and Esparza are 100% GOAT bets, odds are a joke. I have already done my expert capping for these fights and I am highly confident that both dogs cash, I know things that the majority of you don't and that gives me an edge. I'm always looking for angles, thats what high level bettors do.
Starting to think Magny could also be in a great position to get a win. Condit's only wins in the last 5 years are over Alves, Kampman and Diaz. He's also lost 5 of his last 7, 16 months off due to retirement, his best years are behind him, probably just turning up for a check. Condit has always had suspect TDD and Magny can exploit that.
Dogs are going to cash, favourites are unworthy. Will be making high level moves.
But Esparza has no striking whatsoever, Markos and the tall european girl made it a fight just by striking with her a bit, Calvillo is a much better grappler and will undoubtely win the striking, despite her record she's been fighting for 5 years and doesnt make many rookie mistakes.
The only reason i can think of betting Espara is because its WMMA.
I like Magny and Edson too, however Magny has struggled with kickers yet condit has very little head movement and will eat Magny's jab all night, i only like Magny because i feel he's got a big edge in the takedowns if it stays standing its anyone's fight, im just hoping Condit doesnt take Magny's leg underneath him.
Edson is great value i agree, the thing that worries me is that he cant finish Khabib and Khabib only needs one takedown, i dont see Edson surviving a prolongued assault on the ground at all. I'd be going crazy on this line but historically my biggest loses are to grapplers so im not going heavy. Also Edson seems like a front runner to me, like when things get ugly he struggles to turn the tables, that lowblow messed up Dariush timing he was well on his way to winning.