UFC 225 - Whittaker vs Romero 2 - Chicago

I only had a small play on Whittaker unan dec at +400, but have since rewatched the first fight again. Whit said his knee was "trashed" after rd 1, took some of Romero's best shots including the flying knee, and still clearly won a decision. Romero now a year older, struggling to make weight again and Whit looks outstanding. I think Romero comes in with a non-grappling gameplan and tries to conserve energy like the Rockhold fight. This means he will lose rounds and will likely only win by KO. For this reason I am confident in Whittaker -3.5 as I do not believe he finds the shot and the price is substantially better than ML. I only had a small bet on Whit unan dec +400, but I have since added 3u whit -3.5 -150. The weight cut issues Yoel is going through now is a bonus. Whit by wide decision or late stoppage IMO.
 
Thoughts on Lion heart to KO Rashad at @ 2.10?
Good for 1u
 
Rebel_LioN said:
So many different opportunities in Vegas..

I’m picking fatboy Tuivasa to knock out Arlovski but take a look at this..

Arlovski and o1.5 = +630
Arlovski dec 5dimes = +435

Shadface and o2.5 = +560
Shad dec on 5dimes = +400

Guida and o2.5 = +450
Guida dec = +315
Click to expand...
These are pointless . no one can bet these lines. The events are not mutually exclusive. Bookies allowing this will go bust very quickly if they allow more than minimum stakes. It's bets that noobs try to make before they understand the rules.
 
TheOneTrueKing said:
These are pointless . no one can bet these lines. The events are not mutually exclusive. Bookies allowing this will go bust very quickly if they allow more than minimum stakes. It's bets that noobs try to make before they understand the rules.
Click to expand...
You're missing the point. Everyone knows that no online sportsbooks allow these kind of correlated parlays. Rebel found a brick & mortar in Las Vegas that does so he's taking advantage of it as long as it lasts and sharing that fact with other people. If you were in a position to take advantage and visit Vegas yourself he'd probably share where to go in a private message.
 
Lando said:
what do you guys think about whittaker having most significant strikes paying 1.45. Same odds as him winning only it’ll probably still pay out even if romero wins :D
Click to expand...
Great price
 
bunt said:
Thoughts on Lion heart to KO Rashad at @ 2.10?
Good for 1u
Click to expand...
I like Rashad . Takedowns . May or may not do to much with them but I think he catches smith easy with the right hand as well. Combined at the price and with clear path to victory it's clearly the right side imo.
 
0.2 lbs over, this really sucks. I guess the fight is still on but without the title on the line, but I wonder how Whittaker's team will act on this.

Would really suck if we lose this fight
 
Damn Yoel misses again 0.2lbs over. I remember Whittaker being pretty adamant that he wouldn't fight Yoel if he missed weight. We'll see what happens
 
.2 lbs?

FFS Yoel.
 
Yoel gonna has hard if it makes it into the championship rounds.


*gas
 
Sincerely hope we don't lose ANOTHER fight due to weight issues.

 
Be surprised if this goes ahead.

 

upload_2018-6-8_14-6-45.png
 
Adding to Whittaker ITD, if this does go ahead I can't see Romero going 5, sounds like a torrid cut or an injury... or both.
 
Shit. Honestly being selfish now the fight getting cancelled probably helps me. My NOT Whitaker itd looks way worse now with Yoel in such bad shape.
 
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